Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis Colts

Nov 3, 2024

Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota Vikings
  • Overview
  • Props

Sam Darnold Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Sam Darnold projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams on Jan 13, 2025

Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -168
  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: 128

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (61.5% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Minnesota Vikings.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

With an impressive rate of 2.06 per game (90th percentile), Sam Darnold rates among the leading TD passers in the NFL this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Rams defense this year (67.2% Adjusted Completion%).

Projection For Sam Darnold Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 2 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.


Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 3.5 over: -114
  • Carries 3.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.

Sam Darnold has been much more involved in his team's run game this season (11.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (0.0%).

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to run on 39.1% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Los Angeles's collection of DEs has been terrific this year, ranking as the best in football.

Projection For Sam Darnold Carries Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 3.2 Carries in this weeks game.


Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 12.5 over: -110
  • Rushing Yards 12.5 under: -117

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.

Sam Darnold has been much more involved in his team's run game this season (11.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (0.0%).

Sam Darnold's 14.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects a noteable improvement in his rushing ability over last year's 3.0 rate.

The Rams defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding 4.74 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to run on 39.1% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Los Angeles's collection of DEs has been terrific this year, ranking as the best in football.

Projection For Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 14.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Completions

Completions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Completions 22.5 over: -125
  • Completions 22.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

The projections expect Sam Darnold to attempt 37.4 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Los Angeles's CB corps has been terrible this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Rams defense this year (67.2% Adjusted Completion%).

Projection For Sam Darnold Completions Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 22.2 Completions in this weeks game.


Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Passing Yards 265.5 over: -114
  • Passing Yards 265.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

The projections expect Sam Darnold to attempt 37.4 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.

Sam Darnold has thrown for a lot more adjusted yards per game (256.0) this year than he did last year (33.0).

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Rams defense this year (67.2% Adjusted Completion%).

Projection For Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 277.2 Passing Yards in this weeks game.


Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts

Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pass Attempts 32.5 over: -118
  • Pass Attempts 32.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

The projections expect Sam Darnold to attempt 37.4 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.

Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Projection For Sam Darnold Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 35.8 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.


Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Interceptions 0.5 over: -128
  • Interceptions 0.5 under: -102

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 132.8 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

The projections expect Sam Darnold to attempt 37.4 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Los Angeles's CB corps has been terrible this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

The Los Angeles Rams have intercepted 0.82 passes per game this year, ranking as the 10th-best defense in the NFL by this statistic.

Projection For Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 0.7 Interceptions in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Total Passing Yards
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • Longest Pass
  • To Have 2+ Passing TDs And Player's Team To Win
  • To Throw For 300+ Passing Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Complete First Pass
  • To Throw An Interception
  • Total Passing Yards
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • Longest Pass
  • To Have 2+ Passing TDs And Player's Team To Win
  • To Throw For 300+ Passing Yards
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Complete First Pass
  • To Throw An Interception
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
56
252
251
250
253
255
254
246
249
248
256
54
55
249
250
252
253
56
251
255
256
54
55
254
248
246
56
252
251
250
253
255
254
246
249
248
256
54
55
249
250
252
253
56
251
255
256
54
55
254
248
246
Consensus
-
-116
-115
-114
-122
-114
-114
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-113
-109
-115
-
-108
-114
-113
-
-
-113
-112
-
-
-116
-114
-113
-112
-116
-114
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-115
-111
-109
-
-108
-112
-113
-
-
-113
-112
-
Consensus
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-119
-129
-123
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-
-119
-
-
-
-115
-111
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-123
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-
-119
-
-
-
-111
-111
-115
-
-111
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-115
-110
-
-110
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-110
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-113
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-110
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-115
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
1
1
1
Consensus
-102
-128
-102
-130
-101
-135
-101
-135
-105
-130
+105
-125
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+4025
+4325
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
15
17
1
15
16
17
1
16
15
17
1
15
16
17
1
Consensus
-112
-119
-111
-
-110
-110
-119
-
-110
-118
-111
-
-114
-119
-119
-
Consensus
-
-
-
+118
-
-
-
-138
-
-
-
+108
-
-
-
-144
-123
-121
-111
-
-113
-113
-123
-
-111
-121
-111
-
-113
-111
-123
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-120
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-120
-
-
-
-
+108
-
-
-
-142
-
-
-
+118
-
-
-
-144
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-110
-115
-120
-
-120
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-120
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
10
10
10
10
Consensus
-110
-123
-113
-110
-120
-115
-110
-110
-105
-120
-110
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
269
271
273
274
270
275
272
59
60
58
268
271
269
273
272
275
58
270
274
60
268
59
269
271
273
274
270
275
272
59
60
58
268
271
269
273
272
275
58
270
274
60
268
59
Consensus
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-117
-116
-
-
-
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-117
-
-116
-116
-
-116
-
-116
-116
-116
-117
-116
-116
-116
-
-
-
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-
-116
-117
-
-116
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-114
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-113
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
22
21
22
21
22
21
22
21
Consensus
-114
-
-107
-
-115
-
-101
-
-119
-
-115
-
-119
-
-115
-
-120
-
-105
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-120
-
-108
-
-132
-
+102
-130
-
-110
-
-125
-
-110
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
32
33
32
33
32
33
32
33
Consensus
-126
-103
-108
-127
-122
+101
-104
-125
-123
-106
-104
-129
-133
-106
-104
-129
-130
-105
+100
-125
-130
-105
-105
-125
+102
-
-132
-
-108
-
-120
-
-130
+100
+100
-130
-130
-105
+100
-130
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-732
+460
-814
+456
Consensus
-
+900
-
+850
Consensus
-
+1900
-
+2100
Consensus
-
+1300
-
+1100
Consensus
-
+1700
-
+1600
Consensus
-
+1200
-
+1000
Consensus
-
+750
-
+700
-
+2100
-
+2200
-
+900
-
+700
-
+700
-
+750
-
+1600
-
+1500
-
+1100
-
+1000
-
+1300
-
+1200
-
+420
-
+390
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
5
4
5
4
5
4
5
Consensus
-163
+117
+120
-148
-165
+112
+122
-153
-155
+105
+120
-145
-165
+110
+125
-135
-160
+125
+115
-160
-160
+125
+125
-160
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
2
2
2
Consensus
-135
+102
-132
-101
-137
+100
-137
+100
-130
+100
-135
+100
-135
+108
-140
+104
-130
+100
-140
+105
-140
+100
-130
+105
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
37
38
36
37
38
36
37
38
36
37
38
36
Consensus
-118
-109
-
-112
-119
-
-120
-109
-
-108
-118
-
-123
-111
-
-111
-123
-
-123
-111
-
-113
-123
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-130
+110
-130
+110
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-365
+300
-365
+300
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+5000
+5000
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
+220
-300
+220
-300
+220
-300
+220
-300
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-115
-112
-112
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114