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February 11th, 2023

Bowling Green vs Ball State College Basketball ATS Pick 2/11/23

Jay Sanin Jay Sanin

On Saturday afternoon, Bowling Green and Ball State will face off in some college basketball MACtion. Ball State has been a vastly superior team this season, and are favored accordingly. But the Falcons will look to upset them and move closer to the .500 mark in conference play. In our college basketball best bets for Saturday, we look at Bowling Green vs Ball State.

Bowling Green vs Ball State Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick: Ball State -8.5
? Recommended Sportsbook Promo: Bet $1, Win $200 at Bet365
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This game will be played at Worthen Arena at 2:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 11, 2023.

Why Bet On Ball State:

✅ Ball State already has a win over Bowling Green under its belt this season. They beat the Falcons by nine points on the road earlier in the MAC campaign, and the Cardinals will get another convincing win over Bowling Green on Saturday.

✅ Bowling Green is in the midst of a four-game losing streak, including that loss to Ball State. In those four games, the Falcons have lost by an average of 13.5 points per game, and they will lose by a wide margin once again.

The Pick: Ball State -8.5

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NCAABB

Feb 11, 2023 02:00 PM

Bowling Green Falcons

VS

Ball State Cardinals

Matchup Odds Trends

Spread Consensus

+9.0/-110
PointsBet
2 Free Bets Up To $2000
-9.0/-110

42% BOWLGR

BALLST 58%

MoneyLine Consensus

+332
RiversCasinoPA
$500 Risk Free
-435

13% BOWLGR

BALLST 87%

Total Consensus

148.5/-105
DraftKings
Bet $5 Win $200
148.5/-115

43% UN

OV 57%

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

BOWLGR Team Stats Per Game BALLST
75.97PTS GM71.62
59.97FGA58.53
.452FG%.439
.3403PT%.383
10.52ORB9.72
0.81DRB0.73
35.77TRB32.94
20.06FTA17.53
.725FT%.729
13.81AST9.56
3BLK2.47
12.19TO11.66
17.74PF20.31

Defense/Offense

BOWLGR Team Stats Per Game BALLST
78.52PTS GM76.41
59.9FGA55.78
.466FG%.471
.3573PT%.369
9.61ORB10.53
0.81DRB0.79
34.65TRB35.84
19.87FTA23.72
.729FT%.689
14.55AST13.19
3.48BLK3.84
11.52TO12.22
17.94PF16.41

Advanced Game Stats

Offense/Defense

BOWLGR Advanced Game Stats BALLST
71.2Pace68.5
106.7Off.Rate104.1
.335FTr.300
.3543PAr.330
.547TS%.536
50.8TRB%47.9
51.0AST%37.2
8.5STL%9.0
8.1BLK%7.0
.512eFG%.503
14.9TOV%14.8
29.6ORB%27.7
.243TF/FGA.218

Defense/Offense

BOWLGR Advanced Game Stats BALLST
71.2Pace68.5
110.2Off.Rate111.1
.332FTr.425
.3813PAr.365
.566TS%.570
49.2TRB%52.1
52.1AST%50.2
8.4STL%8.0
9.0BLK%9.8
.534eFG%.538
14.2TOV%15.4
27.6ORB%31.2
.242TF/FGA.293
  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
BOWLGR
BALLST
BOWLGR
BALLST
Consensus
+8.5 -110
-8.5 -110
+9.0 -110
-9.0 -110
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $200
+8.5 -110
-8.5 -110
+9.0 -110
-9.0 -110
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
+8.5 -104
-8.5 -112
+8.5 -104
-8.5 -118
BetRivers
$500 Risk Free
+8.0 -110
-8.0 -110
+9.0 -110
-9.0 -110
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
+8.5 -110
-8.5 -110
+9.0 -110
-9.0 -110
PointsBet
2 Free Bets Up To $2000
+8.5 -110
-8.5 -110
+8.5 -110
-8.5 -110
BetMGM
$1000 Risk Free Bet
+8.5 -110
-8.5 -105
+8.5 -110
-8.5 -110
Open
Current
Book
BOWLGR
BALLST
BOWLGR
BALLST
Consensus
+260
-350
+332
-435
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $200
+330
-410
+350
-435
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
+320
-420
+365
-490
BetRivers
$500 Risk Free
+285
-375
+335
-435
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
+320
-420
+328
-430
PointsBet
2 Free Bets Up To $2000
+260
-350
+330
-425
BetMGM
$1000 Risk Free Bet
+325
-450
+333
-450
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
Consensus
152.0 -110
152.0 -110
148.5 -111
148.5 -109
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $200
148.5 -110
148.5 -110
149.0 -115
149.0 -105
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
148.5 -110
148.5 -110
148.5 -114
148.5 -106
BetRivers
$500 Risk Free
148.5 -110
148.5 -110
148.5 -110
148.5 -109
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
148.5 -110
148.5 -110
148.0 -110
148.0 -110
PointsBet
2 Free Bets Up To $2000
152.0 -110
152.0 -110
148.5 -110
148.5 -110
BetMGM
$1000 Risk Free Bet
149.5 -110
149.5 -110
149.5 -105
149.5 -115

