Jay Sanin on December 15, 2024
Garrett Wilson projections and prop bets for New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars on Dec 15, 2024
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
Right now, the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league (63.6% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Jets.
The Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (36.4 per game) this year.
With an elite 98.5% Route Participation Rate (99th percentile) this year, Garrett Wilson rates as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the NFL.
In this week's game, Garrett Wilson is anticipated by the model to find himself in the 91st percentile among wide receivers with 8.3 targets.
When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year.
A running game script is suggested by the Jets being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 56.1 plays per game.
After accruing 104.0 air yards per game last season, Garrett Wilson has been a disappointment this season, currently averaging 93.0 per game.
Garrett Wilson rates as one of the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a mere 7.51 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 25th percentile among wideouts
Garrett Wilson is projected to have 57.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
