Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick For 10/21/2024

Ravens vs Buccaneers Betting Odds

Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

Monday Night Football will showcase a matchup between the Baltimore Ravens (4-2) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2). Oddsmakers peg the Ravens as the favorite with an implied win probablity of 64%, leaving the Buccaneers with a 36% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Ravens -3.5 with a Game Total of 48.5.

Tampa Bay's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #6 in football at 363 yards per game. The quality of their rushing attack has led to much of their success. The Buccaneers 5.28 yards per carry ranks #5-best in the NFL. Given their ground game success, this has opened up opportunities through the air too; Tampa Bay's 8.01 yards per target puts them #7 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Buccaneers check in at #27 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 260 yards per game against Tampa Bay this year (#5 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #11 against them with 5 yards per ground attempt. This Buccaneers defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 6.66 yards per target (#3-best in the league). Tampa Bay's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, who have scorched them for 9.59 yards per target (#2-worst in the league).

Baltimore's biggest strength has been their run defense, which ranks #1 in the league while allowing just 2.99 yards per carry this season. The Ravens defensive ends have played a big part in their ability to stop the run, ranking #1-best in the NFL by this measure. In terms of their offense, the Ravens have ranked #3 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 249 yards per game (#9 in football). On the ground they've ranked #2 with 5.78 yards per carry.

Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

Final Score: Baltimore Ravens 24.39 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20.95

**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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