Chicago Bears vs Indianapolis Colts Betting Pick & Preview – 9/22/2024

Bears vs Colts Betting Odds

Chicago Bears vs Indianapolis Colts Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Chicago Bears vs Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview

Sunday the Chicago Bears (1-1) will battle the Indianapolis Colts (0-2). Oddsmakers peg the Colts as the slight favorite with an implied win probablity of 53%, leaving the Bears with a 47% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Colts -1.0 with a Game Total of 43.5.

Chicago's biggest weakness has been their offense, ranking #30 in the league with a mere 273 yards per game. They've failed so much on offense in large part because of their passing attack, which checks in at #3-worst in football with 195 yards per game. And when a defense doesn't have to worry about the pass, they can key in on the run, which has led to just 3.89 yards per carry for the Bears -- bottom 10 in the league. It's tough to succeed when you don't have much time to throw, as has been the case for Chicago. Their offensive line has ranked just #26 in pass protection. In terms of their defense, the Bears have ranked #8 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 234 yards per game through the air against them (#10 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #29 with 3.87 yards per carry. Chicago has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 6.23 yards per target (#1-best). Chicago pass defense has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up 58 yards per game (#1-worst).

Indianapolis's primary advantage has been their run offense, which ranks #7 in football at 4.37 yards per carry. When it comes to their defense, the Colts check in at #27 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 216 yards per game against Indianapolis this year (#22 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #12 against them with 4.52 yards per ground attempt. This Colts defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 130 yards per game (#8-best in the league). Indianapolis's defensive effectiveness in the pass game bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 38 yards per game (#5-worst in the league).

Chicago Bears vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction

Final Score: Chicago Bears 21.32 vs Indianapolis Colts 25.61

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NFL picks here.