Texas Rangers

Texas Rangers

May 8, 2024

Oakland Athletics

Oakland Athletics
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends

Texas Rangers vs Oakland Athletics Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 8, 2024
  • Venue: Oakland Coliseum
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Jack Leiter - Rangers
    • Osvaldo Bido - Athletics

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Rangers -135, Athletics 115
Runline: Rangers -1.5 130, Athletics 1.5 -150
Over/Under Total: 8 -110

Texas Rangers vs Oakland Athletics Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Texas Rangers - 55% Texas Rangers - 58.86%
Oakland Athletics - 45% Oakland Athletics - 41.14%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Texas Rangers vs Oakland Athletics Betting Preview

The Oakland Athletics will face off against the Texas Rangers in an American League West matchup on May 8, 2024, at Oakland Coliseum. This game is the second of a double-header between these two teams, and both teams may rest some players who played in the first game.

The Athletics, who hold a record of 17-20 this season, are having a below-average season. They will be the home team in this game. The Rangers, on the other hand, have a record of 21-16 and are having a good season. They will be the away team.

The Athletics are projected to start Osvaldo Bido, a right-handed pitcher. According to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, Bido is ranked as the #252 best starting pitcher in MLB, making him one of the worst in the league. He is expected to pitch an average of 4.6 innings, allowing 2.6 earned runs, striking out 3.8 batters, and giving up 4.7 hits and 1.9 walks per game.

The Rangers will counter with Jack Leiter, also a right-handed pitcher. Leiter has started 1 game this year and has an ERA of 17.18, which is considered horrible. However, his 7.02 xFIP suggests that he has been unlucky and is likely to perform better going forward. He is projected to pitch an average of 4.9 innings, allowing 2.2 earned runs, striking out 5.4 batters, and giving up 4.2 hits and 1.9 walks per game.

In terms of offense, the Athletics rank as the #23 best team in MLB this season. However, their team batting average is ranked #30, making it a very weak aspect of their game. On the other hand, the Rangers have a stronger offense, ranking #11 overall and #2 in team batting average.

Overall, the Athletics are having a below-average season, and their offense has struggled. The Rangers, on the other hand, are having a good season and possess a stronger offense. With their better projected win probability, the Rangers appear to have an edge in this matchup.

Quick Takes Texas Rangers:

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.3) implies that Josh Smith has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 13.4 actual HR/600.

  • xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player's home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.

Jonah Heim pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-deepest RF fences today.

  • This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Oakland Athletics:

Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics.

  • Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

Brent Rooker's 15.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 94th percentile since the start of last season.

  • Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

The Oakland Athletics have 6 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Seth Brown, Kyle McCann, Lawrence Butler, Max Schuemann, Brent Rooker, J.D. Davis).

  • Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Game Trends

  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 70 of their last 122 games (+11.13 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Run Line in 21 of their last 25 away games (+17.10 Units / 43% ROI)

Texas Rangers vs Oakland Athletics Prediction

Final Score: Texas Rangers 5.22 vs Oakland Athletics 4.1

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-120
79% TEX
+100
21% OAK

Total Pick Consensus

8.0/-118
2% UN
8.0/-102
98% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.5/+142
92% TEX
+1.5/-170
8% OAK

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
TEX
Team Stats
OAK
3.98
ERA
5.80
.236
Batting Avg Against
.266
1.21
WHIP
1.55
.282
BABIP
.311
7.7%
BB%
10.9%
22.5%
K%
20.3%
72.9%
LOB%
66.8%
.273
Batting Avg
.222
.464
SLG
.362
.807
OPS
.662
.342
OBP
.300
TEX
Team Records
OAK
11-11
Home
10-13
12-11
Road
9-14
16-15
vRHP
13-19
7-7
vLHP
6-8
9-9
vs>.500
9-18
14-13
vs<.500
10-9
4-6
Last10
2-8
10-10
Last20
9-11
15-15
Last30
12-18
M. Lorenzen
J. Sears
N/A
Innings
N/A
N/A
GS
N/A
N/A
W-L
N/A
N/A
ERA
N/A
N/A
K/9
N/A
N/A
BB/9
N/A
N/A
HR/9
N/A
N/A
LOB%
N/A
N/A
HR/FB%
N/A
N/A
FIP
N/A
N/A
xFIP
N/A

M. Lorenzen

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/1 CHW
Keuchel N/A
W6-5 N/A
8.1
9
3
3
2
2
69-100
4/18 HOU
Garcia N/A
L3-8 N/A
3.1
4
4
4
2
2
46-79
4/11 MIA
Hernandez N/A
W6-2 N/A
6
2
1
1
7
0
58-89
9/20 CHW
Cease 117
W7-3 9.5
4.2
3
2
2
8
2
57-93
9/15 PIT
Musgrove 122
W4-1 9
5
4
1
1
6
0
49-76

J. Sears

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
TEX OAK
TEX OAK
-130
+106
-120
+100
-125
+105
-120
+100
-130
+110
-120
+102
-129
+110
-121
+104
-125
+105
-115
-105
-130
+110
-130
+110
-10000
-10000
-120
+100
Open
Current
Book
TEX OAK
TEX OAK
-1.5 (+135)
+1.5 (-166)
-1.5 (+139)
+1.5 (-169)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-166)
-1.5 (+142)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+134)
+1.5 (-162)
-1.5 (+136)
+1.5 (-164)
-1.5 (+132)
+1.5 (-165)
-1.5 (+138)
+1.5 (-167)
-1.5 (+135)
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+143)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-165)
-1.5 (+145)
+1.5 (-175)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
7.5 (-110)
7.5 (-110)
8.0 (-118)
8.0 (-104)
7.5 (-110)
7.5 (-110)
8.5 (-102)
8.5 (-118)
7.5 (-110)
7.5 (-110)
8.0 (-115)
8.0 (-105)
7.5 (-108)
7.5 (-112)
8.0 (-117)
8.0 (-104)
7.5 (-110)
7.5 (-110)
8.0 (-120)
8.0 (+100)
7.5 (-110)
7.5 (-110)
7.5 (-110)
7.5 (-110)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-105)
8.0 (-115)
8.0 (-105)