Detroit Lions
San Francisco 49ers
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Detroit Lions at San Francisco 49ers Pick & Prediction – 12/30/2024
Lions vs 49ers Betting Odds
Spread: | Detroit Lions -3.5, San Francisco 49ers 3.5 |
Over/Under: | 50.5 |
Moneyline: | Detroit Lions -185, San Francisco 49ers 160 |
Detroit Lions vs San Francisco 49ers Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Detroit Lions - 63% | Detroit Lions - 50% |
San Francisco 49ers - 37% | San Francisco 49ers - 50% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Detroit Lions vs San Francisco 49ers Betting Preview
The last time these two teams played was in Week 21 of 2023. That contest produced a high scoring shootout, as the 49ers pulled off the home win 34-31. Although the 49ers recorded the win, they failed to cover the -7.5 point spread that game. The Game Total for that game was 53.5 and which the Over hit.
San Francisco's primary advantage has been their defense, which has allowed a scant 317 yards per game -- #3-best in the NFL. They've succeeded in large part due to their pass defense, which has held opposing air attacks to the #2-least yards per game: 196. The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has had the most success in covering opposing tight ends, who have managed just 36 yards per game against them (#32-least in football). San Francisco's best coverage unit has been their linebackers, which grade out as the #1 unit in the NFL in this regard. San Francisco's pass rush has been led by their defensive ends who, ranking as the #10 unit in the NFL, have given opposing quarterbacks fits. When it comes to their offense, the 49ers check in at #9 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 225 yards per game (#15 in football). Their run game has ranked #5 with 5.01 yards per attempt on the ground.
Detroit's biggest strength has been their offense, ranking #1 in the league with 385 yards per game. They've achieved offensive success largely through the quality of their passing attack, which is #3-best in football with 252 yards per game. Perhaps because the defense has to take their pass game so seriously, the Lions have also managed to rush for 5.11 yards per carry, which puts them in the top 10. In terms of their defense, the Lions have ranked #9 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 242 yards per game through the air against them (#9 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #22 with 4.4 yards per carry. Detroit has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to a 63.9% completion rate (#1-lowest). Detroit has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up 7.86 yards per target (#2-worst).
Detroit Lions vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction
Final Score: Detroit Lions 24.41 vs San Francisco 49ers 24.52
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Detroit Lions
San Francisco 49ers