Cleveland Browns
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Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos Pick For 12/2/2024
Browns vs Broncos Betting Odds
Spread: | Cleveland Browns 5.5, Denver Broncos -5.5 |
Over/Under: | 42 |
Moneyline: | Cleveland Browns 205, Denver Broncos -245 |
Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Cleveland Browns - 32% | Cleveland Browns - 31% |
Denver Broncos - 68% | Denver Broncos - 69% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos Betting Preview
The last time these two teams played each other was Week 12 in 2023. That game resulted in a win for the Broncos with a final score of 29-12. The Broncos entered that game as a slight road favorite. They were favored by 1.5 points before covering the spread. The Game Total for that game was 37.5 and which the Over hit.
Cleveland's biggest weakness has been their offense, checking in at #25 in the league with a mere 295 yards per game. A big part of their failure has been the quality (or lack thereof) of their rushing attack, which has been #2-worst in football with just 3.5 yards per carry. In failing to successfully establish the run, Cleveland has also had trouble moving the ball through the air, averaging a paltry 6.17 yards per target, which ranks them #30 in football. This represents a particular disadvantage for Cleveland given that the Broncos have excelled in stopping the run this year, allowing just 3.86 yards per carry (#4-best in the league). In terms of their defense, the Browns have ranked #21 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 231 yards per game through the air against them (#14 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #6 with 4.96 yards per carry. Cleveland has been most effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to a 59% completion rate (#2-lowest). Cleveland has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up 9.3 yards per target (#2-worst).
Denver's primary advantage has been their defense, which has allowed a scant 321 yards per game -- #9-best in the NFL. They've succeeded in large part due to their run defense, which has held opposing ground attacks to the #4-least yards per game: 3.86. To give credit where credit is due, their pass defense has also been terrific, checking in at #7 in yards per target (7.35). This Broncos run defense has been anchored by their linebackers, who grade out as the #8-best unit in the NFL. When it comes to their offense, the Broncos check in at #21 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 224 yards per game (#19 in football). Their run game has ranked #20 with 4.07 yards per attempt on the ground.
Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos Prediction
Final Score: Cleveland Browns 17.81 vs Denver Broncos 23.66
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Cleveland Browns
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