Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte Hornets

Mar 10, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Prediction – 3/10/2025


The Charlotte Hornets (15-48) face off against the Miami Heat (29-34) on March 10, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center. This divisional matchup brings an added layer of significance, as both teams will be highly motivated to secure a victory.

The Miami Heat come into this contest as heavy favorites, with a spread currently set at Heat -9.5 and a moneyline of -410. This implies an 78% chance of victory for the Heat, who are looking to break out of a rut after losing three consecutive games, including a narrow defeat to the Chicago Bulls (114-109).

On the other hand, the Charlotte Hornets have struggled mightily this season, losing 40 of their last 50 games. However, they pulled off an upset in their last outing, defeating the Brooklyn Nets 105-102 as 5.5-point underdogs. The victory marked a rare highlight for the Hornets, who have an implied win probability of only 22% for this matchup, indicated by their moneyline of +335.

Despite the Hornets' recent win, their overall performance this season has been subpar. With Miami's playoff aspirations on the line, the Heat will look to capitalize on their home court advantage. The intensity of this rivalry makes every game significant, and while Miami may enter as favorites, the unpredictable nature of basketball could lead to surprises.


Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Charlotte Hornets 103.88 vs Miami Heat 113.69


Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Hornets22%22%
Heat78%78%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.0/-108
61% CHA
-9.0/-112
39% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+330
9% CHA
-425
91% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

215.5/-108
18% UN
215.5/-112
82% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

CHA
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
63
Games
63
38.3
FG
41.3
90.1
FGA
89.2
.425
FG%
.463
13.2
3Pt-FG
13.8
39.2
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.337
3Pt%
.357
25.1
2Pt-FG
27.5
50.8
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.493
2Pt%
.544
15.6
FT
14.2
20.0
FTA
18.1
.778
FT%
.781
12.9
ORB
10.8
32.9
DRB
34.5
45.8
TRB
45.3
23.9
AST
26.9
7.8
STL
7.4
4.6
BLK
4.7
15.4
TOV
13.5
19.2
PF
17.4
105.3
PTS
110.5

Defense/Offense

CHA
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
63
Games
63
41.0
FG
39.7
88.0
FGA
86.8
.465
FG%
.458
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.9
39.7
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.347
3Pt%
.361
27.2
2Pt-FG
25.8
48.4
2Pt-FGA
48.3
.562
2Pt%
.534
17.3
FT
16.7
22.0
FTA
21.1
.788
FT%
.794
11.0
ORB
9.5
34.1
DRB
34.2
45.1
TRB
43.7
26.7
AST
26.4
8.5
STL
7.8
5.5
BLK
3.8
13.9
TOV
13.6
18.6
PF
15.9
113.0
PTS
110.1

Offense/Defense

CHA
Four Factors
MIA
.499
eFG%
.540
13.5
TOV%
12.2
27.4
RB%
76.0
.173
FT/FGA
.159

Defense/Offense

CHA
Four Factors
MIA
.543
eFG%
.537
12.5
TOV%
12.4
74.9
RB%
21.6
.197
FT/FGA
.193

Offense/Defense

CHA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
63
Games
63
39.0
FG
42.2
91.7
FGA
91.2
.425
FG%
.463
13.5
3Pt-FG
14.1
40.0
3Pt-FGA
39.4
.337
3Pt%
.357
25.5
2Pt-FG
28.1
51.8
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.493
2Pt%
.544
15.8
FT
14.5
20.4
FTA
18.5
.778
FT%
.781
13.1
ORB
11.0
33.5
DRB
35.2
46.7
TRB
46.3
24.3
AST
27.5
8.0
STL
7.6
4.6
BLK
4.9
15.7
TOV
13.8
19.6
PF
17.8
107.3
PTS
113.0

Defense/Offense

CHA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
63
Games
63
41.7
FG
40.6
89.7
FGA
88.8
.465
FG%
.458
14.0
3Pt-FG
14.2
40.4
3Pt-FGA
39.4
.347
3Pt%
.361
27.7
2Pt-FG
26.4
49.3
2Pt-FGA
49.4
.562
2Pt%
.534
17.6
FT
17.1
22.4
FTA
21.5
.788
FT%
.794
11.2
ORB
9.7
34.7
DRB
35.0
46.0
TRB
44.7
27.2
AST
27.0
8.6
STL
8.0
5.6
BLK
3.8
14.2
TOV
13.9
19.0
PF
16.2
115.1
PTS
112.5

CHA
Analytics
MIA
17
Pythag Wins
31
46
Pythag Losses
32
-7.62
Margin Of Victory
-0.46
107.3
O Rtg
112.5
115.1
D Rtg
113.0
97.7
Pace
96.4
.222
FTr
.243
.436
3PAr
.443
.533
TS%
.573

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CHA MIA
CHA MIA
Consensus
+10.0 (-109)
-10.0 (-108)
+9.0 (-109)
-9.0 (-112)
+9.5 (-108)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-112)
+10.0 (-110)
-10.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+10.0 (-107)
-10.0 (-108)
+9.0 (-107)
-9.0 (-114)
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
CHA MIA
CHA MIA
Consensus
+315
-400
+313
-398
+320
-410
+330
-425
+315
-400
+310
-390
+360
-480
+310
-400
+320
-420
+335
-440
+320
-425
+310
-400
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-111)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
215.5 (-112)
215.5 (-108)
215.5 (-110)
215.5 (-110)
216.5 (-108)
216.5 (-112)
216.5 (-112)
216.5 (-109)
216.5 (-108)
216.5 (-113)
216.0 (-105)
216.0 (-115)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)
215.5 (-115)
215.5 (-105)
216.5 (-110)
216.5 (-110)

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