Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Pick & Prediction – 1/26/2025

Bills vs Chiefs Betting Odds

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

The last time these two teams played each other was Week 11 in 2024. That game resulted in a win for the Bills with a final score of 30-21. The Bills entered that game as a slight road favorite. They were favored by 2.5 points before covering the spread. The Game Total for that game was 47.0 and which the Over hit.

Kansas City's primary disadvantage this season has been their rushing offense, which has ranked #30 in football with a low 3.67 yards per carry. This presents a decided disadvantage for Kansas City given that the Bills run defense has thrived this year, allowing a mere 4.52 yards per carry (good for #13-best in the NFL). When it comes to their defense, the Chiefs check in at #7 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 215 yards per game against Kansas City this year (#19 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #27 against them with 4.18 yards per ground attempt. This Chiefs pass defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, keeping them in check at just 20 yards per game (#1-best in the league). Kansas City's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, who have scorched them for 63 yards per game (#1-worst in the league).

Buffalo's biggest strength has been their rushing offense, ranking #7 in the league with 4.8 yards per carry. With how successful they've been on the ground, this has opened up opportunities through the air as well; Buffalo has averaged 7.75 yards per target, which ranks them #8 in football. In terms of their defense, the Bills have ranked #14 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 216 yards per game through the air against them (#14 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #20 with 4.52 yards per carry. Buffalo has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 6.73 yards per target (#4-best). Buffalo has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up a 70.8% completion rate (#1-highest).

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

Final Score: Buffalo Bills 24.27 vs Kansas City Chiefs 25.69

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