Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns

Oct 6, 2024

Washington Commanders

Washington Commanders
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders Pick & Preview – 10/6/2024

Browns vs Commanders Betting Odds

Spread: Cleveland Browns 3, Washington Commanders -3
Over/Under: 44.5
Moneyline: Cleveland Browns 150, Washington Commanders -170

Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Cleveland Browns - 39% Cleveland Browns - 47%
Washington Commanders - 61% Washington Commanders - 53%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders Betting Preview

Sunday the Cleveland Browns (1-3) will battle the Washington Commanders (3-1). Oddsmakers peg the Commanders as the favorite with an implied win probablity of 61%, leaving the Browns with a 39% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Commanders -3.0 with a Game Total of 44.5.

Washington's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #6 in football at 343 yards per game. The quality of their rushing attack has led to much of their success. The Commanders 5.36 yards per carry ranks #4-best in the NFL. This presents a decided advantage for Washington given that the Browns haven't had much success in stopping the run this year, giving up 4.92 yards per carry (#9-worst in the NFL). When it comes to their defense, the Commanders check in at #22 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 224 yards per game against Washington this year (#12 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #6 against them with 5.22 yards per ground attempt. This Commanders defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, keeping them in check at just 15 yards per game (#2-best in the league). Washington's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have scorched them for 168 yards per game (#7-worst in the league).

Cleveland's biggest weakness has been their offense, checking in at #27 in the league with a mere 255 yards per game. A big part of their failure has been the quality (or lack thereof) of their rushing attack, which has been #6-worst in football with just 3.71 yards per carry. In failing to successfully establish the run, Cleveland has also had trouble moving the ball through the air, averaging a paltry 5.25 yards per target, which ranks them #31 in football. In terms of their defense, the Browns have ranked #13 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 198 yards per game through the air against them (#22 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #9 with 4.92 yards per carry. Cleveland has been most effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to a 55.7% completion rate (#1-lowest). Positionally, perhaps their worst defensive asset has been their cornerbacks, which rank just #26 in the league in locking down route-runners.

Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders Prediction

Final Score: Cleveland Browns 20.09 vs Washington Commanders 21.26

**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.5/-118
32% CLE
-3.5/-102
68% WAS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+142
7% CLE
-170
93% WAS

Total Pick Consensus

43.5/-108
18% UN
43.5/-112
82% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

CLE
Team Stats
WAS
4
G
4
66
PTs
102
16.5
PPG
25.5
985
YDS
1428
246.2
YDS/G
357
6
TD
13
1.5
TD/G
3.2
23.9
SC%
56.3
10.9
TO%
6.3

Defense/Offense

CLE
Team Stats
WAS
4
G
4
87
PTs
121
21.8
PPG
30.2
1196
YDS
1529
299
YDS/G
382.2
8
TD
13
2
TD/G
3.2
33.3
SC%
67.6
4.2
TO%
2.9

Offense/Defense

CLE
Rushing
WAS
4
G
4
88
ATT
104
379
YDS
546
94.8
Y/G
136.5
4.3
Y/A
5.3
2
TD
3
0.5
TD/G
0.8

Defense/Offense

CLE
Rushing
WAS
4
G
4
107
ATT
134
493
YDS
677
123.3
Y/G
169.3
4.6
Y/A
5.1
5
TD
10
1.2
TD/G
2.5

Offense/Defense

CLE
Passing
WAS
91
CMP
85
148
ATT
118
61.5
CMP%
72.0
151.5
YDS/GM
220.5
4.9
Y/A
7.9
3.6
NY/A
7.0
3
INT
N/A
19
SK
8

Defense/Offense

CLE
Passing
WAS
71
CMP
87
121
ATT
106
58.7
CMP%
82.1
175.8
YDS/GM
213
6.3
Y/A
8.5
5.3
NY/A
7.4
N/A
INT
1
11
SK
9

Offense/Defense

CLE
Special Teams
WAS
15
Punts/Ret
2
165
Punt/Yds
19
11.0
Punt/Y/R
9.5
9
Kick Off/Ret
17
214
Kick Off/Yds
437
23.8
Kick Off/Y/rt
25.7

Defense/Offense

CLE
Special Teams
WAS
10
Punts/Ret
2
147
Punt/Yds
40
14.7
Punt/Y/R
20.0
6
Kick Off/Ret
5
147
Kick Off/Yds
170
24.5
Kick Off/Y/rt
34.0

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CLE WAS
CLE WAS
Consensus
+1.0 (-102)
-1.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-102)
-3.0 (-120)
+1.0 (-118)
-1.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-118)
-3.5 (-102)
-1.5 (-102)
+1.5 (-120)
+3.0 (-102)
-3.0 (-120)
-1.0 (-103)
+1.0 (-117)
+3.0 (-103)
-3.0 (-120)
+1.0 (100)
-1.0 (-110)
+3.0 (+100)
-3.0 (-120)
+3.0 (-115)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
CLE WAS
CLE WAS
Consensus
-106
-112
+145
-174
-102
-118
+142
-170
-110
-106
+142
-168
-110
-110
+145
-180
+140
-165
+143
-170
+135
-165
+145
-175
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
42.5 (-110)
42.5 (-110)
43.5 (-111)
43.5 (-109)
42.5 (-110)
42.5 (-110)
43.5 (-112)
43.5 (-108)
41.5 (-110)
41.5 (-110)
43.5 (-110)
43.5 (-110)
42.0 (-110)
42.0 (-110)
43.5 (-110)
43.5 (-110)
42.5 (-110)
42.5 (-110)
43.5 (-110)
43.5 (-110)
43.5 (-110)
43.5 (-110)
43.5 (-110)
43.5 (-110)