Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals Best Bet – 10/6/2024

Ravens vs Bengals Betting Odds

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview

Sunday the Baltimore Ravens (2-2) will battle the Cincinnati Bengals (1-3). Oddsmakers peg the Ravens as the favorite with an implied win probablity of 57%, leaving the Bengals with a 43% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Ravens -2.5 with a Game Total of 50.5.

Baltimore's biggest strength has been their offense, ranking #5 in the league with 351 yards per game. They've achieved offensive success largely through the quality of their rushing attack, which is #1-best in football with 5.97 yards per carry. With how successful they've been on the ground, this has opened up opportunities through the air as well; Baltimore has averaged 7.79 yards per target, which ranks them #3 in football. This represents a particular advantage for Baltimore given that the Bengals have struggled so much to stop the run this year, allowing 4.66 yards per carry (#8-worst in the league). In terms of their defense, the Ravens have ranked #16 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 277 yards per game through the air against them (#2 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #24 with 4.17 yards per carry. Baltimore has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to a 78.1% completion rate (#6-lowest). Baltimore has been least effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, giving up 67 yards per game (#2-worst).

Cincinnati's primary disadvantage has been their run defense, which has allowed a monstrous 4.66 yards per attempt on the ground this year, sliding them into the #8 spot among the league's worst. That kind of ineffectiveness has also leached over to their pass defense, which has landed them in the #32 spot in terms of yards per target (8.63). Bengals safeties are perhaps most responsible for their dismal run defense this year, given that they grade out as the #3-worst unit in the NFL. When it comes to their offense, the Bengals check in at #29 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 183 yards per game (#23 in football). Their run game has ranked #16 with 4.08 yards per attempt on the ground.

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction

Final Score: Baltimore Ravens 23.7 vs Cincinnati Bengals 21.15

**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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