Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 16, 2025

Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction – 3/16/2025


On March 16, 2025, the Oklahoma City Thunder (55-13) will face off against the Milwaukee Bucks (39-28) at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. This Sunday Night matchup is set to tip off at 9:00 PM ET and promises to be an intriguing contest given both teams are coming off back-to-back games.

The Thunder enter this game as favorites, with a spread of Thunder -4.0 and a moneyline of -170, translating to an implied win probability of 61%. Oklahoma City has been on a roll, winning 41 of their last 50 games, including a recent victory over the Detroit Pistons, where they secured a 113-107 win. However, the quick turnaround from yesterday's game may pose a challenge for the Thunder, as fatigue could factor into their performance.

Similarly, the Bucks are also dealing with the rigors of a back-to-back, having defeated the Indiana Pacers 126-119 in their last outing. Milwaukee has been strong at home, winning 22 of their last 30 games at Fiserv Forum, which could provide a significant boost as they look to upset the favored Thunder. The Bucks have a moneyline of +145, giving them an implied win probability of 39%.

Both teams will be looking to leverage their recent form, but the Thunder's overall success this season and the Bucks' home-court advantage set the stage for a compelling matchup. Bettors will want to keep an eye on player fatigue and any last-minute injury updates as they consider their wagers for this exciting Sunday night showdown.


Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 115.26 vs Milwaukee Bucks 117.14


Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Thunder61%45%
Bucks39%55%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-5.0/-110
64% OKC
+5.0/-110
36% MIL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-192
75% OKC
+160
25% MIL

Total Pick Consensus

232.5/-112
53% UN
232.5/-108
47% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
67
Games
66
44.3
FG
41.3
92.7
FGA
91.1
.479
FG%
.453
14.3
3Pt-FG
13.8
39.0
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.366
3Pt%
.351
30.1
2Pt-FG
27.5
53.7
2Pt-FGA
51.9
.560
2Pt%
.531
16.6
FT
16.2
20.2
FTA
20.5
.824
FT%
.789
10.9
ORB
10.8
33.8
DRB
34.3
44.7
TRB
45.1
26.6
AST
25.9
10.6
STL
7.7
5.8
BLK
4.0
11.9
TOV
12.8
20.2
PF
18.8
119.6
PTS
112.5

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
67
Games
66
37.9
FG
41.9
86.7
FGA
86.9
.437
FG%
.483
13.1
3Pt-FG
14.2
38.8
3Pt-FGA
37.0
.337
3Pt%
.384
24.8
2Pt-FG
27.7
47.9
2Pt-FGA
49.9
.518
2Pt%
.556
18.4
FT
16.9
23.9
FTA
22.4
.770
FT%
.753
12.0
ORB
8.5
33.5
DRB
35.9
45.5
TRB
44.3
24.5
AST
25.3
6.6
STL
7.3
4.7
BLK
4.8
17.4
TOV
13.8
18.3
PF
18.2
107.2
PTS
114.9

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
MIL
.555
eFG%
.529
10.5
TOV%
11.4
24.5
RB%
76.9
.179
FT/FGA
.177

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
MIL
.512
eFG%
.564
15.2
TOV%
12.5
73.8
RB%
19.8
.212
FT/FGA
.194

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
67
Games
66
44.4
FG
41.3
92.7
FGA
91.1
.479
FG%
.453
14.3
3Pt-FG
13.8
39.0
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.366
3Pt%
.351
30.1
2Pt-FG
27.5
53.7
2Pt-FGA
51.9
.560
2Pt%
.531
16.6
FT
16.2
20.2
FTA
20.5
.824
FT%
.789
10.9
ORB
10.8
33.8
DRB
34.3
44.7
TRB
45.1
26.6
AST
25.9
10.6
STL
7.7
5.8
BLK
4.0
11.9
TOV
12.8
20.2
PF
18.8
119.6
PTS
112.5

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
67
Games
66
37.9
FG
41.9
86.7
FGA
86.9
.437
FG%
.483
13.1
3Pt-FG
14.2
38.8
3Pt-FGA
37.0
.337
3Pt%
.384
24.8
2Pt-FG
27.7
47.9
2Pt-FGA
49.9
.518
2Pt%
.556
18.4
FT
16.9
23.9
FTA
22.4
.770
FT%
.753
12.0
ORB
8.5
33.5
DRB
35.9
45.5
TRB
44.4
24.5
AST
25.3
6.6
STL
7.3
4.7
BLK
4.8
17.4
TOV
13.8
18.3
PF
18.2
107.2
PTS
114.9

OKC
Analytics
MIL
55
Pythag Wins
38
12
Pythag Losses
28
12.39
Margin Of Victory
2.41
119.6
O Rtg
114.9
107.2
D Rtg
112.5
99.8
Pace
99.8
.218
FTr
.258
.420
3PAr
.426
.589
TS%
.594

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC MIL
OKC MIL
Consensus
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-115)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-115)
+5.0 (-105)
-4.0 (-109)
+4.0 (-112)
-5.0 (-109)
+5.0 (-112)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-118)
-5.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
OKC MIL
OKC MIL
Consensus
-155
+130
-191
+160
-155
+130
-192
+160
-148
+126
-190
+160
-159
+135
-182
+150
-145
+122
-205
+170
-175
+145
-210
+170
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
234.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
232.5 (-108)
232.5 (-112)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
233.0 (-109)
233.0 (-112)
232.0 (-113)
232.0 (-108)
234.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)

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