Buffalo Bills VS Cincinnati Bengals Betting Pick & Preview – 11/05/2023

Jay Sanin on November 5th, 2023

Bills +2 (-110) +110

Bengals -2 (-110) -130

Bengals -2 (-110) over Bills

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Bills +2 (-110) +110

Bengals -2 (-110) -130

The Bengals are trending in the right direction of late as Joe Burrow continues to look better as he recovers from his calf injury.
Buffalo is going to continue to suffer from their injuries on defense against a Bengals team that has torn them up in their recent meetings.

The last Bills vs Bengals matchup went the way of the Bengals in the Divisional round of the last postseason. This time around, the Bengals should once again have the upper hand. Expect Joe Burrow to continue to improve his level of play as he continues to recover from a preseason calf injury. Meanwhile, the Bills defense will continue to struggle thanks to the losses of two of their top playmakers at different position groups.

NFL

Nov 05, 2023 08:20 PM

Buffalo Bills

Cincinnati Bengals

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-110

-1.5/-110

36% BUF

CIN 64%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+106

-130

24% BUF

CIN 76%

Total Pick Consensus

51.0/-110

51.0/-110

29% UN

OV 71%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

BUF	Team Stats	CIN
11	G	11
320	PTs	296
29.1	PPG	26.9
3798	YDS	3910
345.3	YDS/G	355.5
36	TD	34
3.3	TD/G	3.1
49.1	SC%	40.8
6.3	TO%	9.2

Defense/Offense

BUF	Team Stats	CIN
11	G	11
214	PTs	297
19.5	PPG	27
3620	YDS	3897
329.1	YDS/G	354.3
22	TD	35
2	TD/G	3.2
33.9	SC%	42.7
17.9	TO%	7.7

Passing

Offense/Defense

BUF	Passing	CIN
219	CMP	237
342	ATT	370
64.0	CMP%	64.1
226.1	YDS/GM	225.6
7.5	Y/A	7.0
7.0	NY/A	6.4
5	INT	6
13	SK	19

Defense/Offense

BUF	Passing	CIN
257	CMP	274
373	ATT	408
68.9	CMP%	67.2
210	YDS/GM	262.7
6.7	Y/A	7.4
5.8	NY/A	6.7
13	INT	4
27	SK	26

Rushing

Offense/Defense

BUF	Rushing	CIN
11	G	11
307	ATT	328
1311	YDS	1428
119.2	Y/G	129.8
4.3	Y/A	4.4
18	TD	15
1.6	TD/G	1.4

Defense/Offense

BUF	Rushing	CIN
11	G	11
270	ATT	249
1310	YDS	1007
119.1	Y/G	91.5
4.9	Y/A	4.0
6	TD	8
0.5	TD/G	0.7

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

BUF	Special Teams	CIN
20	Punts/Ret	19
243	Punt/Yds	162
12.2	Punt/Y/R	8.5
11	Kick Off/Ret	11
300	Kick Off/Yds	288
27.3	Kick Off/Y/rt	26.2

Defense/Offense

BUF	Special Teams	CIN
15	Punts/Ret	22
129	Punt/Yds	155
8.6	Punt/Y/R	7.0
11	Kick Off/Ret	22
349	Kick Off/Yds	608
31.7	Kick Off/Y/rt	27.6

Scoring

Offense/Defense

BUF	Scoring	CIN
11	G	11
18	RshTD	15
18	RecTD	19
19	FGM	15
22	FGA	18
29.1	Pts/G	26.9

Defense/Offense

BUF	Scoring	CIN
11	G	11
6	RshTD	8
16	RecTD	27
15	FGM	15
17	FGA	21
19.5	Pts/G	27.0

Team Advanced Defense

BUF	Defense	CIN
18.1%	Bltz%	22.6%
7.5%	Hrry%	5.7%
9.9%	QB Hit%	10.0%
22.9%	QB Prss%	19.0%

Open

Current

Book

BUF

CIN

BUF

CIN

Consensus

-1.5 -121

+1.5 -110

+3.0 -121

-3.0 -103

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-1.0 -115

+1.0 -110

+3.0 -115

-3.0 -105

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Open

Current

Book

BUF

CIN

BUF

CIN

Consensus

-121

+100

+123

-151

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-110

+114

-135

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$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

-115

-105

+125

-150

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Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

46.0 -110

48.5 -111

48.5 -110

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46.0 -110

48.5 -112

48.5 -108

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47.0 -112

47.0 -109

48.5 -110

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46.0 -110

48.5 -110

—-

46.0 -110

48.5 -110

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46.5 -115

46.5 -105

48.5 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
A.J. Klein	ILB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Alec Anderson	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Baylon Spector	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Damar Hamlin	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Damien Harris	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
DaQuan Jones	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Dawson Knox	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Germain Ifedi	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Josh Allen	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Justin Shorter	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Kaiir Elam	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Matt Milano	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Nyheim Hines	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Poona Ford	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Quintin Morris	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Rasul Douglas	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/02/23
Tommy Doyle	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Tre'Davious White	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Zach Davidson	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Akeem Davis-Gaither	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Charlie Jones	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Chase Brown	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
D'Ante Smith	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Devin Cochran	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Devin Harper	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Devonnsha Maxwell	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
DJ Ivey	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Joe Mixon	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Josh Tupou	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Max Scharping	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Orlando Brown Jr.	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Trey Hendrickson	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/03/23
Trey Hill	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23
Tycen Anderson	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/05/23

