Luka Doncic projections and prop bets for Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder on Nov 17, 2024
Luka Doncic Player Prop Bet: Points
Points Prop Bet Odds:
- Points 27.5 over: -120
- Points 27.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Points Prop Bet
Luka Doncic has attempted 23.2 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.7).
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which should raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 13 games.
The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.2 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).
Trends Favoring The Under Points Prop Bet
Luka Doncic has sunk just 3.2 3-pointers per game this season, significantly lower than his 3.8 mark last season.
In comparison to last season's 2.2 clip, Luka Doncic's personal fouls per game have increased this season to 3.0.
The 7th-least up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
Luka Doncic has attempted just 6.7 foul shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 8.3 rate last year.
As it relates to getting to the free-throw line, the Dallas Mavericks's lackluster 19.8 free throw attempts per game while playing on the road comes in as the 5th-worst in the NBA this year.
Projection For Luka Doncic Points Prop Bet
Luka Doncic is projected to have 28.7 Points in this weeks game.
Luka Doncic Player Prop Bet: Made 3 Point Shots
Made 3 Point Shots Prop Bet Odds:
- Made 3 Point Shots 3.5 over: 115
- Made 3 Point Shots 3.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Made 3 Point Shots Prop Bet
Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic places in the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 37.1 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.7).
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which should raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 13 games.
Trends Favoring The Under Made 3 Point Shots Prop Bet
Luka Doncic has sunk just 3.2 3-pointers per game this season, significantly lower than his 3.8 mark last season.
In comparison to last season's 2.2 clip, Luka Doncic's personal fouls per game have increased this season to 3.0.
The Mavericks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The 7th-least up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
Luka Doncic will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to decrease player performance across the board.
Projection For Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop Bet
Luka Doncic is projected to have 3.3 Made 3 Point Shots in this weeks game.
