Sacramento Kings

Sacramento Kings

Mar 5, 2025

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Pick – 3/5/2025


On March 5, 2025, the Sacramento Kings will face off against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena in Denver, with tip-off scheduled for 9:00 PM ET. This matchup features two teams heading in different directions: the Kings, currently sitting at 32-28, have won four consecutive games, while the Nuggets boast a strong 39-22 record.

The Nuggets enter this contest as clear favorites, with a spread of Nuggets -6.0 and a moneyline of -250. This reflects Denver's implied win probability of 69%, while Sacramento's moneyline of +210 gives them an implied win probability of 31%. The extra days of rest for the Nuggets, following their loss to the Boston Celtics three days ago, could prove beneficial as they look to bounce back and maintain their position in the standings.

Sacramento is coming off a decisive 122-98 victory over the Dallas Mavericks, showcasing their offensive prowess. However, the Kings will need to contend with a Nuggets squad that has won 28 of their last 40 games, highlighting their consistent performance throughout the season.

A player prop to watch in this game is Jonas Valanciunas's Points, Rebounds, and Assists, which has emerged as the most popular betting market. With the current line set at Over 28.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists at -110, sharp bettors are leaning towards the Over, believing it offers value.

As both teams take the court, the Kings will aim to extend their winning streak, while the Nuggets look to capitalize on their home advantage and get back on track. This game promises to be an exciting clash with significant playoff implications.


Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Sacramento Kings 116.25 vs Denver Nuggets 115.36


Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Kings34%53%
Nuggets66%47%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.0/-110
27% SAC
-6.0/-105
73% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+195
16% SAC
-238
84% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

235.5/-110
14% UN
235.5/-110
86% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

SAC
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
60
Games
61
43.4
FG
43.0
90.9
FGA
92.9
.478
FG%
.463
12.5
3Pt-FG
13.9
35.7
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.351
3Pt%
.361
30.9
2Pt-FG
29.1
55.2
2Pt-FGA
54.4
.560
2Pt%
.534
17.5
FT
16.1
21.6
FTA
20.7
.810
FT%
.781
11.1
ORB
11.6
33.9
DRB
30.6
44.9
TRB
42.2
27.0
AST
29.2
7.9
STL
8.9
4.7
BLK
5.1
13.5
TOV
13.3
19.0
PF
18.9
116.9
PTS
116.0

Defense/Offense

SAC
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
60
Games
61
41.4
FG
45.8
88.8
FGA
90.1
.466
FG%
.508
14.4
3Pt-FG
12.0
38.4
3Pt-FGA
31.5
.375
3Pt%
.381
27.0
2Pt-FG
33.8
50.3
2Pt-FGA
58.6
.536
2Pt%
.576
17.9
FT
17.6
22.5
FTA
22.7
.794
FT%
.775
10.1
ORB
11.3
32.7
DRB
34.7
42.8
TRB
46.0
26.9
AST
31.1
8.0
STL
8.2
4.5
BLK
4.7
14.3
TOV
14.4
18.7
PF
17.6
115.1
PTS
121.1

Offense/Defense

SAC
Four Factors
DEN
.547
eFG%
.537
11.8
TOV%
11.5
25.3
RB%
74.9
.192
FT/FGA
.174

Defense/Offense

SAC
Four Factors
DEN
.548
eFG%
.574
12.7
TOV%
12.6
77.0
RB%
26.9
.201
FT/FGA
.195

Offense/Defense

SAC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
60
Games
61
43.3
FG
42.6
90.6
FGA
92.1
.478
FG%
.463
12.5
3Pt-FG
13.8
35.6
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.351
3Pt%
.361
30.8
2Pt-FG
28.8
55.0
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.560
2Pt%
.534
17.4
FT
16.0
21.5
FTA
20.5
.810
FT%
.781
11.0
ORB
11.5
33.7
DRB
30.3
44.8
TRB
41.8
26.9
AST
28.9
7.8
STL
8.8
4.7
BLK
5.1
13.5
TOV
13.1
18.9
PF
18.7
116.5
PTS
115.0

Defense/Offense

SAC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
60
Games
61
41.3
FG
45.3
88.5
FGA
89.3
.466
FG%
.508
14.4
3Pt-FG
11.9
38.3
3Pt-FGA
31.2
.375
3Pt%
.381
26.9
2Pt-FG
33.4
50.2
2Pt-FGA
58.1
.536
2Pt%
.576
17.8
FT
17.4
22.4
FTA
22.5
.794
FT%
.775
10.1
ORB
11.2
32.6
DRB
34.4
42.7
TRB
45.6
26.8
AST
30.9
8.0
STL
8.1
4.5
BLK
4.6
14.3
TOV
14.3
18.7
PF
17.4
114.7
PTS
120.0

SAC
Analytics
DEN
33
Pythag Wins
39
27
Pythag Losses
22
1.85
Margin Of Victory
5.10
116.5
O Rtg
120.0
114.7
D Rtg
115.0
99.1
Pace
100.2
.238
FTr
.252
.393
3PAr
.350
.582
TS%
.605

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
SAC DEN
SAC DEN
Consensus
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-107)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-105)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-108)
+5.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-113)
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.0 (-105)
-6.0 (-115)
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
SAC DEN
SAC DEN
Consensus
+220
-270
+185
-222
+220
-270
+195
-238
+200
-245
+194
-235
+200
-245
+175
-215
+222
-278
+185
-225
+220
-275
+185
-225
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
236.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
234.5 (-109)
234.5 (-112)
236.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)
236.5 (-106)
236.5 (-114)
234.5 (-112)
234.5 (-108)
236.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
234.5 (-108)
234.5 (-113)
236.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
235.5 (-115)
235.5 (-105)
235.5 (-110)
235.5 (-110)

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