Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis Colts

Nov 3, 2024

Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota Vikings
  • Overview
  • Props

Justin Jefferson Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Justin Jefferson projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Jacksonville Jaguars on Nov 10, 2024

Justin Jefferson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 96.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 96.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The model projects the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.9% pass rate.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

In this game, Justin Jefferson is expected by the projection model to place in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.8 targets.

Justin Jefferson's 33.3% Target Rate this year marks a remarkable improvement in his pass game usage over last year's 28.0% mark.

With an impressive 10.6 adjusted yards per target (91st percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson stands as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

A rushing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.

The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.8 plays per game.

After averaging 139.0 air yards per game last season, Justin Jefferson has produced significantly less this season, now sitting at 115.0 per game.

Justin Jefferson's 91.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season illustrates a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 103.0 mark.

Projection For Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Justin Jefferson is projected to have 89.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Justin Jefferson Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 6.5 over: -140
  • Receptions 6.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The model projects the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.9% pass rate.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

In this game, Justin Jefferson is expected by the projection model to place in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.8 targets.

Justin Jefferson's 33.3% Target Rate this year marks a remarkable improvement in his pass game usage over last year's 28.0% mark.

With a terrific 6.0 adjusted receptions per game (95th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson has been among the best wide receivers in the league in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

A rushing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.

The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.8 plays per game.

Projection For Justin Jefferson Receptions Prop Bet

Justin Jefferson is projected to have 6.2 Receptions in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Total Receptions
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score A Touchdown and Player's Team to Win
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • To Record 100+ Receiving Yards
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score A Touchdown and Player's Team to Win
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • To Record 100+ Receiving Yards
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
7
7
7
7
Consensus
+100
-129
+103
-128
-104
-131
-117
-117
-110
-125
-110
-125
+108
-140
+100
-130
+100
-125
+100
-130
-105
-145
+105
-140
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+105
+105
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
-420
-410
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
19
18
84
86
87
85
91
88
18
19
85
86
91
87
84
88
19
18
84
86
87
85
91
88
18
19
85
86
91
87
84
88
Consensus
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-111
-113
-
-109
-114
-
-
-
-114
-116
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-112
-112
-
-113
-116
-
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-123
-
-119
-
-
-115
-115
-
-111
-115
-115
-
-
-119
-123
-123
-119
-
-119
-
-
-111
-111
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-115
-115
-
-106
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-113
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-120
-120
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-125
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-105
-125
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
88
86
87
85
89
85
88
87
89
86
88
86
87
85
89
85
88
87
89
86
Consensus
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-117
-116
-119
-116
-116
-119
-117
-116
-116
-116
-119
-116
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-119
-121
-123
-116
Consensus
-
+500
-
+600
Consensus
-
+370
-
+350
Consensus
-
+200
-
+200
Consensus
-
+480
-
+470
Consensus
-
+220
-
+220
Consensus
-
+480
-
+480
-
-120
-
-115
-
+600
-
+470
-
+350
-
+350
-
+210
-
+210
-
+450
-
+470
-
+230
-
+220
-
+490
-
+480
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-160
+140
-160
+140
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+508
+493
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+2616
+2666
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
27
28
27
28
27
28
27
28
Consensus
-118
-111
-112
-117
-117
-114
-112
-118
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-113
-
-120
-
-114
-
-114
-110
-110
-115
-120
-120
-110
-120
-120
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-165
+145
-165
+145
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+18000
+18000
+19000
+17000