Bryan Woo projections, stats and prop bet odds for Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners on Jul 21, 2024
Bryan Woo Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: 125
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: -175
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The Houston Astros have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jon Singleton, Joey Loperfido, Trey Cabbage).
Brian Walsh projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be umping today.
Cal Raleigh, the Mariners's expected catcher in today's matchup, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
T-Mobile Park projects as the #1 ballpark in baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to less offense.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Bryan Woo to be limited in today's game, projecting a maximum of 81 pitches.
In his last game started, Bryan Woo wasn't on when it came to striking batters out and was only able to tally 1 Ks.
Bryan Woo's higher usage rate of his fastball this year (78.8 compared to 72.4% last season) is not ideal considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Bryan Woo has posted a 16% Strikeout% this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.
Projection For Today's Bryan Woo Strikeouts Prop Bet
Bryan Woo is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in todays game.
Bryan Woo Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 1.5 over: -147
- Earned Runs 1.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
In the league, T-Mobile Park's RF fences are the shallowest.
T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest fences among all major league parks.
Bryan Woo's higher usage rate of his fastball this year (78.8 compared to 72.4% last season) is not ideal considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Given the 1.58 difference between Bryan Woo's 2.45 ERA and his 4.03 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to see negative regression going forward.
Bryan Woo has recorded a .245 BABIP this year, making him one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Bryan Woo's overall pitching talent is in the 80th percentile among all starters in MLB right now.
Brian Walsh projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be umping today.
Cal Raleigh, the Mariners's expected catcher in today's matchup, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst venue in Major League Baseball for batting average.
This matchup is projected to have the 2nd-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Projection For Today's Bryan Woo Earned Runs Prop Bet
Bryan Woo is projected to have 2 Earned Runs in todays game.
