Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Game 7 Pick For 5/19/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

May 19, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Game 7 Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 19, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Betting Odds

Spread: Minnesota Timberwolves 5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -5 (-110)
Over/Under Total: 198
Moneyline: Minnesota Timberwolves 165, Denver Nuggets -195

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Minnesota Timberwolves - 36% Minnesota Timberwolves - 38%
Denver Nuggets - 64% Denver Nuggets - 62%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Game 7 Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves (63-29) are set to face off against the Denver Nuggets (64-29) in Game 7 of their second-round playoff series in the Western Conference at Ball Arena on Sunday night. This game carries extra significance as these two divisional rivals aim to assert their dominance over one another, with a spot in the Western Conference Finals on the line.

As the home team, the Nuggets hold the upper hand in this matchup. They are favored by sportsbooks with a spread of -5.0, indicating that they are expected to win by a margin of at least five points.

In terms of the betting odds, the Nuggets hold a stronger position. Their moneyline is currently set at -190, suggesting that they have a higher likelihood of winning the game. On the other hand, the Timberwolves' moneyline is listed at +165, giving them a lower implied probability of victory at 37%.

In their previous encounter, the Timberwolves emerged victorious with an impressive 115-70 win over the Nuggets. This result may serve as extra motivation for the Nuggets to seek redemption and even the score.

For those interested in player prop bets, keep an eye on Nikola Jokic's Points and Assists. It has already become the most popular betting market for this game, indicating significant interest from bettors. The prop total for Jokic's Points and Assists opened at Over 38.5 (-115) but quickly moved to 39.5 (-110), indicating sharp bettors favoring the Over.

Both teams have been performing well in recent games, with the Timberwolves winning 33 of their last 50 games and the Nuggets victorious in 35 of their last 50. This suggests that we can expect a competitive and thrilling matchup between these two talented squads.

As the Timberwolves and Nuggets take the court at 8:00 PM ET, basketball fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly watching to see which team will emerge victorious in this divisional clash.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Minnesota Timberwolves 101.41 vs Denver Nuggets 105.52

Stay informed with the most recent NBA news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and predictions all season long.

Subscribe to our newsletter to get our best bets every week!

*By clicking the "Subscribe" button, you agree to receive promotional emails.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.5/-108
45% MIN
-4.5/-112
55% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+158
18% MIN
-191
82% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

201.5/-110
3% UN
201.5/-110
97% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
79
Games
79
41.4
FG
40.5
85.4
FGA
87.9
.485
FG%
.461
12.7
3Pt-FG
11.2
32.8
3Pt-FGA
31.5
.388
3Pt%
.354
28.6
2Pt-FG
29.3
52.6
2Pt-FGA
56.4
.545
2Pt%
.521
17.7
FT
17.3
22.8
FTA
22.2
.778
FT%
.776
9.4
ORB
10.9
31.1
DRB
27.7
40.5
TRB
38.5
26.7
AST
25.7
7.9
STL
7.1
6.0
BLK
4.8
13.2
TOV
11.3
18.7
PF
17.9
113.2
PTS
109.5

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
79
Games
79
38.8
FG
43.9
86.8
FGA
88.7
.447
FG%
.495
11.4
3Pt-FG
11.7
32.4
3Pt-FGA
31.2
.352
3Pt%
.374
27.4
2Pt-FG
32.2
54.4
2Pt-FGA
57.6
.504
2Pt%
.560
17.2
FT
15.1
21.9
FTA
19.9
.785
FT%
.762
10.3
ORB
10.7
28.0
DRB
29.4
38.2
TRB
40.2
24.4
AST
29.4
7.5
STL
7.1
4.5
BLK
5.6
13.1
TOV
11.5
19.7
PF
18.1
106.2
PTS
114.6

Offense/Defense

MIN
Four Factors
DEN
.559
eFG%
.525
12.1
TOV%
10.4
25.1
RB%
73.0
.208
FT/FGA
.196

Defense/Offense

MIN
Four Factors
DEN
.513
eFG%
.561
11.9
TOV%
10.5
75.2
RB%
27.9
.198
FT/FGA
.171

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
79
Games
79
43.2
FG
42.8
89.1
FGA
92.9
.485
FG%
.461
13.3
3Pt-FG
11.8
34.2
3Pt-FGA
33.3
.388
3Pt%
.354
29.9
2Pt-FG
31.0
54.9
2Pt-FGA
59.6
.545
2Pt%
.521
18.5
FT
18.2
23.8
FTA
23.5
.778
FT%
.776
9.8
ORB
11.5
32.5
DRB
29.3
42.3
TRB
40.7
27.9
AST
27.2
8.2
STL
7.5
6.3
BLK
5.1
13.7
TOV
12.0
19.6
PF
18.9
118.1
PTS
115.7

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
79
Games
79
40.5
FG
46.4
90.5
FGA
93.8
.447
FG%
.495
11.9
3Pt-FG
12.3
33.8
3Pt-FGA
33.0
.352
3Pt%
.374
28.6
2Pt-FG
34.1
56.7
2Pt-FGA
60.8
.504
2Pt%
.560
17.9
FT
16.0
22.8
FTA
21.0
.785
FT%
.762
10.7
ORB
11.3
29.2
DRB
31.1
39.9
TRB
42.5
25.4
AST
31.1
7.8
STL
7.5
4.7
BLK
5.9
13.6
TOV
12.1
20.6
PF
19.2
110.8
PTS
121.2

MIN
Analytics
DEN
56
Pythag Wins
52
23
Pythag Losses
27
7.01
Margin Of Victory
5.16
118.1
O Rtg
121.2
110.8
D Rtg
115.7
95.2
Pace
94.5
.267
FTr
.224
.384
3PAr
.351
.593
TS%
.588

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN DEN
MIN DEN
Consensus
+5.0 (-111)
-5.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-111)
-4.5 (-110)
+5.0 (-108)
-5.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-112)
+5.0 (-114)
-5.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-114)
-4.5 (-106)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-109)
+5.0 (-105)
-5.0 (-105)
+4.0 (-105)
-4.0 (-115)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIN DEN
MIN DEN
Consensus
+167
-200
+158
-191
+170
-205
+164
-198
+166
-198
+152
-180
+160
-190
+155
-186
+162
-195
+162
-195
+165
-200
+165
-200
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
197.5 (-110)
197.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-111)
198.0 (-110)
198.0 (-110)
200.5 (-110)
200.5 (-110)
197.5 (-110)
197.5 (-110)
201.0 (-112)
201.0 (-108)
197.5 (-110)
197.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
197.5 (-105)
197.5 (-115)
201.5 (-110)
201.5 (-110)
197.5 (-110)
197.5 (-110)
201.5 (-105)
201.5 (-115)