Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders Prediction For 12/29/2024

Falcons vs Commanders Betting Odds

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders Betting Preview

The last time these two teams played each other was Week 6 in 2023. That game resulted in a win for the Commanders with a final score of 24-16. The Falcons entered that game as a slight road favorite. They were favored by 1.5 points before covering the spread. The Game Total for that game was 42.0 and which the Under hit.

Atlanta's biggest strength has been their offense, ranking #5 in the league with 339 yards per game. They've achieved offensive success largely through the quality of their passing attack, which is #9-best in football with 229 yards per game. Perhaps because the defense has to take their pass game so seriously, the Falcons have also managed to rush for 4.55 yards per carry, which puts them in the top 10. This represents a particular advantage for Atlanta given that the Commanders have struggled so much to stop the pass this year, allowing 8.01 yards per target (#8-worst in the league). In terms of their defense, the Falcons have ranked #21 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 241 yards per game through the air against them (#11 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #17 with 4.59 yards per carry. Atlanta has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to 5.3 yards per target (#4-best). Atlanta has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up a 72.9% completion rate (#1-highest).

Washington's primary advantage has been their defense, which has allowed a scant 340 yards per game -- #10-best in the NFL. They've succeeded in large part due to their pass defense, which has held opposing air attacks to the #4-least yards per game: 212. The Washington Commanders pass defense has had the most success in covering opposing running backs, who have managed just 24 yards per game against them (#31-least in football). Washington's best coverage unit has been their linebackers, which grade out as the #8 unit in the NFL in this regard. Washington's pass rush has been led by their linebackers who, ranking as the #2 unit in the NFL, have given opposing quarterbacks fits. When it comes to their offense, the Commanders check in at #14 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 211 yards per game (#19 in football). Their run game has ranked #7 with 4.87 yards per attempt on the ground.

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders Prediction

Final Score: Atlanta Falcons 21.23 vs Washington Commanders 25.42

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