Corbin Burnes MLB projections and prop bets for Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles on Oct 1, 2024
Corbin Burnes Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -159
- Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 114
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Corbin Burnes's overall pitching ability grades out in the 93rd percentile out of all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.
The 2nd-worst projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Kansas City Royals.
The #1 park in the majors for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's left field dimensions are the deepest.
In MLB, the 9th-highest average fence height are at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Corbin Burnes is projected to throw 81 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-most of the day.
It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ryan Additon) behind the plate in today's game.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Over his previous 3 outings, Corbin Burnes has suffered a significant drop off in his fastball velocity: from 94.7 mph over the whole season to 93.5 mph lately.
Corbin Burnes's cut-fastball usage has dropped by 10.6% from last season to this one (55.4% to 44.8%) .
Projection For Corbin Burnes Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Corbin Burnes is projected to have 15.5 Pitching Outs in this weeks game.
Corbin Burnes Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -156
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: 122
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Corbin Burnes in the 82nd percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.
Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Corbin Burnes will hold that advantage today.
In his last game started, Corbin Burnes was rolling and notched 9 strikeouts.
Corbin Burnes has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling an 8.38 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.12 — a 0.74 K/9 difference.
Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Corbin Burnes compiled a 12.9% Swinging Strike rate this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Corbin Burnes is projected to throw 81 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-most of the day.
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Kansas City Royals with a 20.9% underlying K%.
It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ryan Additon) behind the plate in today's game.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Over his previous 3 outings, Corbin Burnes has suffered a significant drop off in his fastball velocity: from 94.7 mph over the whole season to 93.5 mph lately.
Projection For Corbin Burnes Strikeouts Prop Bet
Corbin Burnes is projected to have 4.7 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
Corbin Burnes Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 1.5 over: -130
- Earned Runs 1.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ryan Additon) behind the plate in today's game.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Over his previous 3 outings, Corbin Burnes has suffered a significant drop off in his fastball velocity: from 94.7 mph over the whole season to 93.5 mph lately.
Corbin Burnes's cut-fastball usage has dropped by 10.6% from last season to this one (55.4% to 44.8%) .
Corbin Burnes has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA this year; his 2.92 rate is a good deal lower than his 3.58 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Corbin Burnes's overall pitching ability grades out in the 93rd percentile out of all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.
The 2nd-worst projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Kansas City Royals.
The #1 park in the majors for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's left field dimensions are the deepest.
In MLB, the 9th-highest average fence height are at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Projection For Corbin Burnes Earned Runs Prop Bet
Corbin Burnes is projected to have 1.9 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
