Khris Middleton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-125).
Pros
- Among all players in the league, Khris Middleton comes in at the 82nd percentile for shots made, posting an enormous 5.6 per game this year.
- Khris Middleton has successfully made 53.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 15.2% more than he’s converted from beyond the arc in all games this year when playing away from home.
- Khris Middleton has averaged 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he’s averaged overall this season.
- As it relates to offense, the Bucks’s outstanding 120.3 points per game rates 4th-most in the NBA this year.
- The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Hawks are at home, the other team’s starting SFs have posted the highest three rate in the NBA this year (60.1%).
Cons
- Khris Middleton has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he’s committed over the course of the season.
- The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which should reduce plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.
- Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.
- The matchup vs. the Hawks may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team’s starting SFs have attempted just 2.0 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).
- Khris Middleton is expected to suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.
Prop Bet & Prediction: Khris Middleton is projected for 18.8 Points
