An emerging rivalry in the NFL will write another recent chapter when the Cincinnati Bengals visit Arrowhead Stadium to play in the AFC Championship Game. It will be the fourth time the Bengals and Chiefs will play in their last 12 months and a rematch of last season’s AFC title game won by Joe Burrow’s Cincy squad. Here, we give you our Bengals vs Chiefs parlay for the AFC Championship Game.
Cincinnati won all three of those games over the Chiefs but are slight betting underdogs at +1.5 against the spread as of this weekend. The betting line for this game has jumped all over the place, with the Bengals listed as favorites at one point when Patrick Mahomes’ status was more in doubt.
Mahomes injured his ankle in the first half against the Jacksonville Jaguars but hobbled his way through a gutsy winning performance. Travis Kelce also picked up a back injury and was listed as questionable but is confirmed to be a go on Sunday.
Will Mahomes and Kelce be able to put up their usual production? Or will the Bengals frustrate the Chiefs for a fourth straight win to head to their second straight Super Bowl? Let’s dive into this matchup and come up with three interesting bets to build a Bengals v Chiefs Same Game Parlay.
| Pick 1 | Bengals ML (+105) |
| Pick 2 | Joe Burrow Over 277.5 Passing Yards (-110) |
| Pick 3 | Isiah Pacheco Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (-115) |
| Bengals vs Chiefs Parlay Odds | +800 (Bet $20 to win $160) |
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NFL
Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
| CIN | Passing | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 361 | CMP | 303 |
| 527 | ATT | 464 |
| 68.5 | CMP% | 65.3 |
| 271.4 | YDS/GM | 215 |
| 7.5 | Y/A | 6.9 |
| 6.8 | NY/A | 6.1 |
| 8 | INT | 10 |
| 33 | SK | 32 |
Defense/Offense
| CIN | Passing | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 311 | CMP | 337 |
| 477 | ATT | 504 |
| 65.2 | CMP% | 66.9 |
| 239.2 | YDS/GM | 224.1 |
| 7.3 | Y/A | 6.7 |
| 6.7 | NY/A | 5.8 |
| 12 | INT | 11 |
| 25 | SK | 35 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
| CIN | Rushing | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | G | 14 |
| 309 | ATT | 327 |
| 1275 | YDS | 1287 |
| 91.1 | Y/G | 91.9 |
| 4.1 | Y/A | 3.9 |
| 10 | TD | 11 |
| 0.7 | TD/G | 0.8 |
Defense/Offense
| CIN | Rushing | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | G | 14 |
| 405 | ATT | 391 |
| 1777 | YDS | 1570 |
| 126.9 | Y/G | 112.1 |
| 4.4 | Y/A | 4.0 |
| 18 | TD | 12 |
| 1.3 | TD/G | 0.9 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
| CIN | Special Teams | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Punts/Ret | 22 |
| 195 | Punt/Yds | 227 |
| 7.2 | Punt/Y/R | 10.3 |
| 30 | Kick Off/Ret | 23 |
| 853 | Kick Off/Yds | 669 |
| 28.4 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 29.1 |
Defense/Offense
| CIN | Special Teams | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Punts/Ret | 26 |
| 182 | Punt/Yds | 260 |
| 8.7 | Punt/Y/R | 10.0 |
| 14 | Kick Off/Ret | 20 |
| 344 | Kick Off/Yds | 542 |
| 24.6 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 27.1 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
| CIN | Scoring | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | G | 14 |
| 10 | RshTD | 11 |
| 36 | RecTD | 18 |
| 19 | FGM | 20 |
| 25 | FGA | 27 |
| 28.5 | Pts/G | 18.5 |
Defense/Offense
| CIN | Scoring | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | G | 14 |
| 18 | RshTD | 12 |
| 26 | RecTD | 22 |
| 20 | FGM | 29 |
| 24 | FGA | 33 |
| 27.6 | Pts/G | 23.5 |
Team Advanced Defense
| CIN | Defense | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 22.8% | Bltz% | 31.3% |
| 7.3% | Hrry% | 9.2% |
| 10.7% | QB Hit% | 11.6% |
| 21.5% | QB Prss% | 25.3% |
Injuries
| Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cappa | G | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Ben Brown | C | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Brandon Wilson | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Chidobe Awuzie | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Chris Evans | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Clark Harris | LS | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Drew Sample | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Elijah Holyfield | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Hayden Hurst | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/27/23 |
| Jake Browning | QB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Jalen Davis | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Jay Tufele | DT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Jeff Gunter | DE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Joe Bachie | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/27/23 |
| Jonah Williams | OT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| La'el Collins | OT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Ted Karras | C | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/26/23 |
| Tre Flowers | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/27/23 |
| Tycen Anderson | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Bell | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Cornell Powell | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Darian Kinnard | OT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Ihmir Smith-Marsette | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Jerick McKinnon | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/26/23 |
| Jody Fortson | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/28/23 |
