Daniel Gafford projections and prop bets for Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets on Nov 10, 2024
Daniel Gafford Player Prop Bet: Points
Points Prop Bet Odds:
- Points 10.5 over: -135
- Points 10.5 under: -101
Trends Favoring The Over Points Prop Bet
Daniel Gafford has successfully made 81.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 9.3% higher than he's sunk overall this year.
In regard to shots from the field, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 42.2 drained shots per game ranks 8th-highest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a strong one for field goal attempts; when Jokic is on his home court other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 15.2 field goals per game (100th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.
The matchup with Nikola Jokic when it comes to getting to the charity stripe comes in at only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a monstrous 5.5 free throws per game this year when they are away from home.
Trends Favoring The Under Points Prop Bet
Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 threes per game away from his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 4th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 94th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.9 fouls per game while playing away from home since the start of last season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the league away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 7thworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Daniel Gafford stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this game.
Projection For Daniel Gafford Points Prop Bet
Daniel Gafford is projected to have 10.6 Points in this weeks game.