Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 16, 2025

Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction – 3/16/2025


On March 16, 2025, the Oklahoma City Thunder (55-13) will face off against the Milwaukee Bucks (39-28) at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. This Sunday Night matchup is set to tip off at 9:00 PM ET and promises to be an intriguing contest given both teams are coming off back-to-back games.

The Thunder enter this game as favorites, with a spread of Thunder -4.0 and a moneyline of -170, translating to an implied win probability of 61%. Oklahoma City has been on a roll, winning 41 of their last 50 games, including a recent victory over the Detroit Pistons, where they secured a 113-107 win. However, the quick turnaround from yesterday's game may pose a challenge for the Thunder, as fatigue could factor into their performance.

Similarly, the Bucks are also dealing with the rigors of a back-to-back, having defeated the Indiana Pacers 126-119 in their last outing. Milwaukee has been strong at home, winning 22 of their last 30 games at Fiserv Forum, which could provide a significant boost as they look to upset the favored Thunder. The Bucks have a moneyline of +145, giving them an implied win probability of 39%.

Both teams will be looking to leverage their recent form, but the Thunder's overall success this season and the Bucks' home-court advantage set the stage for a compelling matchup. Bettors will want to keep an eye on player fatigue and any last-minute injury updates as they consider their wagers for this exciting Sunday night showdown.


Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 115.26 vs Milwaukee Bucks 117.14


Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Thunder61%45%
Bucks39%55%

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-5.5/-110
55% OKC
+5.5/-110
45% MIL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-211
77% OKC
+178
23% MIL

Total Pick Consensus

233.0/-110
29% UN
233.0/-110
71% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
41.6
92.7
FGA
91.1
.482
FG%
.457
14.5
3Pt-FG
13.9
38.8
3Pt-FGA
39.4
.374
3Pt%
.353
30.1
2Pt-FG
27.7
53.9
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.559
2Pt%
.536
16.7
FT
15.9
20.4
FTA
20.3
.819
FT%
.783
10.6
ORB
11.0
34.2
DRB
34.3
44.8
TRB
45.3
26.9
AST
26.4
10.3
STL
7.3
5.7
BLK
3.8
11.7
TOV
12.9
19.9
PF
18.9
120.5
PTS
113.0

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
42.0
87.0
FGA
86.4
.436
FG%
.486
13.5
3Pt-FG
14.2
39.3
3Pt-FGA
36.6
.342
3Pt%
.387
24.5
2Pt-FG
27.9
47.6
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.513
2Pt%
.560
18.3
FT
17.3
23.7
FTA
23.1
.774
FT%
.750
11.6
ORB
8.2
33.3
DRB
35.1
44.9
TRB
43.4
24.6
AST
25.5
6.7
STL
7.3
4.8
BLK
4.7
17.0
TOV
13.4
18.1
PF
17.9
107.6
PTS
115.5

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
MIL
.560
eFG%
.533
10.3
TOV%
11.4
24.2
RB%
76.2
.180
FT/FGA
.174

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
MIL
.513
eFG%
.568
14.9
TOV%
12.2
74.6
RB%
19.3
.211
FT/FGA
.201

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
41.8
92.6
FGA
91.4
.482
FG%
.457
14.5
3Pt-FG
14.0
38.8
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.374
3Pt%
.353
30.1
2Pt-FG
27.8
53.8
2Pt-FGA
51.9
.559
2Pt%
.536
16.7
FT
15.9
20.4
FTA
20.3
.819
FT%
.783
10.6
ORB
11.0
34.1
DRB
34.4
44.7
TRB
45.4
26.8
AST
26.5
10.3
STL
7.4
5.7
BLK
3.9
11.7
TOV
12.9
19.9
PF
19.0
120.3
PTS
113.4

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
42.2
86.8
FGA
86.7
.436
FG%
.486
13.4
3Pt-FG
14.2
39.3
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.342
3Pt%
.387
24.4
2Pt-FG
28.0
47.6
2Pt-FGA
49.9
.513
2Pt%
.560
18.3
FT
17.4
23.7
FTA
23.2
.774
FT%
.750
11.6
ORB
8.2
33.2
DRB
35.3
44.8
TRB
43.5
24.6
AST
25.6
6.7
STL
7.4
4.8
BLK
4.7
17.0
TOV
13.4
18.1
PF
18.0
107.5
PTS
115.9

OKC
Analytics
MIL
68
Pythag Wins
47
14
Pythag Losses
35
12.87
Margin Of Victory
2.48
120.3
O Rtg
115.9
107.5
D Rtg
113.4
100.0
Pace
99.3
.220
FTr
.268
.419
3PAr
.424
.593
TS%
.598

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC MIL
OKC MIL
Consensus
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-4.0 (-113)
+4.0 (-112)
-5.5 (-113)
+5.5 (-108)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-118)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
OKC MIL
OKC MIL
Consensus
-155
+130
-211
+178
-155
+130
-218
+180
-148
+126
-220
+184
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
234.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
233.0 (-111)
233.0 (-109)
234.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.0 (-109)
233.0 (-112)
233.0 (-110)
233.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
234.0 (-110)
233.0 (-115)
233.0 (-105)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)

Related Articles