DeVonta Smith is no stranger to making catches with historical significance in a championship game. He caught the game-winner in the 2018 national championship game as a member of the Alabama Crimson Tide and will look to make a similar impact for the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LIX. Here, we look at the DeVonta Smith Super Bowl props that are on the board for the matchup between the Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs and make our picks for some of those player props.
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DeVonta Smith Player Props For Super Bowl 59
Prop | Odds | |
---|---|---|
51.5 Receiving Yards | Over (-109) | Under (-112) |
4.5 Receptions | Over (-109) | Under (-114) |
Longest Reception: 20.5 Yards | Over (-115) | Under (-115) |
First TD Scorer | +1700 | |
Last TD Scorer | +1200 | |
Anytime TD Scorer | +245 | |
Super Bowl MVP | +6500 |
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook
DeVonta Smith Prop Prediction #1: Under 4.5 Receptions (-114)
The first of the DeVonta Smith Super Bowl props that we like ahead of this game is for Smith to stay under 4.5 receptions. Going into Super Bowl 59, Smith has had exactly four catches in each of Philadelphia’s three playoff wins. That includes four catches in the NFC Championship Game, which the Eagles won in dominant fashion over the Washington Commanders.
As a whole, we expect the under to hit in this Chiefs vs Eagles matchup from Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. With both defenses being so good at causing disruption in the passing games of their opponents, we expect many receivers to have games below their usual standard. That is why AJ Brown’s receiving yardage total is the highest among anyone in this game at just 70.5 yards and why we expect Smith’s contributions on the field to remain somewhat limited.
DeVonta Smith Prop Prediction #2: Longest Reception Under 20.5 Yards (-115)
Another prop worth taking for DeVonta Smith in the Super Bowl is the under on his longest reception in the game. The total for that prop is set at 20.5 yards for Smith, a number he has eclipsed in just one of Philly’s three wins this postseason. We expect him to stay under that number again here, thanks in large part to the way the Kansas City Chiefs approach passing downs on defense.
Our expectation for this game is for the Chiefs to send pressure at Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts whenever they can on passing downs. That should give Smith less time than usual to use his incredible speed to create separation from the Chiefs secondary. That bad stylistic matchup for Smith should prevent him from making any huge plays down the field in the passing game.
On the flip side, we expect AJ Brown to make a big play or two thanks to the Chiefs style of defense. With Hurts likely to have less time than usual to throw the ball downfield, our expectation is that he will throw the ball up for the taller and more physical Brown instead of the smaller and faster Smith, hence our play on the under in this market for Smith.