DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-109).
Pros
- DeMar DeRozan has posted 30.0 points per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 6.5 higher than he’s posted overall this year on the road.
- DeMar DeRozan has made 54.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 5.9% higher than he’s sunk over the course of the season when playing away from home.
- Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 100th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 37.7 minutes per game this year.
- The Chicago Bulls have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the road team.
- Offensive rebounds save possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 10.9 offensive boards per game this year.
Cons
- The Chicago Bulls check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
- The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for field goals; the other team’s starting SFs have posted the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (40.6%).
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Bulls.
- This year, the other team’s starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
- DeMar DeRozan ought to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.
Prop Projection: DeMar DeRozan is projected for 22.4 Points
