Texas Rangers

Texas Rangers

May 7, 2024

Oakland Athletics

Oakland Athletics
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Texas Rangers vs Oakland Athletics Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 7, 2024
  • Venue: Oakland Coliseum
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Jose Urena - Rangers
    • Ross Stripling - Athletics

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Rangers -125, Athletics 105
Runline: Rangers -1.5 125, Athletics 1.5 -150
Over/Under Total: 8 -110

Texas Rangers vs Oakland Athletics Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Texas Rangers - 53% Texas Rangers - 52.14%
Oakland Athletics - 47% Oakland Athletics - 47.86%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Texas Rangers vs Oakland Athletics Betting Preview

In a highly anticipated American League West matchup, the Oakland Athletics are set to take on the Texas Rangers at the Oakland Coliseum on May 7, 2024. The Athletics, who currently hold a record of 17-19, are having a below-average season, while the Rangers boast a solid record of 20-16 and are enjoying a good season.

The game will feature a pitching duel between Ross Stripling of the Athletics and Jose Urena of the Rangers. Stripling, a right-handed pitcher, has started seven games this year and has a win-loss record of 1-5. Despite his below-average record, Stripling has shown promise with an ERA of 4.24, which is above average. According to advanced-stat Power Rankings, Stripling is considered the #136 best starting pitcher in MLB. On the other hand, Urena, also a right-handed pitcher, has made 10 appearances out of the bullpen this season, with a win-loss record of 0-2 and an ERA of 4.35, which is average.

The Athletics offense has struggled this season, ranking as the #23 best in MLB. They have particularly struggled in team batting average, ranking last in the league. However, they have excelled in stolen bases, ranking fifth in the league. The Rangers, on the other hand, have a more potent offense, ranking as the #11 best in MLB. They have excelled in team batting average, ranking second in the league, as well as in home runs, ranking fifth.

In their last game, the Athletics faced the Rangers and suffered a 4-2 defeat. Despite being underdogs with a closing Moneyline price of +120, the Athletics put up a good fight. The Rangers, who were favorites with a closing Moneyline price of -140, capitalized on their superior offense to secure the victory.

The projections for this game favor the Rangers, with a slightly higher win probability of 52%, compared to the Athletics' 48%. However, according to THE BAT X, the Athletics may have more value as an underdog, as their win probability is 5% greater than the betting market suggests.

Overall, this matchup between the Athletics and the Rangers promises to be a close and exciting game. With the Athletics looking to bounce back from their previous loss and the Rangers aiming to extend their winning streak, fans can expect a thrilling contest on the diamond.

Quick Takes Texas Rangers:

Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers.

  • Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

This season, there has been a decline in Jonah Heim's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.77 ft/sec last year to 24.76 ft/sec currently.

  • Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can't beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.

In today's game, Jonah Heim is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.7% rate (95th percentile).

  • This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Oakland Athletics:

Ross Stripling has recorded 17.3 outs per game per started this year, placing in the 80th percentile.

  • A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.

J.J. Bleday is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Texas (#3-best of all teams on the slate).

  • This player's skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team's defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

The Oakland Athletics have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brent Rooker, Seth Brown, Kyle McCann, Lawrence Butler).

  • Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Game Trends

  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+8.94 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Run Line in 21 of their last 27 away games (+15.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)

Texas Rangers vs Oakland Athletics Prediction

Final Score: Texas Rangers 4.37 vs Oakland Athletics 3.99

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