Betting Trends

BUF	Betting Trends	CIN
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-0-0
0-3-0	ATS W/L/P	3-0-0
21	Avg Score	27.33
18.67	Avg Opp Score	16.67
AWAY		HOME
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
26	Avg Score	20
18	Avg Opp Score	18.67

BUF	Betting Trends	CIN
OVERALL		OVERALL
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-1-0
1-4-0	ATS W/L/P	3-2-0
26.2	Avg Score	20.8
20.2	Avg Opp Score	18.6
AWAY		HOME
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-1-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
27.4	Avg Score	22.2
15.4	Avg Opp Score	17.8

BUF	Betting Trends	CIN
OVERALL		OVERALL
6-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	6-4-0
3-7-0	ATS W/L/P	4-6-0
26.6	Avg Score	20.2
19.4	Avg Opp Score	19.4
AWAY		HOME
6-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	9-1-0
4-6-0	ATS W/L/P	6-4-0
24.8	Avg Score	26.5
18.3	Avg Opp Score	17.6

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	OT	SC
01/22/23	CIN BUF	48.5 -5.5	+211 -257	14 0	3 7	7 3	3 0	0 0	27 10
09/22/19	CIN BUF	43.5 -6	+216 -270	0 8	0 6	7 0	10 7	0 0	17 21
10/08/17	BUF CIN	39.5 -3	+140 -150	3 7	7 3	3 0	3 10	0 0	16 20
11/20/16	BUF CIN	48 -2.5	+120 -140	7 6	3 6	3 0	3 0	0 0	16 12
10/18/15	CIN BUF	42 3	-164 +144	7 7	10 7	14 0	3 7	0 0	34 21
10/13/13	CIN BUF	41.5 6	N/A N/A	10 7	7 3	7 0	0 14	3 0	27 24
10/02/11	BUF CIN	43 3	N/A N/A	0 3	17 0	0 10	3 10	0 0	20 23
11/21/10	BUF CIN	41.5 -5.5	N/A N/A	7 7	7 24	14 0	21 0	0 0	49 31
11/04/07	CIN BUF	43.5 1	N/A N/A	7 7	7 6	7 3	0 17	0 0	21 33
12/24/05	BUF CIN	44.5 -13.5	N/A N/A	6 0	7 14	7 10	17 3	0 0	37 27

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/17/24	KC BUF	2 3	0.3 14.4	25:57 34:03	2-24 3-32	2-10-56 3-12-80
11/10/24	BUF IND	32 21	49.4 5.0	32:08 27:52	33-142 23-127	23-39-295 27-37-252
11/03/24	MIA BUF	19 21	2.9 33.8	31:53 28:07	21-103 13-65	17-19-155 17-27-159
10/27/24	BUF SEA	46 15	66.3 6.5	38:03 21:57	50-242 25-47	35-50-414 31-43-296
10/20/24	TEN BUF	4 21	3.7 25.5	32:46 27:14	15-55 12-46	16-25-124 13-21-196
10/14/24	BUF NYJ	32 28	58.3 2.0	29:34 30:26	46-209 30-170	27-35-295 32-49-382
10/06/24	BUF HOU	11 13	26.4 -0.8	26:50 33:10	16-83 16-52	3-17-70 16-21-184
09/29/24	BUF BAL	13 47	4.5 63.6	28:57 31:03	31-108 46-363	23-42-208 19-25-209
09/23/24	JAX BUF	2 23	1.0 22.7	28:20 31:40	4-45 14-60	13-22-72 12-15-130
09/12/24	BUF MIA	39 13	62.3 -3.2	23:41 36:19	33-137 43-177	17-24-177 32-50-269

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/17/24	CIN LAC	3 10	14.7 -0.3	34:08 25:52	2-34 2-48	3-15-105 2-11-86
11/07/24	CIN BAL	36 37	6.6 55.8	31:35 28:25	17-52 26-104	36-59-443 26-35-305
11/03/24	LV CIN	17 28	3.6 30.4	24:46 35:14	14-41 21-90	14-23-108 19-27-168
10/27/24	PHI CIN	55 25	5.4 70.0	31:48 28:12	57-237 29-85	24-29-348 38-55-327
10/20/24	CIN CLE	13 5	26.4 2.1	25:31 34:29	16-37 13-48	6-16-102 19-32-161
10/13/24	CIN NYG	24 14	64.7 8.9	25:53 34:07	28-170 44-167	27-39-257 31-58-267
10/06/24	BAL CIN	23 21	26.9 0.8	33:45 32:42	19-97 13-39	14-23-191 17-22-206
09/29/24	CIN CAR	46 32	-6.7 62.3	28:58 31:02	42-189 39-208	29-42-311 33-55-295
09/23/24	WAS CIN	19 16	1.7 22.2	33:06 26:54	16-53 5-61	10-11-121 14-19-152
09/15/24	CIN KC	32 33	60.4 -8.3	31:29 28:31	28-94 41-189	29-46-313 23-32-174

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