Buffalo Bills at New York Jets Prediction For 10/14/2024

Bills vs Jets Betting Odds

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Betting Preview

Monday Night Football will showcase a matchup between the Buffalo Bills (3-2) and New York Jets (2-3). Oddsmakers peg the Bills as the favorite with an implied win probablity of 56%, leaving the Jets with a 44% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Bills -2.5 with a Game Total of 41.0.

New York's primary disadvantage this season has been their rushing offense, which has ranked #32 in football with a low 3.27 yards per carry. Perhaps because they routinely fail to successfully establish the run, New York has also lacked effectiveness through the air. They've scraped together a measly 6.63 yards per target, ranking the bottom 10 in football. This presents a decided disadvantage for New York given that the Bills run defense has thrived this year, allowing a mere 5.01 yards per carry (good for #24-best in the NFL). When it comes to their defense, the Jets check in at #4 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 157 yards per game against New York this year (#31 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #23 against them with 4.37 yards per ground attempt. This Jets defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 6.36 yards per target (#1-best in the league). New York's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have caught 89.9% of their passes, #9-highest in the league.

Buffalo's biggest weakness has been their offense, ranking #23 in the league with a mere 287 yards per game. They've failed so much on offense in large part because of their passing attack, which checks in at #9-worst in football with 197 yards per game. This represents a particular disadvantage for Buffalo given that the Jets have excelled in stopping the pass this year, allowing just 6.1 yards per target (#1-best in the league). In terms of their defense, the Bills have ranked #19 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 219 yards per game through the air against them (#17 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #9 with 5.01 yards per carry. Buffalo has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 4.89 yards per target (#2-best). Buffalo pass defense has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up 61 yards per game (#1-worst).

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Prediction

Final Score: Buffalo Bills 22.56 vs New York Jets 21.32

**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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