Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 5, 2025

Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Pick – 3/5/2025


On March 5, 2025, the Oklahoma City Thunder (50-12) will face off against the Memphis Grizzlies (38-23) at FedExForum in Memphis. This Wednesday night matchup features the Thunder as significant favorites, with a current spread of Thunder -8.5. The Thunder's moneyline sits at -345, reflecting an implied win probability of 75%, while the Grizzlies, with a moneyline of +285, have an implied win probability of 25%.

Oklahoma City is entering the game on a high note, having won 40 of their last 50 contests, including a recent victory over the Houston Rockets, where they triumphed 137-128. In stark contrast, Memphis is struggling, having dropped three consecutive games, the latest being a nail-biter against the Atlanta Hawks, losing 132-130.

For bettors looking at player prop markets, Ja Morant's Points and Rebounds could be worth a closer look, as it has emerged as the most popular betting option for this game. The prop total opened at Under 29.5 Points and Rebounds (-115) but has since shifted to 27.5 (-125), indicating that sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under.

With the Thunder's recent form and the Grizzlies' current struggles, this matchup presents an intriguing opportunity for sports bettors. Oklahoma City's strong play and Memphis's recent woes could heavily influence the outcome, making this game one to watch for both fans and bettors alike.


Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 126.35 vs Memphis Grizzlies 111.89


Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Thunder75%90%
Grizzlies25%10%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-8.0/-110
70% OKC
+8.0/-110
30% MEM

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-325
84% OKC
+260
16% MEM

Total Pick Consensus

253.0/-110
40% UN
253.0/-110
60% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
61
Games
61
44.5
FG
42.3
93.0
FGA
92.7
.478
FG%
.456
14.3
3Pt-FG
13.9
39.0
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.366
3Pt%
.353
30.2
2Pt-FG
28.4
54.0
2Pt-FGA
53.4
.559
2Pt%
.532
16.4
FT
18.6
20.0
FTA
24.6
.824
FT%
.756
11.1
ORB
12.0
33.6
DRB
31.2
44.7
TRB
43.2
26.9
AST
27.0
10.8
STL
9.2
5.7
BLK
5.8
11.9
TOV
15.5
20.4
PF
21.0
119.6
PTS
117.0

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
MEM
61
Games
61
37.6
FG
45.2
86.2
FGA
93.4
.436
FG%
.484
13.0
3Pt-FG
13.8
38.6
3Pt-FGA
37.5
.337
3Pt%
.368
24.5
2Pt-FG
31.4
47.6
2Pt-FGA
56.0
.516
2Pt%
.561
18.9
FT
19.0
24.5
FTA
24.4
.769
FT%
.778
12.0
ORB
13.3
33.5
DRB
34.2
45.5
TRB
47.5
24.6
AST
29.2
6.6
STL
8.8
4.8
BLK
5.9
17.8
TOV
16.4
18.2
PF
21.0
107.0
PTS
123.3

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
MEM
.555
eFG%
.531
10.5
TOV%
13.0
24.9
RB%
74.0
.177
FT/FGA
.200

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
MEM
.511
eFG%
.558
15.5
TOV%
13.6
73.7
RB%
29.9
.219
FT/FGA
.204

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
61
Games
61
44.5
FG
40.6
93.0
FGA
89.0
.478
FG%
.456
14.3
3Pt-FG
13.3
39.0
3Pt-FGA
37.7
.366
3Pt%
.353
30.2
2Pt-FG
27.3
54.0
2Pt-FGA
51.3
.559
2Pt%
.532
16.4
FT
17.8
19.9
FTA
23.6
.824
FT%
.756
11.1
ORB
11.5
33.6
DRB
30.0
44.7
TRB
41.5
26.9
AST
26.0
10.8
STL
8.8
5.7
BLK
5.5
11.9
TOV
14.9
20.4
PF
20.1
119.6
PTS
112.3

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MEM
61
Games
61
37.6
FG
43.4
86.2
FGA
89.7
.436
FG%
.484
13.0
3Pt-FG
13.3
38.6
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.337
3Pt%
.368
24.5
2Pt-FG
30.2
47.6
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.516
2Pt%
.561
18.9
FT
18.3
24.5
FTA
23.5
.769
FT%
.778
12.0
ORB
12.8
33.5
DRB
32.9
45.5
TRB
45.6
24.6
AST
28.0
6.6
STL
8.5
4.8
BLK
5.7
17.8
TOV
15.8
18.2
PF
20.2
107.0
PTS
118.4

OKC
Analytics
MEM
50
Pythag Wins
41
11
Pythag Losses
20
12.66
Margin Of Victory
6.30
119.6
O Rtg
118.4
107.0
D Rtg
112.3
99.8
Pace
103.9
.215
FTr
.262
.420
3PAr
.401
.588
TS%
.592

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC MEM
OKC MEM
Consensus
-7.5 (-114)
+7.5 (-110)
-8.0 (-114)
+8.0 (-108)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-8.0 (-110)
+8.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-114)
+7.0 (-112)
-8.0 (-114)
+8.0 (-106)
-8.5 (-114)
+8.5 (-114)
-8.0 (-114)
+8.0 (-107)
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-110)
-8.0 (-115)
+8.0 (-105)
-8.5 (-105)
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-105)
+8.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
OKC MEM
OKC MEM
Consensus
-300
+240
-322
+258
-298
+240
-325
+260
-260
+215
-330
+265
-315
+255
-305
+240
-305
+240
-345
+270
-325
+260
-325
+260
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
247.5 (-110)
247.5 (-110)
252.0 (-110)
252.0 (-111)
247.5 (-110)
247.5 (-110)
253.0 (-110)
253.0 (-110)
246.5 (-112)
246.5 (-108)
251.5 (-114)
251.5 (-106)
249.5 (-112)
249.5 (-109)
252.0 (-109)
252.0 (-112)
247.5 (-110)
247.5 (-110)
252.5 (-110)
252.5 (-110)
249.5 (-110)
249.5 (-110)
252.5 (-110)
252.5 (-110)

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