The NFL playoffs will open with an AFC matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and Houston Texans. Both of these teams will look to advance to the Divisional playoff round, where they will likely be the lowest-seeded team remaining in the AFC playoffs. And with young stars at the quarterback position on both sides, there is plenty of intrigue in this matchup from NRG Stadium.
Here, we have put together our Chargers vs Texans Same Game Parlay, combining our favorite picks from this game into one ticket. Our NFL betting model has identified some plays worth putting together for this game. You will find those selections below, along with some insight into why we think they will combine for a winning parlay ticket.
Chargers vs Texans Same Game Parlay
- Under 42.5
- CJ Stroud Under 231.5 Passing Yards
- Under 4.5 Total Touchdowns
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Leg #1: Under 42.5
The first leg in our Chargers vs Texans Same Game Parlay is for the game to stay under the total of 42.5 points. We originally took the under for this game at 44.5 points, with the number dropping over the course of the week thanks to action coming in on that under. Still, we think that this game lands under the current total, thanks to the play of both of these teams on the defensive side of the ball.
Los Angeles has been especially impressive on defense this season, ranking number one in the NFL in points per game allowed. The Chargers gave up just 17.7 points per game on the year, making them one of just six teams in the league to give up under 20 points per game. On top of that, both of these teams are better against the pass than they are against the run, which should mean a moving clock to help keep the scoring low.
Leg #2: CJ Stroud Under 231.5 Passing Yards
Next up, we will take the under on passing yards for Texans quarterback CJ Stroud. Stroud had an underwhelming season this year for the Texans after early expectations that he could end up in the race to win the league’s MVP award. That was a product of injuries to key wide receivers like Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell, who are still out for this postseason matchup against the Chargers.
For the Texans, the key to their success on offense in this game will be to keep feeding Joe Mixon in the running game. Mixon rushed for over 1,000 yards for the Texans this year and he will need to have a big game against a Chargers team that gave up 117.5 yards per game on the ground. That should mean a decrease in pass attempts for Stroud and his passing yardage will be impacted as well.
Leg #3: Under 4.5 Total Touchdowns
The final leg of our Chargers vs Texans SGP is for the two teams to combine to score under 4.5 total touchdowns. This selection is correlated with the first two, as we expect both of these teams to play conservatively and keep the ball on the ground to avoid mistakes that could cost them this Wild Card matchup. Look for that to have an impact on the amount of scoring that is done in this game, as both teams will be happy to settle for field goals in what should be a low-scoring contest.
