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Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 12/8/2024
Browns vs Steelers Betting Odds
Spread: | Cleveland Browns 7, Pittsburgh Steelers -7 |
Over/Under: | 44.5 |
Moneyline: | Cleveland Browns 250, Pittsburgh Steelers -300 |
Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Cleveland Browns - 28% | Cleveland Browns - 34% |
Pittsburgh Steelers - 72% | Pittsburgh Steelers - 66% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview
Sunday the Cleveland Browns (3-9) will battle the Pittsburgh Steelers (9-3). Oddsmakers peg the Steelers as the huge favorite with an implied win probablity of 72%, leaving the Browns with a 28% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Steelers -7.0 with a Game Total of 44.5.
Cleveland's biggest weakness has been their rushing offense, checking in at #31 in the league with a mere 3.45 yards per carry. In failing to successfully establish the run, Cleveland has also had trouble moving the ball through the air, averaging a paltry 6.38 yards per target, which ranks them #28 in football. This represents a particular disadvantage for Cleveland given that the Steelers have excelled in stopping the run this year, allowing just 4.19 yards per carry (#5-best in the league). In terms of their defense, the Browns have ranked #24 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 236 yards per game through the air against them (#14 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #6 with 4.98 yards per carry. Cleveland has been most effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to a 58.8% completion rate (#1-lowest). Cleveland has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up 9.57 yards per target (#1-worst).
Pittsburgh's primary advantage has been their defense, which has allowed a scant 328 yards per game -- #8-best in the NFL. They've succeeded in large part due to their run defense, which has held opposing ground attacks to the #5-least yards per game: 4.19. This Steelers run defense has been aided by their safeties, who grade out as the #5-best unit in the NFL. This presents a decided advantage for Pittsburgh given that the Browns have had so little success running the ball this year, managing a mere 3.45 yards per carry (#2-worst in the league). When it comes to their offense, the Steelers check in at #15 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 228 yards per game (#20 in football). Their run game has ranked #23 with 3.93 yards per attempt on the ground.
Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction
Final Score: Cleveland Browns 17.58 vs Pittsburgh Steelers 22.19
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