Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

May 9, 2025

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Game 3 Prediction – 5/9/2025

On May 9, 2025, the Oklahoma City Thunder will clash with the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena in Game 3 of their Western Conference second-round playoff series. This game, scheduled for 10:00 PM ET, carries major significance as this series is tied 1-1 going into tonight. With the Thunder boasting an impressive record of 73-16, they enter the contest as favorites, despite playing on the road. The current spread sits at Thunder -5.0, indicating confidence in their ability to secure a win.

Oklahoma City has been on a remarkable run, winning 41 of their last 50 games, showcasing their dominance this season. In contrast, the Nuggets, with a record of 55-36, have also performed well at home, winning 26 of their last 40 games in Denver. However, the Thunder recently handed the Nuggets a tough loss, defeating them 149-106 in their last encounter.

Betting markets reflect the Thunder's strong position, with an implied win probability of 65% based on their moneyline of -210. Meanwhile, the Nuggets sit at +180, giving them a 35% implied win probability. For those looking to place player prop bets, Isaiah Joe's Points, Rebounds, and Assists market has emerged as a popular option, signaling interest in his performance.

Interestingly, sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under for Isaiah Joe’s total of 7.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists, suggesting they see value in this line. As both teams prepare for this critical showdown, fans and bettors alike will be eager to see how this rivalry unfolds on the court.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Game 3 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 123.17, Denver Nuggets 115.3

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Game 3 Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Thunder66%72%
Nuggets34%28%

Get daily NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-5.0/-112
68% OKC
+5.0/-108
32% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-205
49% OKC
+170
51% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

232.5/-110
31% UN
232.5/-110
69% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
43.3
92.7
FGA
93.0
.482
FG%
.466
14.5
3Pt-FG
14.1
38.8
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.374
3Pt%
.365
30.1
2Pt-FG
29.2
53.9
2Pt-FGA
54.4
.559
2Pt%
.538
16.7
FT
16.1
20.4
FTA
20.7
.819
FT%
.777
10.6
ORB
11.7
34.2
DRB
30.7
44.8
TRB
42.5
26.9
AST
29.0
10.3
STL
8.7
5.7
BLK
5.1
11.7
TOV
13.0
19.9
PF
19.0
120.5
PTS
116.9

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
45.4
87.0
FGA
89.8
.436
FG%
.506
13.5
3Pt-FG
12.0
39.3
3Pt-FGA
31.9
.342
3Pt%
.376
24.5
2Pt-FG
33.4
47.6
2Pt-FGA
57.8
.513
2Pt%
.578
18.3
FT
17.9
23.7
FTA
23.3
.774
FT%
.770
11.6
ORB
11.2
33.3
DRB
34.5
44.9
TRB
45.7
24.6
AST
31.0
6.7
STL
8.0
4.8
BLK
4.9
17.0
TOV
14.3
18.1
PF
17.6
107.6
PTS
120.8

Offense/Defense

OKC
Four Factors
DEN
.560
eFG%
.542
10.3
TOV%
11.3
24.2
RB%
74.6
.180
FT/FGA
.173

Defense/Offense

OKC
Four Factors
DEN
.513
eFG%
.573
14.9
TOV%
12.5
74.6
RB%
26.7
.211
FT/FGA
.200

Offense/Defense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
82
Games
82
44.6
FG
43.0
92.6
FGA
92.4
.482
FG%
.466
14.5
3Pt-FG
14.0
38.8
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.374
3Pt%
.365
30.1
2Pt-FG
29.0
53.8
2Pt-FGA
54.0
.559
2Pt%
.538
16.7
FT
16.0
20.4
FTA
20.6
.819
FT%
.777
10.6
ORB
11.7
34.1
DRB
30.5
44.7
TRB
42.2
26.8
AST
28.8
10.3
STL
8.7
5.7
BLK
5.1
11.7
TOV
12.9
19.9
PF
18.9
120.3
PTS
116.0

Defense/Offense

OKC
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
82
Games
82
37.9
FG
45.1
86.8
FGA
89.1
.436
FG%
.506
13.4
3Pt-FG
11.9
39.3
3Pt-FGA
31.7
.342
3Pt%
.376
24.4
2Pt-FG
33.2
47.6
2Pt-FGA
57.4
.513
2Pt%
.578
18.3
FT
17.8
23.7
FTA
23.1
.774
FT%
.770
11.6
ORB
11.1
33.2
DRB
34.3
44.8
TRB
45.4
24.6
AST
30.8
6.7
STL
7.9
4.8
BLK
4.9
17.0
TOV
14.2
18.1
PF
17.5
107.5
PTS
119.9

OKC
Analytics
DEN
68
Pythag Wins
50
14
Pythag Losses
32
12.87
Margin Of Victory
3.89
120.3
O Rtg
119.9
107.5
D Rtg
116.0
100.0
Pace
99.8
.220
FTr
.259
.419
3PAr
.356
.593
TS%
.604

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
OKC DEN
OKC DEN
Consensus
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-109)
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.0 (-112)
+5.0 (-108)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-109)
+4.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-109)
+5.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
OKC DEN
OKC DEN
Consensus
-188
+156
-220
+184
-185
+154
-205
+170
-190
+160
-225
+188
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
232.5 (-109)
232.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
234.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
233.5 (-108)
233.5 (-113)
233.0 (-112)
233.0 (-109)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
233.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)
232.5 (-110)

Related Articles

Leave a Comment

Home NBA Picks Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Game 3 Prediction – 5/9/2025