Jay Sanin on January 9, 2025
Aaron Jones projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams on Jan 13, 2025
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
The projections expect Aaron Jones to accrue 16.5 carries this week, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Aaron Jones has been given 59.6% of his team's run game usage this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
Aaron Jones has generated 70.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among RBs (92nd percentile).
The Rams defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding 4.74 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to run on 39.1% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Los Angeles's collection of DEs has been terrific this year, ranking as the best in football.
Aaron Jones is projected to have 66.2 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
The projections expect Aaron Jones to accrue 16.5 carries this week, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Aaron Jones has been given 59.6% of his team's run game usage this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to run on 39.1% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Los Angeles's collection of DEs has been terrific this year, ranking as the best in football.
Aaron Jones is projected to have 15.5 Carries in this weeks game.
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
Aaron Jones has run more routes this year (49.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (37.6%).
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (89.8%) to RBs this year (89.8%).
Aaron Jones's 7.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a material reduction in his efficiency in space over last season's 9.0% figure.
Aaron Jones is projected to have 23.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
With a terrific 3.0 adjusted receptions per game (91st percentile) this year, Aaron Jones ranks as one of the leading running backs in the pass game in the league.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (89.8%) to RBs this year (89.8%).
Aaron Jones is projected to have 3.1 Receptions in this weeks game.
