Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

May 6, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
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  • Consensus
  • Stats
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Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Pick & Prediction – 5/6/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 6, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Minnesota Timberwolves 5.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total:207
Moneyline:Minnesota Timberwolves 195, Denver Nuggets -225


Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Minnesota Timberwolves - 33%Minnesota Timberwolves - 38%
Denver Nuggets - 67%Denver Nuggets - 62%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

In a highly anticipated matchup, the Minnesota Timberwolves (61-26) will be facing off against the Denver Nuggets (61-27) on Monday night at 10:00 PM ET. This game promises to bring the excitement as it features two divisional rivals battling for supremacy. The rivalry between these teams adds an extra layer of significance to the game, providing both teams with added motivation to secure the victory.

The game will take place at the Ball Arena in Denver, which is the home arena for the Nuggets. Historically, the Nuggets have been strong contenders on their home court, making them the favorites in this game. The current spread favors the Nuggets by 5.5 points, indicating the perceived advantage they have over the Timberwolves.

In terms of the betting odds, the moneyline for the Nuggets stands at -225, while the Timberwolves have a moneyline of +195. Based on these odds, the Timberwolves have an implied win probability of 33%, while the Nuggets have a higher implied win probability of 67%.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with momentum on their side, having won their last five consecutive games. On the other hand, the Nuggets have been playing solid basketball, winning 35 out of their last 50 games.

In their previous matchup, the Timberwolves pulled off an upset victory by defeating the Nuggets 106-99. This unexpected outcome was reflected in the odds, as the Timberwolves entered the game as 4.0 underdogs, with a mere 38% chance of winning.

If you're interested in player prop markets, keep an eye on Rudy Gobert's Points, Rebounds, and Assists. This particular market has been quite popular among bettors, indicating the level of interest in Gobert's performance.

It's worth noting that sharp bettors are showing a preference for the Under, as they believe it offers value and may be mispriced. The current price for the Under in Points, Rebounds, and Assists is set at 25.5, with odds of -105.

As the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Denver Nuggets prepare to face off, all eyes will be on this intense divisional battle. With the Timberwolves aiming to extend their winning streak and the Nuggets seeking redemption, this game is sure to provide an exciting display of basketball.


Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Minnesota Timberwolves 103.78 vs Denver Nuggets 108.09

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+7.0/-110
69% MIN
-7.0/-110
31% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+230
17% MIN
-285
83% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

209.5/-110
5% UN
209.5/-110
95% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
25
Games
24
39.2
FG
43.5
85.4
FGA
93.1
.459
FG%
.468
14.8
3Pt-FG
13.9
40.0
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.371
3Pt%
.359
24.4
2Pt-FG
29.6
45.4
2Pt-FGA
54.3
.537
2Pt%
.545
16.5
FT
15.5
20.8
FTA
20.4
.794
FT%
.759
9.5
ORB
12.0
33.3
DRB
31.8
42.8
TRB
43.8
24.8
AST
29.5
8.8
STL
9.1
4.8
BLK
5.8
16.0
TOV
15.0
18.2
PF
21.2
109.8
PTS
116.5

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
25
Games
24
39.4
FG
44.3
87.0
FGA
89.5
.454
FG%
.494
11.6
3Pt-FG
11.5
35.0
3Pt-FGA
30.4
.333
3Pt%
.380
27.8
2Pt-FG
32.7
52.0
2Pt-FGA
59.1
.535
2Pt%
.553
15.0
FT
19.2
19.1
FTA
25.5
.788
FT%
.753
10.6
ORB
11.0
32.4
DRB
34.0
43.0
TRB
45.0
23.8
AST
30.8
9.3
STL
9.1
4.8
BLK
4.7
16.1
TOV
14.9
19.4
PF
18.4
105.6
PTS
119.2

Offense/Defense

MIN
Four Factors
DEN
.546
eFG%
.542
14.4
TOV%
12.8
22.7
RB%
74.0
.193
FT/FGA
.166

Defense/Offense

MIN
Four Factors
DEN
.520
eFG%
.559
14.5
TOV%
12.9
75.9
RB%
25.7
.173
FT/FGA
.214

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
25
Games
24
39.8
FG
42.6
86.8
FGA
91.0
.459
FG%
.468
15.1
3Pt-FG
13.6
40.7
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.371
3Pt%
.359
24.8
2Pt-FG
29.0
46.1
2Pt-FGA
53.1
.537
2Pt%
.545
16.7
FT
15.2
21.1
FTA
20.0
.794
FT%
.759
9.7
ORB
11.7
33.8
DRB
31.1
43.5
TRB
42.8
25.2
AST
28.9
8.9
STL
8.9
4.8
BLK
5.7
16.2
TOV
14.6
18.5
PF
20.7
111.5
PTS
113.9

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
25
Games
24
40.0
FG
43.3
88.3
FGA
87.5
.454
FG%
.494
11.8
3Pt-FG
11.3
35.5
3Pt-FGA
29.7
.333
3Pt%
.380
28.2
2Pt-FG
32.0
52.8
2Pt-FGA
57.8
.535
2Pt%
.553
15.3
FT
18.7
19.4
FTA
24.9
.788
FT%
.753
10.7
ORB
10.8
32.9
DRB
33.2
43.7
TRB
44.0
24.1
AST
30.1
9.5
STL
8.9
4.9
BLK
4.6
16.4
TOV
14.5
19.7
PF
18.0
107.2
PTS
116.5

MIN
Analytics
DEN
16
Pythag Wins
14
9
Pythag Losses
10
4.24
Margin Of Victory
2.71
111.5
O Rtg
116.5
107.2
D Rtg
113.9
97.7
Pace
101.4
.243
FTr
.284
.469
3PAr
.339
.580
TS%
.592

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN DEN
MIN DEN
Consensus
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-111)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-108)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIN DEN
MIN DEN
Consensus
+172
-210
+230
-285
+160
-192
+230
-285
+188
-225
+245
-300
+185
-225
+220
-275
+175
-210
+260
-335
+175
-210
+240
-300
+170
-210
+225
-275
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-114)
209.5 (-109)
209.5 (-112)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
207.5 (-108)
207.5 (-112)
210.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
208.0 (-112)
208.0 (-109)
209.5 (-108)
209.5 (-113)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
210.5 (-115)
210.5 (-105)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
209.5 (-115)
209.5 (-105)