Betting Trends

Last 3 Last 5 Last 10
BOWLGR Betting Trends BALLST
OVERALLOVERALL
0-3-0Win/Loss/Tie3-0-0
0-3-0ATS W/L/P2-1-0
67.33Avg Score75
80.67Avg Opp Score67
AWAYHOME
1-2-0Win/Loss/Tie2-1-0
1-2-0ATS W/L/P0-3-0
74.67Avg Score75.67
79.67Avg Opp Score83.67
BOWLGR Betting Trends BALLST
OVERALLOVERALL
1-4-0Win/Loss/Tie4-1-0
1-4-0ATS W/L/P3-2-0
72.4Avg Score75.4
78.8Avg Opp Score72.2
AWAYHOME
1-4-0Win/Loss/Tie4-1-0
1-4-0ATS W/L/P2-3-0
77.4Avg Score74.4
89.4Avg Opp Score75
BOWLGR Betting Trends BALLST
OVERALLOVERALL
3-7-0Win/Loss/Tie7-3-0
4-6-0ATS W/L/P5-5-0
76.6Avg Score72.9
82.8Avg Opp Score71.7
AWAYHOME
3-7-0Win/Loss/Tie8-2-0
3-6-1ATS W/L/P3-6-0
77.3Avg Score74.7
82.8Avg Opp Score71.1

Head to Head

DATE TM LN ML SC
01/31/2023
BALLST
BOWLGR
154.0
2.0
-135
+111
69
60
02/19/2022
BALLST
BOWLGR
163.5
-3.5
+140
-173
91
82
01/01/2022
BOWLGR
BALLST
157.5
3.0
-153
+128
80
81
02/16/2021
BOWLGR
BALLST
149.0
2.0
-134
+110
75
62
01/12/2021
BALLST
BOWLGR
148.5
-7.5
+279
-356
88
64
02/15/2020
BOWLGR
BALLST
139.5
-7.0
+180
-222
77
71
01/28/2020
BALLST
BOWLGR
139.5
-1.5
+105
-125
61
67
03/14/2019
BALLST
BOWLGR
143.5
1.5
-130
+110
86
99
01/15/2019
BALLST
BOWLGR
151.5
1.5
-125
+105
78
79
02/06/2018
BOWLGR
BALLST
148.0
-7.5
+270
-340
56
59

Teams Last 10

Bowling Green Falcons Ball State Cardinals
DATE TM LN ML SC
03/03/23
BOWLGR
OHIO
241.0
-13.9
+539
-709
90
142
02/28/23
EMICH
BOWLGR
171.3
-3.8
+156
-191
74
95
02/25/23
KENTST
BOWLGR
75.3
2.7
-326
+228
39
34
02/21/23
BOWLGR
MIAOH
96.4
-1.0
+66
-80
41
47
02/18/23
TOLEDO
BOWLGR
245.6
14.2
-729
+540
136
128
02/14/23
CMICH
BOWLGR
235.9
-12.2
+433
-561
125
120
02/11/23
BOWLGR
BALLST
155.3
-9.4
+347
-455
75
97
02/07/23
BOWLGR
KENTST
127.4
-12.1
+631
-1068
55
75
02/04/23
NILL
BOWLGR
227.7
-8.3
+286
-354
130
118
01/31/23
BALLST
BOWLGR
162.8
2.2
-143
+117
73
63
DATE TM LN ML SC
03/09/23
OHIO
BALLST
57.5
-0.4
-41
-43
34
27
03/03/23
TOLEDO
BALLST
248.0
11.9
-324
+263
134
125
02/28/23
BALLST
AKRON
150.3
-10.3
+368
-488
90
94
02/25/23
BALLST
EMICH
75.6
1.9
-167
+132
34
37
02/21/23
KENTST
BALLST
89.4
1.2
-102
+85
44
52
02/18/23
BALLST
WMICH
217.2
11.2
-517
+403
102
116
02/14/23
NILL
BALLST
235.9
-18.7
+804
-1154
125
142
02/11/23
BOWLGR
BALLST
155.3
-9.4
+347
-455
75
97
02/07/23
BALLST
CMICH
119.2
6.3
-364
+279
56
44
01/31/23
BALLST
BOWLGR
162.8
2.2
-143
+117
73
63
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Bowling Green Falcons

The Bowling Green Falcons come into Saturday’s action having lost four games in a row. To be fair to them, they have played three of the top-four teams in the MAC during that span. But the Falcons face Ball State again here, and they will need to be better to avoid another loss to the Cardinals to seal a season sweep at their hands.

Bowling Green’s defense has given up 85 or more points in three of their four losses during their current losing streak. Their loss to Ball State was the exception, as they lost 69-60 to the Cardinals in that contest. But Bowling Green has to put together a solid performance on both offense and defense to win here, not just on one side of the floor.

Ball State Cardinals

Ball State has won four straight games coming into the weekend, taking advantage of a rather soft spot in their MAC schedule. They have beaten Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan, Northern Illinois, and Bowling Green during their current streak. All four of those teams are outside of the group of elite teams in the conference, and the Cardinals will look for another win against the softer portion of their conference slate.

Ball State shot 50% from the field against Bowling Green in their previous meeting this season, holding the Falcons to just 41%. At home, there is the possibility that those percentages skew even further in Ball State’s favor, as the Cardinals will look for a more efficient offensive performance than they had last time against Bowling Green.

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Tags: Ball State Cardinals, bowling green falcons
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