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New York Jets vs Minnesota Vikings Betting Pick & Preview – 10/6/2024
Jets vs Vikings Betting Odds
Spread: | New York Jets 2.5, Minnesota Vikings -2.5 |
Over/Under: | 40.5 |
Moneyline: | New York Jets 130, Minnesota Vikings -150 |
New York Jets vs Minnesota Vikings Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
New York Jets - 42% | New York Jets - 66% |
Minnesota Vikings - 58% | Minnesota Vikings - 34% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
New York Jets vs Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview
The last time these two teams played each other was Week 13 in 2022. That game resulted in a win for the Vikings with a final score of 27-22. The Game Total for that game was 44.0 and which the Over hit.
Minnesota's primary disadvantage has been their defense, which has allowed a monstrous 360 yards per game this year, sliding them into the #10 spot among the league's worst. They've struggled in large part because they've been unable to keep opposing offenses from moving the chains via their pass attack. Opposing QBs have thrown for the #1-most yards per game (289) against the Vikings. Opposing wide receivers have given the Vikings the most trouble, posting 194 yards per game against this defense (#1-worst in football). Minnesota's defensive ends are perhaps most responsible for their paltry pass rush this year, given that they grade out as the #2-worst unit in the NFL. This presents a decided disadvantage for Minnesota given that the Jets air attack has been so good this year, passing their way to 6.97 yards per target (#18-best in the league). When it comes to their offense, the Vikings check in at #4 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 239 yards per game (#8 in football). Their run game has ranked #7 with 5.01 yards per attempt on the ground.
New York's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #7 in the league while allowing just 285 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #4-least yards per game: 155. The Jets have done the best job shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to 7.05 yards per target (#3-best). New York's best position group in coverage has been their linebackers, which rank #1 in the league in locking down route-runners. In terms of their offense, the Jets have ranked #17 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 223 yards per game (#12 in football). On the ground they've ranked #28 with 3.45 yards per carry.
New York Jets vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction
Final Score: New York Jets 24.06 vs Minnesota Vikings 19.65
**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.
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New York Jets
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