Zion Williamson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-120).
Pros
- Zion Williamson has registered 30.0 points per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 7.2 more than he’s registered overall this season at home.
- Zion Williamson has sunk 100.0% of his treys over the last 15 games at home, 37.5% more than he’s converted from 3-point range overall this year with the home court advantage.
- Zion Williamson has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 4.6 higher than he’s been on the court for overall this season at home.
- Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8th-best in in the league as the home team with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
- Zion Williamson has attempted 9.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he’s attempted in all games this year.
Cons
- In terms of shots from the field, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
- The matchup vs. the Celtics is a challenging one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposition’s starting PFs this year (14.5).
- The Pelicans will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics).
- The matchup against Boston is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition’s starting PFs have attempted a measly 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Celtics are away from home (8th-least in the NBA).
Prop Bet & Prediction: Zion Williamson is projected for 24.5 Points
