Derek Carr Projections & Prop Bets – NFL Week 5

Derek Carr MLB projections and prop bets for New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs on Oct 7, 2024

Derek Carr Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

• Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 190
• Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -240

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

The Saints are a big 8-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (35.2 per game) this year.

Derek Carr's 71.5% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a meaningful boost in his throwing accuracy over last year's 67.2% mark.

With an outstanding rate of 1.50 per game (84th percentile), Derek Carr ranks as one of the best TD throwers in the NFL this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the least pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 44.6% red zone pass rate.

The leading projections forecast the Saints to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Derek Carr has attempted a mere 26.0 passes per game this year, grading out in the 24th percentile among QBs.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-lowest level in the league vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year (69.0% Adjusted Completion%).

Projection For Derek Carr Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Derek Carr is projected to have 0.8 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.

Derek Carr Player Prop Bet: Completions

Completions Prop Bet Odds:

• Completions 20.5 over: -130
• Completions 20.5 under: -100

Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet

The Saints are a big 8-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (35.2 per game) this year.

Derek Carr's 71.5% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a meaningful boost in his throwing accuracy over last year's 67.2% mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 55.4% pass rate.

The leading projections forecast the Saints to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Derek Carr has attempted a mere 26.0 passes per game this year, grading out in the 24th percentile among QBs.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-lowest level in the league vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year (69.0% Adjusted Completion%).

Projection For Derek Carr Completions Prop Bet

Derek Carr is projected to have 20.2 Completions in this weeks game.

Derek Carr Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Rushing Yards 2.5 over: -120
• Rushing Yards 2.5 under: -109

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 4th-most run-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 44.6% run rate.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The Saints are a big 8-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Saints to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Derek Carr to accrue 1.4 carries in this contest, on average: the 3rd-fewest out of all QBs.

With a dreadful total of 6.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (25th percentile), Derek Carr ranks among the weakest running quarterbacks in the league this year.

This year, the feeble Chiefs run defense has surrendered a colossal 3.72 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 28th-largest rate in football.

Projection For Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Derek Carr is projected to have 1.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.

Derek Carr Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Passing Yards 211.5 over: -110
• Passing Yards 211.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

The Saints are a big 8-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (35.2 per game) this year.

Derek Carr's 71.5% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a meaningful boost in his throwing accuracy over last year's 67.2% mark.

With a remarkable 7.54 adjusted yards-per-target (76th percentile) this year, Derek Carr stands among the best per-play quarterbacks in the NFL.

This year, the shaky Chiefs defense has yielded the 2nd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing offenses: a colossal 6.33 YAC.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 55.4% pass rate.

The leading projections forecast the Saints to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Derek Carr has attempted a mere 26.0 passes per game this year, grading out in the 24th percentile among QBs.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Derek Carr's 188.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season signifies a remarkable diminishment in his passing talent over last season's 221.0 mark.

Projection For Derek Carr Passing Yards Prop Bet

Derek Carr is projected to have 208.9 Passing Yards in this weeks game.

Derek Carr Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Interceptions 0.5 over: -152
• Interceptions 0.5 under: 118

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

The Saints are a big 8-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (35.2 per game) this year.

Kansas City's defense ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year when it comes to generating interceptions, notching a measly 0.23 per game.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 55.4% pass rate.

The leading projections forecast the Saints to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Derek Carr has attempted a mere 26.0 passes per game this year, grading out in the 24th percentile among QBs.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Kansas City's collection of CBs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

Projection For Derek Carr Interceptions Prop Bet

Derek Carr is projected to have 0.5 Interceptions in this weeks game.

Derek Carr Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts

Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:

• Pass Attempts 32.5 over: -117
• Pass Attempts 32.5 under: -117

Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet

The Saints are a big 8-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (35.2 per game) this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet

The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 55.4% pass rate.

The leading projections forecast the Saints to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Derek Carr has attempted a mere 26.0 passes per game this year, grading out in the 24th percentile among QBs.

Projection For Derek Carr Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Derek Carr is projected to have 30.3 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.