Toronto Blue Jays at Milwaukee Brewers Prediction For 6/10/2024

Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays

Jun 10, 2024

Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends

Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers Details

  • Date: June 10, 2024
  • Venue: American Family Field
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Jose Berrios - Blue Jays
    • Bryse Wilson - Brewers

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Blue Jays -110, Brewers -110
Runline: Blue Jays -1.5 160, Brewers 1.5 -185
Over/Under Total: 8.5 -110

Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Toronto Blue Jays - 50% Toronto Blue Jays - 48.86%
Milwaukee Brewers - 50% Milwaukee Brewers - 51.14%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers and Toronto Blue Jays are set to square off on June 10, 2024, at American Family Field in Milwaukee. This interleague matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons thus far. The Brewers are having a stellar campaign with a 38-26 record, while the Blue Jays have struggled to a 31-33 record.

The Brewers' offensive prowess is notable, especially with their #3 ranking in team batting average and stolen bases. Their ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities has been pivotal to their success. On the mound for Milwaukee, right-hander Bryse Wilson is projected to start. Wilson faces a Blue Jays lineup that ranks just 18th in team batting average and 25th in home runs, highlighting their offensive woes.

Meanwhile, the Blue Jays will turn to Jose Berrios, a right-handed pitcher who has struggled this season according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. His underwhelming performance could be a crucial factor, especially against a potent Brewers offense that also ranks #13 in team home runs.

Blake Perkins has been the hot bat for the Brewers over the last week, posting a .412 batting average and a remarkable 1.150 OPS in his last five games. The Brewers will look to keep the momentum going, as they have positioned themselves well in the playoff race.

On the other side, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been the standout for the Blue Jays over the past week, hitting .308 with a .973 OPS, including two home runs and five RBIs in seven games. Despite Guerrero Jr.'s efforts, the Blue Jays will need more from the rest of their lineup to overcome their season's struggles.

The betting markets see this as a close game, with both teams having an implied win probability of 50%. However, THE BAT X—the leading MLB projection system—gives the Brewers a slight edge with a 51% win probability, projecting them to score an average of 4.50 runs compared to the Blue Jays' 4.65 runs.

With the Brewers' strong season and their offensive firepower facing a below-average pitcher in Berrios, Milwaukee appears well-positioned to edge out Toronto in this series opener.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Final Score: Toronto Blue Jays 4.64 vs Milwaukee Brewers 4.49

Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.

Subscribe to our newsletter to get our best bets every week!

*By clicking the "Subscribe" button, you agree to receive promotional emails.

Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+104
27% TOR
-122
73% MIL

Total Pick Consensus

8.5/-112
6% UN
8.5/-108
94% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-205
31% TOR
-1.5/+170
69% MIL

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
TOR
Team Stats
MIL
3.68
ERA
4.04
.238
Batting Avg Against
.232
1.24
WHIP
1.22
.294
BABIP
.275
8.0%
BB%
8.2%
25.1%
K%
23.0%
76.4%
LOB%
73.6%
.260
Batting Avg
.233
.415
SLG
.377
.746
OPS
.689
.331
OBP
.312
TOR
Team Records
MIL
18-19
Home
22-12
17-22
Road
22-21
30-32
vRHP
34-25
5-9
vLHP
10-8
18-26
vs>.500
16-17
17-15
vs<.500
28-16
3-7
Last10
5-5
8-12
Last20
10-10
14-16
Last30
17-13
J. Berríos
C. Rea
N/A
Innings
100.1
N/A
GS
19
N/A
W-L
5-5
N/A
ERA
5.11
N/A
K/9
7.62
N/A
BB/9
2.87
N/A
HR/9
1.70
N/A
LOB%
68.7%
N/A
HR/FB%
16.5%
N/A
FIP
5.08
N/A
xFIP
4.50

J. Berríos

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

C. Rea

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
9/5 CHC
Gomber N/A
L1-5 N/A
2
5
4
4
3
2
27-46
8/15 MIL
Houser -107
L5-6 10
3.1
4
3
3
0
0
35-49

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
TOR MIL
TOR MIL
Consensus
-112
-103
+104
-122
-112
-108
+105
-125
-118
+100
+102
-120
-108
-108
+104
-121
-110
-110
+105
-125
-105
-115
+105
-125
Open
Current
Book
TOR MIL
TOR MIL
Consensus
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+100)
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+166)
-1.5 (+160)
+1.5 (-192)
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+158)
+1.5 (-192)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-215)
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-190)
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
8.5 (+100)
8.5 (-120)
8.5 (-114)
8.5 (-107)
8.5 (+100)
8.5 (-120)
8.5 (-112)
8.5 (-108)
8.5 (+100)
8.5 (-122)
8.5 (-114)
8.5 (-106)
8.5 (+100)
8.5 (-120)
8.5 (-114)
8.5 (-107)
8.5 (+100)
8.5 (-120)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-105)