| Jordan Franks | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Joshua Kaindoh | DE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Justin Watson | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Justyn Ross | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Malik Herring | DE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Mecole Hardman | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/26/23 |
| Shane Buechele | QB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Tershawn Wharton | DT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Travis Kelce | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/29/23 |
| Willie Gay | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/26/23 |
Betting Trends
| CIN | Betting Trends | KC |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 26 | Avg Score | 28.33 |
| 14.33 | Avg Opp Score | 19 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 27.67 | Avg Score | 26 |
| 17 | Avg Opp Score | 18 |
| CIN | Betting Trends | KC |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 5-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 26.8 | Avg Score | 27.8 |
| 16.8 | Avg Opp Score | 18.2 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 5-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 5-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 28 | Avg Score | 26.2 |
| 19.4 | Avg Opp Score | 16.2 |
| CIN | Betting Trends | KC |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 10-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 8-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
| 28.3 | Avg Score | 28 |
| 18.5 | Avg Opp Score | 20 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 8-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-8-0 |
| 24.4 | Avg Score | 25.2 |
| 20.6 | Avg Opp Score | 20.2 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
Pick 1: Bengals ML (+105)
The saying is it is hard to beat a team three times in a row but the task for the Bengals to earn a trip to the Super Bowl is to beat the Chiefs for a fourth time since last January.
Cincinnati should have all the confidence against a team they have enjoyed plenty of success against. Combine the momentum of dominating the Buffalo Bills in the snow on the road in a 27-10 win that was never close and the Bengals are going to be a tough team for the Chiefs to beat.
With the added factors of injuries to Mahomes and Kelce that could slow the Chiefs offense down, there is a lot to like about backing another Burrow led Bengals win at Arrowhead. Apologies for the rhyming.
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Pick 2: Joe Burrow Over 277.5 Passing Yards (-110)
You have probably been exhausted with the narrative of Burrow’s dominance against the Chiefs. But the fact is this is a matchup the Bengals aerial attack has had a lot of success in the three wins.
Burrow has averaged 327.3 yards against the Chiefs and has eight passing touchdowns. The Chiefs secondary has yet to find an answer for the depth of talented wideouts on the Bengals. It is likely Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins get open enough to replicate the success they have enjoyed over the Chiefs into another 300 yard passing day.
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Pick 3: Isiah Pacheco Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
In the win against the Jaguars, Isiah Pacheco’s speed out of the backfield proved vital to the team’s success after Mahomes’ injury. Pacheco rushed 12 times for 95 yards, showcasing his speed for a blazing 7.9 yards per carry.
As the season has rolled on, Pacheco’s numbers have increased as the leader of the Kansas City ground attack. Pacheco has rushed for under 50 yards just once in the last ten games and has averaged 66.8 yards over the past five. His 728 yards since Week 10 also rank as the third most in the NFL.
With Mahomes likely to have reduced mobility it is logical to expect Pacheco to be relied upon to move the chains on the ground. If he sees double digit carries, Pacheco has the speed and recent production to feel good about him hitting the 50 yard mark.
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Bengals vs Chiefs Preview
Patrick Mahomes ankle sprain has been the focus of much of the talk this week but Chiefs fans can recall a past big game the week after an ankle injury to alleviate their anxieties. In Week 2 of the 2019 season, Mahomes bounced back from a Week 1 ankle injury to put up 443 yards and four touchdowns.
If Mahomes has limited availability on Sunday, it would impact a large part of what he does well. Per NFL’s Next Gen Stats, Mahomes leads the league in pass attempts outside the tackle box and extended pass attempts (after four seconds). Those parts of his game are what makes Mahomes special and if his ankle continues to bother him, it will take a ton of toughness to run around like he usually does.
Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo is under pressure to find an answer to stop Joe Burrow after three poor efforts as a defensive unit. Expect Spagnuolo to bring the pressure with Frank Clark and Chris Jones to attempt to exploit the Bengals banged up offensive line. Something the Buffalo Bills failed to do against the Bengals last week.
Cincinnati might have just one Pro Bowler on defense but their unit is incredibly underrated. Especially in the secondary, where the Bengals allowed the lowest passing percentage and passer rating in the NFL. Mahomes has struggled late in games against the Bengals pass coverage so don’t be surprised to see Vonn Bell or Mike Hilton make a game changing play late.
