Dallas Cowboys

Dallas Cowboys

Oct 6, 2024

Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers Pick For 10/6/2024

Cowboys vs Steelers Betting Odds

Spread: Dallas Cowboys 2.5, Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5
Over/Under: 43
Moneyline: Dallas Cowboys 120, Pittsburgh Steelers -140

Dallas Cowboys vs Pittsburgh Steelers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Dallas Cowboys - 44% Dallas Cowboys - 47%
Pittsburgh Steelers - 56% Pittsburgh Steelers - 53%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Cowboys vs Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

The last time these two teams played each other was Week 9 in 2020. That game resulted in a win for the Steelers with a final score of 24-19.

Pittsburgh's primary disadvantage this season has been their rushing offense, which has ranked #26 in football with a low 3.55 yards per carry. Perhaps because they routinely failt to successfully establish the run, Pittsburgh has also lacked effectiveness through the air. They've scraped together a measly 6.71 yards per target, ranking the bottom 10 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Steelers check in at #6 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 193 yards per game against Pittsburgh this year (#24 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #22 against them with 4.25 yards per ground attempt. This Steelers defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, allowing them to complete just 61.8% of their passes (#6-lowest in the league). Pittsburgh's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have scorched them for 8.91 yards per target (#5-worst in the league).

Dallas's biggest strength has been their offense, ranking #10 in the league with 317 yards per game. They've achieved offensive success largely through the quality of their passing attack, which is #3-best in football with 261 yards per game. This represents a particular advantage for Dallas given that the Steelers have struggled so much to stop the pass this year, allowing 7.94 yards per target (#8-worst in the league). In terms of their defense, the Cowboys have ranked #25 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 221 yards per game through the air against them (#16 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #10 with 4.85 yards per carry. Dallas has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to a 75.3% completion rate (#2-lowest). Dallas pass defense has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up 42 yards per game (#6-worst).

Dallas Cowboys vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Cowboys 21 vs Pittsburgh Steelers 22.25

**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-105
81% DAL
-2.5/-115
19% PIT

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+120
41% DAL
-142
59% PIT

Total Pick Consensus

44.0/-108
20% UN
44.0/-112
80% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats
PIT
4
G
4
97
PTs
53
24.2
PPG
13.2
1323
YDS
1045
330.8
YDS/G
261.2
8
TD
5
2
TD/G
1.2
45.5
SC%
26.2
6.8
TO%
11.9

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats
PIT
4
G
4
104
PTs
75
26
PPG
18.8
1421
YDS
1271
355.2
YDS/G
317.8
12
TD
6
3
TD/G
1.5
44.2
SC%
40.5
9.3
TO%
7.1

Offense/Defense

DAL
Rushing
PIT
4
G
4
85
ATT
93
301
YDS
347
75.3
Y/G
86.8
3.5
Y/A
3.7
2
TD
1
0.5
TD/G
0.2

Defense/Offense

DAL
Rushing
PIT
4
G
4
127
ATT
138
583
YDS
514
145.8
Y/G
128.5
4.6
Y/A
3.7
8
TD
3
2
TD/G
0.8

Offense/Defense

DAL
Passing
PIT
97
CMP
69
152
ATT
111
63.8
CMP%
62.2
255.5
YDS/GM
174.5
7.1
Y/A
7.1
6.3
NY/A
5.7
2
INT
4
10
SK
11

Defense/Offense

DAL
Passing
PIT
76
CMP
77
116
ATT
109
65.5
CMP%
70.6
209.5
YDS/GM
189.2
7.5
Y/A
7.6
6.8
NY/A
6.4
4
INT
1
8
SK
10

Offense/Defense

DAL
Special Teams
PIT
5
Punts/Ret
7
96
Punt/Yds
58
19.2
Punt/Y/R
8.3
8
Kick Off/Ret
4
213
Kick Off/Yds
93
26.6
Kick Off/Y/rt
23.3

Defense/Offense

DAL
Special Teams
PIT
8
Punts/Ret
12
123
Punt/Yds
124
15.4
Punt/Y/R
10.3
10
Kick Off/Ret
1
235
Kick Off/Yds
13
23.5
Kick Off/Y/rt
13.0

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL PIT
DAL PIT
Consensus
-1.0 (-108)
+1.0 (-115)
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-113)
-1.0 (-105)
+1.0 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
+2.0 (-110)
-2.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
-1.0 (-105)
+1.0 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DAL PIT
DAL PIT
Consensus
-113
-106
+119
-141
-110
-110
+120
-142
-116
-102
+112
-132
+115
-139
+116
-139
+110
-130
+118
-140
+100
-125
+115
-135
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
42.0 (-110)
42.0 (-110)
44.0 (-111)
44.0 (-110)
42.0 (-110)
42.0 (-110)
44.0 (-112)
44.0 (-108)
41.5 (-105)
41.5 (-115)
43.5 (-120)
43.5 (-102)
41.5 (-112)
41.5 (-109)
44.0 (-112)
44.0 (-109)
42.0 (-110)
42.0 (-110)
44.0 (-110)
44.0 (-110)
41.0 (-110)
41.0 (-110)
44.0 (-110)
44.0 (-110)