Dereck Lively II projections and prop bets for Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets on Nov 22, 2024
Dereck Lively II Player Prop Bet: Points
Points Prop Bet Odds:
- Points 7.5 over: -115
- Points 7.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Points Prop Bet
Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 98th percentile for scoring efficiency with an outstanding 71.8% rate this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise possessions for the Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Nikola Jokic has been very high this year (5.3 free throws per game when they are on the visiting team: 96th percentile).
Trends Favoring The Under Points Prop Bet
Dereck Lively II has converted 0.0% of his three-point attempts on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Dereck Lively II has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (94th percentile).
In terms of three-point attempts, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.
The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when Jokic is at home and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 1.9 3-pointers per game (4th percentile).
The 5th-most lethargic tempo away offense in the league this year has been the Mavericks.
Projection For Dereck Lively II Points Prop Bet
Dereck Lively II is projected to have 9.7 Points in this weeks game.
