Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

May 6, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Pick & Prediction – 5/6/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 6, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Minnesota Timberwolves 5.5 (-110), Denver Nuggets -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total:207
Moneyline:Minnesota Timberwolves 195, Denver Nuggets -225


Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Minnesota Timberwolves - 33%Minnesota Timberwolves - 38%
Denver Nuggets - 67%Denver Nuggets - 62%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

In a highly anticipated matchup, the Minnesota Timberwolves (61-26) will be facing off against the Denver Nuggets (61-27) on Monday night at 10:00 PM ET. This game promises to bring the excitement as it features two divisional rivals battling for supremacy. The rivalry between these teams adds an extra layer of significance to the game, providing both teams with added motivation to secure the victory.

The game will take place at the Ball Arena in Denver, which is the home arena for the Nuggets. Historically, the Nuggets have been strong contenders on their home court, making them the favorites in this game. The current spread favors the Nuggets by 5.5 points, indicating the perceived advantage they have over the Timberwolves.

In terms of the betting odds, the moneyline for the Nuggets stands at -225, while the Timberwolves have a moneyline of +195. Based on these odds, the Timberwolves have an implied win probability of 33%, while the Nuggets have a higher implied win probability of 67%.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with momentum on their side, having won their last five consecutive games. On the other hand, the Nuggets have been playing solid basketball, winning 35 out of their last 50 games.

In their previous matchup, the Timberwolves pulled off an upset victory by defeating the Nuggets 106-99. This unexpected outcome was reflected in the odds, as the Timberwolves entered the game as 4.0 underdogs, with a mere 38% chance of winning.

If you're interested in player prop markets, keep an eye on Rudy Gobert's Points, Rebounds, and Assists. This particular market has been quite popular among bettors, indicating the level of interest in Gobert's performance.

It's worth noting that sharp bettors are showing a preference for the Under, as they believe it offers value and may be mispriced. The current price for the Under in Points, Rebounds, and Assists is set at 25.5, with odds of -105.

As the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Denver Nuggets prepare to face off, all eyes will be on this intense divisional battle. With the Timberwolves aiming to extend their winning streak and the Nuggets seeking redemption, this game is sure to provide an exciting display of basketball.


Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Minnesota Timberwolves 103.78 vs Denver Nuggets 108.09

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+7.0/-110
69% MIN
-7.0/-110
31% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+230
17% MIN
-285
83% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

209.5/-110
5% UN
209.5/-110
95% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
77
Games
77
40.9
FG
43.3
87.7
FGA
93.0
.466
FG%
.466
15.1
3Pt-FG
14.1
40.0
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.379
3Pt%
.364
25.7
2Pt-FG
29.3
47.7
2Pt-FGA
54.4
.539
2Pt%
.538
17.2
FT
16.2
21.8
FTA
20.9
.789
FT%
.777
11.1
ORB
11.8
33.1
DRB
30.7
44.2
TRB
42.6
26.2
AST
29.1
8.1
STL
8.8
4.9
BLK
5.2
14.5
TOV
13.1
18.3
PF
19.0
114.0
PTS
116.9

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
77
Games
77
40.5
FG
45.5
87.9
FGA
90.0
.460
FG%
.505
12.6
3Pt-FG
12.2
35.8
3Pt-FGA
32.1
.352
3Pt%
.379
27.9
2Pt-FG
33.3
52.1
2Pt-FGA
57.9
.535
2Pt%
.576
15.8
FT
17.8
20.6
FTA
23.2
.770
FT%
.768
11.1
ORB
11.3
32.1
DRB
34.5
43.2
TRB
45.7
24.7
AST
31.1
8.5
STL
8.1
4.6
BLK
4.9
14.8
TOV
14.3
19.1
PF
17.7
109.4
PTS
120.9

Offense/Defense

MIN
Four Factors
DEN
.552
eFG%
.541
13.0
TOV%
11.4
25.6
RB%
74.4
.196
FT/FGA
.174

Defense/Offense

MIN
Four Factors
DEN
.532
eFG%
.573
13.3
TOV%
12.5
75.0
RB%
26.9
.180
FT/FGA
.198

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
77
Games
77
41.6
FG
43.0
89.3
FGA
92.2
.466
FG%
.466
15.4
3Pt-FG
13.9
40.7
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.379
3Pt%
.364
26.2
2Pt-FG
29.0
48.6
2Pt-FGA
53.9
.539
2Pt%
.538
17.5
FT
16.1
22.2
FTA
20.7
.789
FT%
.777
11.3
ORB
11.7
33.7
DRB
30.5
45.0
TRB
42.2
26.7
AST
28.8
8.3
STL
8.7
5.0
BLK
5.1
14.8
TOV
13.0
18.6
PF
18.8
116.2
PTS
116.0

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
77
Games
77
41.2
FG
45.1
89.6
FGA
89.2
.460
FG%
.505
12.8
3Pt-FG
12.1
36.5
3Pt-FGA
31.8
.352
3Pt%
.379
28.4
2Pt-FG
33.0
53.1
2Pt-FGA
57.4
.535
2Pt%
.576
16.1
FT
17.7
21.0
FTA
23.0
.770
FT%
.768
11.3
ORB
11.2
32.7
DRB
34.2
44.0
TRB
45.4
25.2
AST
30.8
8.6
STL
8.0
4.7
BLK
4.9
15.1
TOV
14.2
19.5
PF
17.6
111.4
PTS
119.9

MIN
Analytics
DEN
49
Pythag Wins
47
28
Pythag Losses
30
4.66
Margin Of Victory
3.99
116.2
O Rtg
119.9
111.4
D Rtg
116.0
97.4
Pace
99.9
.249
FTr
.258
.456
3PAr
.357
.586
TS%
.604

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN DEN
MIN DEN
Consensus
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-111)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-108)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-112)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-110)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIN DEN
MIN DEN
Consensus
+172
-210
+230
-285
+160
-192
+230
-285
+188
-225
+245
-300
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-114)
209.5 (-109)
209.5 (-112)
208.5 (-110)
208.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
209.5 (-110)
207.5 (-108)
207.5 (-112)
210.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
208.0 (-112)
208.0 (-109)
209.5 (-108)
209.5 (-113)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
210.5 (-115)
210.5 (-105)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
210.0 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
207.5 (-110)
209.5 (-115)
209.5 (-105)

Related Articles