San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs

Apr 9, 2025

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Prediction – 4/9/2025


The San Antonio Spurs face off against the Golden State Warriors on April 9, 2025, at 10:00 PM ET in a matchup that sees both teams coming off back-to-back games. The Spurs, with a record of 32-47, are struggling, having lost 33 of their last 50 games. Their most recent outing resulted in a 122-117 defeat against the LA Clippers, which adds to their woes as they head into a challenging contest against the Warriors.

Golden State, boasting a strong 47-32 record, has been on an upswing, winning 28 of their last 40 games. They come off an impressive 133-95 victory against the Phoenix Suns, which showcases their current form and momentum. The Warriors enter the game as significant favorites, with a spread set at -15.5. The Moneyline for the Warriors is -1100, while the Spurs sit at +750, translating to an implied win probability of 11% for the Spurs and 89% for the Warriors.

Betting trends indicate that sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under in player prop markets, particularly for Stephon Castle's Points and Rebounds, which is currently priced at Under 24.5 Points and Rebounds (-110). This suggests a belief that the market may be mispriced in favor of a lower output for Castle.

Given San Antonio's fatigue from playing consecutive nights and Golden State's strong home-court advantage, it’s likely that the Warriors will dominate this matchup. The combination of recent performance and statistical probabilities makes this a compelling game for bettors considering the lopsided nature of the odds.


San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Predicted Final Score: San Antonio Spurs 105.86 vs Golden State Warriors 121.53


San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Spurs11%9%
Warriors89%91%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+17.5/-110
43% SA
-17.5/-110
57% GS

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+880
6% SA
-1563
94% GS

Total Pick Consensus

233.5/-110
16% UN
233.5/-110
84% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

SA
Team Stats Per Game
GS
82
Games
82
41.8
FG
40.4
89.8
FGA
86.9
.465
FG%
.465
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.2
39.6
3Pt-FGA
36.3
.357
3Pt%
.363
27.7
2Pt-FG
27.3
50.2
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.551
2Pt%
.539
16.2
FT
16.4
21.0
FTA
21.4
.774
FT%
.769
10.9
ORB
10.6
32.7
DRB
33.5
43.7
TRB
44.1
28.6
AST
25.9
8.2
STL
7.6
5.5
BLK
5.4
13.9
TOV
15.7
16.6
PF
18.6
113.9
PTS
110.5

Defense/Offense

SA
Team Stats Per Game
GS
82
Games
82
43.8
FG
40.8
92.5
FGA
90.4
.474
FG%
.451
14.4
3Pt-FG
15.4
39.3
3Pt-FGA
42.4
.365
3Pt%
.364
29.5
2Pt-FG
25.3
53.2
2Pt-FGA
48.0
.554
2Pt%
.528
14.6
FT
16.9
18.5
FTA
22.1
.790
FT%
.764
12.1
ORB
12.5
34.1
DRB
32.8
46.2
TRB
45.4
28.0
AST
29.1
8.1
STL
9.4
4.3
BLK
4.8
13.7
TOV
14.0
17.4
PF
19.2
116.7
PTS
113.8

Offense/Defense

SA
Four Factors
GS
.544
eFG%
.541
12.3
TOV%
14.1
24.3
RB%
75.6
.181
FT/FGA
.189

Defense/Offense

SA
Four Factors
GS
.551
eFG%
.536
12.0
TOV%
12.3
73.0
RB%
27.3
.158
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

SA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
82
Games
82
42.0
FG
40.9
90.2
FGA
87.8
.465
FG%
.465
14.2
3Pt-FG
13.3
39.8
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.357
3Pt%
.363
27.8
2Pt-FG
27.6
50.4
2Pt-FGA
51.2
.551
2Pt%
.539
16.3
FT
16.6
21.1
FTA
21.6
.774
FT%
.769
11.0
ORB
10.7
32.9
DRB
33.8
43.9
TRB
44.5
28.8
AST
26.1
8.3
STL
7.7
5.6
BLK
5.4
13.9
TOV
15.9
16.7
PF
18.8
114.4
PTS
111.7

Defense/Offense

SA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
GS
82
Games
82
44.0
FG
41.2
92.9
FGA
91.4
.474
FG%
.451
14.4
3Pt-FG
15.6
39.5
3Pt-FGA
42.8
.365
3Pt%
.364
29.6
2Pt-FG
25.6
53.4
2Pt-FGA
48.5
.554
2Pt%
.528
14.7
FT
17.0
18.6
FTA
22.3
.790
FT%
.764
12.1
ORB
12.7
34.2
DRB
33.2
46.4
TRB
45.9
28.1
AST
29.4
8.1
STL
9.5
4.4
BLK
4.8
13.7
TOV
14.2
17.5
PF
19.4
117.2
PTS
115.0

SA
Analytics
GS
34
Pythag Wins
49
48
Pythag Losses
33
-2.76
Margin Of Victory
3.30
114.4
O Rtg
115.0
117.2
D Rtg
111.7
99.3
Pace
98.7
.234
FTr
.244
.441
3PAr
.469
.575
TS%
.568

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
SA GS
SA GS
Consensus
+15.5 (-112)
-15.5 (-110)
+17.5 (-112)
-17.5 (-109)
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
+17.5 (-110)
-17.5 (-110)
+15.0 (-110)
-15.0 (-112)
+17.5 (-110)
-17.5 (-110)
+17.0 (-113)
-17.0 (-112)
+17.5 (-113)
-17.5 (-108)
+15.0 (-105)
-15.0 (-110)
+17.5 (-105)
-17.5 (-115)
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-105)
+17.5 (-110)
-17.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
SA GS
SA GS
Consensus
+800
-1375
+880
-1563
+800
-1350
+950
-1650
+810
-1350
+900
-1600
+800
-1400
+1050
-2500
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
233.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-112)
233.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
233.5 (-109)
233.5 (-112)
233.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
234.0 (-115)
234.0 (-105)
234.5 (-105)
234.5 (-115)
234.5 (-105)
234.5 (-115)

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