Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick & Prediction – 10/27/2024

Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Odds

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

Kirk Cousins and the Atlanta Falcons faceoff against Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Falcons enter the game as a favorite (-140) despite being on the road. Atlanta is currently favored by -2.5 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 46.0.

Atlanta's biggest strength has been their offense, ranking #5 in the league with 316 yards per game. They've achieved offensive success largely through the quality of their passing attack, which is #7-best in football with 222 yards per game. Perhaps because the defense has to take their pass game so seriously, the Falcons have also managed to rush for 4.97 yards per carry, which puts them in the top 10. In terms of their defense, the Falcons have ranked #20 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 214 yards per game through the air against them (#19 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #18 with 4.67 yards per carry. Atlanta has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to 4.4 yards per target (#1-best). Atlanta has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up a 72.7% completion rate (#1-highest).

Tampa Bay's primary disadvantage has been their run defense, which has allowed a monstrous 5.44 yards per attempt on the ground this year, sliding them into the #4 spot among the league's worst. Buccaneers linebackers are perhaps most responsible for their dismal run defense this year, given that they grade out as the #1-worst unit in the NFL. This presents a decided disadvantage for Tampa Bay given that the Falcons ground game has been so good this year, rushing for 4.97 yards per carry (#8-best in the league). When it comes to their offense, the Buccaneers check in at #7 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 216 yards per game (#10 in football). Their run game has ranked #5 with 5.28 yards per attempt on the ground.

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

Final Score: Atlanta Falcons 23.76 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21.94

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