Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns

Mar 7, 2025

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Pick – 3/7/2025


On March 7, 2025, the Phoenix Suns will face off against the Denver Nuggets at 10:00 PM ET at Ball Arena. The Suns, currently sitting at 29-33, are coming off a narrow victory against the LA Clippers, winning 119-117 just three days prior. This extra rest could provide them with a much-needed advantage as they head into a challenging matchup against the Nuggets, who boast a strong 40-22 record.

Despite the Suns' recent win, they have struggled on the road, losing 18 of their last 25 away games. In contrast, the Nuggets have been playing well, winning 33 of their last 50 contests. This trend makes Denver a clear favorite, with the current spread set at Nuggets -7.5. The Nuggets also have a Moneyline of -295, indicating a 72% implied probability of winning, while the Suns sit at +250 with a 28% implied win probability.

For bettors looking at player props, Kevin Durant's points have emerged as a focal point, as it is the most popular betting market for this matchup. The Over/Under for Durant is currently set at 25.5 points, with sharp bettors leaning towards the Over, suggesting they believe this line may be mispriced.

As the game approaches, the Suns will need to harness their recent momentum and capitalize on their extra rest to challenge the Nuggets effectively. However, with Denver's home-court advantage and current form, it will be a steep hill to climb for Phoenix.


Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Phoenix Suns 118.75 vs Denver Nuggets 122.66


Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Suns28%39%
Nuggets72%61%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.0/-108
37% PHO
-9.0/-112
63% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+302
10% PHO
-381
90% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

242.5/-110
43% UN
242.5/-110
57% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

PHO
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
82
Games
82
41.2
FG
43.3
86.3
FGA
93.0
.478
FG%
.466
14.3
3Pt-FG
14.1
38.0
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.378
3Pt%
.365
26.9
2Pt-FG
29.2
48.3
2Pt-FGA
54.4
.556
2Pt%
.538
16.8
FT
16.1
20.8
FTA
20.7
.810
FT%
.777
9.5
ORB
11.7
32.9
DRB
30.7
42.5
TRB
42.5
27.8
AST
29.0
7.2
STL
8.7
4.8
BLK
5.1
14.1
TOV
13.0
17.9
PF
19.0
113.6
PTS
116.9

Defense/Offense

PHO
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
82
Games
82
42.6
FG
45.4
90.1
FGA
89.8
.473
FG%
.506
14.2
3Pt-FG
12.0
38.4
3Pt-FGA
31.9
.370
3Pt%
.376
28.4
2Pt-FG
33.4
51.7
2Pt-FGA
57.8
.549
2Pt%
.578
17.2
FT
17.9
21.8
FTA
23.3
.790
FT%
.770
11.5
ORB
11.2
32.7
DRB
34.5
44.2
TRB
45.7
27.3
AST
31.0
8.5
STL
8.0
4.0
BLK
4.9
12.2
TOV
14.3
18.4
PF
17.6
116.6
PTS
120.8

Offense/Defense

PHO
Four Factors
DEN
.561
eFG%
.542
12.8
TOV%
11.3
22.6
RB%
74.6
.195
FT/FGA
.173

Defense/Offense

PHO
Four Factors
DEN
.552
eFG%
.573
10.9
TOV%
12.5
74.1
RB%
26.7
.191
FT/FGA
.200

Offense/Defense

PHO
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
82
Games
82
42.2
FG
43.0
88.2
FGA
92.4
.478
FG%
.466
14.7
3Pt-FG
14.0
38.8
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.378
3Pt%
.365
27.5
2Pt-FG
29.0
49.4
2Pt-FGA
54.0
.556
2Pt%
.538
17.2
FT
16.0
21.2
FTA
20.6
.810
FT%
.777
9.8
ORB
11.7
33.7
DRB
30.5
43.4
TRB
42.2
28.4
AST
28.8
7.4
STL
8.7
4.9
BLK
5.1
14.4
TOV
12.9
18.3
PF
18.9
116.2
PTS
116.0

Defense/Offense

PHO
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
82
Games
82
43.6
FG
45.1
92.1
FGA
89.1
.473
FG%
.506
14.5
3Pt-FG
11.9
39.2
3Pt-FGA
31.7
.370
3Pt%
.376
29.1
2Pt-FG
33.2
52.9
2Pt-FGA
57.4
.549
2Pt%
.578
17.6
FT
17.8
22.3
FTA
23.1
.790
FT%
.770
11.8
ORB
11.1
33.4
DRB
34.3
45.2
TRB
45.4
27.9
AST
30.8
8.7
STL
7.9
4.1
BLK
4.9
12.5
TOV
14.2
18.8
PF
17.5
119.3
PTS
119.9

PHO
Analytics
DEN
34
Pythag Wins
50
48
Pythag Losses
32
-3.00
Margin Of Victory
3.89
116.2
O Rtg
119.9
119.3
D Rtg
116.0
97.1
Pace
99.8
.241
FTr
.259
.440
3PAr
.356
.595
TS%
.604

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
PHO DEN
PHO DEN
Consensus
+9.0 (-111)
-9.0 (-113)
+9.0 (-111)
-9.0 (-109)
+8.5 (-108)
-8.5 (-110)
+9.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-112)
+8.5 (-108)
-8.5 (-115)
+9.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-112)
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-107)
+9.0 (-115)
-9.0 (-106)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-102)
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
PHO DEN
PHO DEN
Consensus
+285
-360
+302
-381
+285
-360
+300
-380
+290
-360
+290
-360
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
237.5 (-108)
237.5 (-113)
242.5 (-112)
242.5 (-109)
237.5 (-110)
237.5 (-110)
243.0 (-110)
243.0 (-110)
238.0 (-110)
238.0 (-110)
243.0 (-110)
243.0 (-110)
236.0 (-110)
236.0 (-110)
242.5 (-113)
242.5 (-108)
237.5 (-110)
237.5 (-110)
242.5 (-110)
242.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
236.5 (-110)
242.5 (-115)
242.5 (-105)

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