Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Picks 6/10/2024

Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox

Jun 10, 2024

Seattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends

Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Details

  • Date: June 10, 2024
  • Venue: T-Mobile Park
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Chris Flexen - White Sox
    • Logan Gilbert - Mariners

Betting Odds

Moneyline: White Sox 190, Mariners -225
Runline: White Sox 1.5 -110, Mariners -1.5 -110
Over/Under Total: 7 -105

Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Chicago White Sox - 33% Chicago White Sox - 34.18%
Seattle Mariners - 67% Seattle Mariners - 65.82%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners will face off against the Chicago White Sox on June 10, 2024, in an American League showdown at T-Mobile Park. The Mariners, who are currently enjoying a strong season with a 37-30 record, will look to continue their success against a struggling White Sox team that sits at a dismal 17-49. Seattle is a big favorite in this matchup, and for good reason.

Logan Gilbert, the Mariners' projected starting pitcher, is ranked as the 57th best starting pitcher in MLB according to the leading MLB projection system, THE BAT X. Gilbert, a right-handed pitcher, has been a reliable arm for Seattle this season. He will be up against Chris Flexen, another right-hander, who is slated to start for the White Sox. Flexen has had his share of struggles, which is reflected in Chicago's poor record.

Offensively, the Mariners have some interesting splits. Despite ranking 28th in team batting average, they are 8th in home runs and 14th in stolen bases, indicating they have power and speed but struggle with consistent hitting. Over the last week, Mitch Garver has been the standout for Seattle, posting a 1.056 OPS with 4 runs, 5 RBIs, and 2 home runs in 6 games.

On the flip side, the White Sox offense has been abysmal, ranking last in team batting average and 26th in home runs. Their only bright spot recently has been Lenyn Sosa, who has hit .421 with a 1.132 OPS over the last week. Sosa has recorded 8 hits, 1 home run, and 1 stolen base in his last 6 games.

The Mariners are heavily favored with a moneyline of -225, implying a 67% win probability. THE BAT X projects them to score 3.96 runs on average, while the White Sox are projected to score just 2.98 runs. With the Game Total set at a low 7.0 runs, expect a tight contest but one that favors Seattle due to their superior pitching and power advantages.

Quick Takes Chicago White Sox:

The Chicago White Sox offense projects for the 14th-most runs on the slate today, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

  • THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Quick Takes Seattle Mariners:

The Seattle Mariners have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Dylan Moore, Mitch Garver, Luke Raley, Cal Raleigh).

  • Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Game Trends

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+12.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 67% ROI)

Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

Final Score: Chicago White Sox 2.98 vs Seattle Mariners 3.96

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+177
14% CHW
-210
86% SEA

Total Pick Consensus

7.0/-102
3% UN
7.0/-118
97% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-118
8% CHW
-1.5/-102
92% SEA

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
CHW
Team Stats
SEA
4.60
ERA
3.72
.242
Batting Avg Against
.233
1.38
WHIP
1.18
.295
BABIP
.287
10.2%
BB%
7.0%
24.3%
K%
24.6%
72.5%
LOB%
72.3%
.238
Batting Avg
.237
.386
SLG
.403
.681
OPS
.719
.295
OBP
.315
CHW
Team Records
SEA
12-23
Home
24-11
5-29
Road
16-19
12-42
vRHP
27-23
5-10
vLHP
13-7
8-35
vs>.500
13-17
9-17
vs<.500
27-13
2-8
Last10
7-3
2-18
Last20
13-7
6-24
Last30
19-11
E. Fedde
L. Gilbert
N/A
Innings
142.0
N/A
GS
24
N/A
W-L
10-5
N/A
ERA
3.80
N/A
K/9
9.06
N/A
BB/9
1.65
N/A
HR/9
1.20
N/A
LOB%
71.0%
N/A
HR/FB%
12.1%
N/A
FIP
3.59
N/A
xFIP
3.66

E. Fedde

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/3 COL
Marquez N/A
W10-2 N/A
7
6
1
1
3
2
66-102
4/27 MIA
Lopez N/A
L1-2 N/A
4.2
3
2
2
5
3
55-91
4/20 ARI
Kelly N/A
L2-11 N/A
3.1
8
7
6
3
1
55-80
4/15 PIT
Keller N/A
W7-2 N/A
5
4
2
2
6
2
59-96
4/10 NYM
Carrasco N/A
W4-2 N/A
5
5
2
2
5
2
54-87

L. Gilbert

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/1 MIA
Alcantara N/A
W7-3 N/A
5.2
3
1
1
5
4
65-102
4/26 TB
Wisler N/A
W8-4 N/A
5.2
2
0
0
7
3
62-104
4/20 TEX
Dunning N/A
W4-2 N/A
6.2
6
0
0
4
0
58-92
4/14 CHW
Lambert N/A
W5-1 N/A
5
4
1
0
4
0
59-85
4/9 MIN
Gray N/A
W4-3 N/A
5
3
1
1
7
1
56-85

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CHW SEA
CHW SEA
Consensus
+195
-230
+177
-210
+195
-238
+170
-205
+190
-230
+180
-215
+188
-230
+180
-215
+196
-240
+175
-210
+190
-250
+170
-210
Open
Current
Book
CHW SEA
CHW SEA
Consensus
+1.5 (-121)
-1.5 (+101)
+1.5 (-121)
-1.5 (-101)
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (-108)
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (-102)
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+112)
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
+1.5 (-127)
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-127)
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
7.0 (-120)
7.0 (+100)
7.0 (-118)
7.0 (-103)
7.0 (-120)
7.0 (+100)
7.0 (-118)
7.0 (-102)
6.5 (-115)
6.5 (-105)
7.0 (-115)
7.0 (-105)
7.0 (-110)
7.0 (-110)
7.0 (-118)
7.0 (-103)
7.0 (-110)
7.0 (-110)
7.0 (-120)
7.0 (+100)
7.0 (-110)
7.0 (-110)
7.0 (-120)
7.0 (+100)