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The Cleveland Browns have been just shy of solidifying themselves as a legitimate contender in the AFC over the last few seasons. This year, NFL betting odds see the Browns as a team that could compete for 10 wins and a playoff spot, but they will have to prove that they are worthy of that status on the field. Here, we provide you with our 2023 Cleveland Browns season preview and make our pick for the Browns in the season win total market. And to get the best sportsbook offer for betting the Browns this season, be sure to click the Get Bonus button above.
Cleveland Browns Betting Preview
Deshaun Watson became a member of the Cleveland Browns last season, but he did not see the field until the second half of the year, as he was suspended for much of the year due to his off-field conduct. This year, Watson is set to be the starting quarterback in Cleveland for the entirety of the year, which many expect to make the Browns a much tougher team to stop when they are in possession of the ball.
The question for Cleveland this year will be their defense, which was unspectacular a season ago. If that group can pull its weight, the Browns could end up climbing the standings in the AFC North after finishing in last place with a 7-10 record in 2022.
2023 Cleveland Browns Over/Under Season Win Total Odds
| Sportsbook | Over/Under Wins |
|---|---|
| DraftKings Sportsbook | 9.5 |
| BetMGM | 9.5 |
Cleveland Browns Futures Betting Odds
CLE 
Standings Data
| 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|
| Actual Record | 7-10 | 8-9 |
| Point Differential | -20 | -22 |
| ATS W/L | 8-9 | 7-10 |
| Over/Under Record | 8-8-1 | 7-10 |
| Record in Division Games | 3-3 | 3-3 |
Cleveland Browns Picks, Predictions & Betting News
Offseason Transactions
Key Additions: Dalvin Tomlinson, Elijah Moore, Juan Thornhill
Key Departures: Jadeveon Clowney, Greedy Williams, John Johnson
The Browns didn’t see their roster drastically altered in the offseason, even if the loss of Jadeveon Clowney sounds big on paper. The biggest thing for this team will be Watson being set to play quarterback for a full season, and whether or not that will work with Watson being out for the better part of the last two seasons.
Cleveland Browns Offensive Stats
| 2022 (Rank) | 2021 (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| Yards Per Play | 5.3 (T-17th) | 5.5 (T-16th) |
| Yards Per Rush Attempt | 4.7 (T-9th) | 5.1 (T-1st) |
| Yards Per Pass Attempt | 6.9 (T-18th) | 7.0 (T-18th) |
| Points Per Game | 21.2 (18th) | 20.5 (20th) |
| Turnovers | 21 (T-8th) | 22 (T-13th) |
The Browns are going to be graded on a steep curve offensively heading into the 2023 NFL season. But it is worth pointing out that Deshaun Watson’s completion percentage and yards per attempt numbers were worse than those of Jacoby Brissett last season. While Watson should be able to get himself looking like the old Deshaun Watson over a full year in 2023, that is by no means a guarantee either.
Cleveland Browns Defensive Stats
| 2022 (Rank) | 2021 (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| Yards Per Play Allowed | 5.4 (T-15th) | 5.0 (2nd) |
| Yards Per Rush Attempt Allowed | 4.7 (T-24th) | 4.2 (T-10th) |
| Yards Per Pass Attempt Allowed | 6.4 (T-12th) | 6.0 (2nd) |
| Points Per Game Allowed | 22.4 (20th) | 21.8 (T-13th) |
| Takeaways | 20 (T-20th) | 19 (T-21st) |
Defense is where the 2023 season will be made or broken for the Cleveland Browns. They were middling in most major statistical categories in 2022, a far cry from where they were in 2021 when they were one of the stingier defenses in the league. While all of the attention is on how Watson will play this year, this is the area that will determine how this season goes.
Positives & Negatives
The top positive for the Cleveland Browns going into the 2023 NFL campaign is their running game, as Nick Chubb could very well lead the league in rushing this season. Their offense has the potential to be elite across the board, but we already know that they will be able to chew up yards on the ground, which is becoming less and less common in today’s pass-first football landscape.
However, the Browns still aren’t 100% sure what they are going to get with Deshaun Watson at quarterback. We also do not know if their defense will have what it takes to slow down a couple of dynamic offenses in their division, or opponents like the 49ers and Jaguars in non-division competition this year.
2023 Cleveland Browns Win Total Prediction: Under 9.5 Wins
Sure, Deshaun Watson will be playing more football this year than he did last year. But we don’t know that is necessarily a good thing, and the real issue for this team is a defense that we don’t know will be any better than they were a season ago. In a division where the Ravens should be better over the course of a full season, and there is an argument to be made that the Steelers have a path to improvement, the Browns still feel like a sub-.500 team in 2023.
