Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks

Mar 26, 2025

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Pick – 3/26/2025


On March 26, 2025, at 9:00 PM ET, the Milwaukee Bucks will face off against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena. The Nuggets enter this matchup as favorites, with a spread of Nuggets -4.0 and a moneyline of -170, while the Bucks sit at +150. According to the odds, Milwaukee has an implied win probability of 39%, compared to Denver's 61%.

Both teams have shown solid performance in recent outings. The Bucks have won 30 of their last 50 games, indicating a competitive edge. However, they are coming off a narrow loss to the Phoenix Suns, falling 108-106 in their last game. The Nuggets, similarly, have been strong, winning 32 of their last 50 games, although they also suffered a defeat in their previous contest, losing to the Chicago Bulls 129-119.

For those looking to dive into player prop markets, Giannis Antetokounmpo's Points and Rebounds is drawing significant attention. This has emerged as the most popular betting market for the game, with bettors eyeing the Over at a current price of 44.5 Points and Rebounds at -115. Sharp bettors seem to believe this line is mispriced, suggesting potential value for those willing to wager on the Over.

Both teams are looking to bounce back from their recent losses, making this matchup critical as they vie for playoff positioning. The stage is set for an exciting showdown between two teams that have demonstrated their capability to compete at a high level.


Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Milwaukee Bucks 113.13 vs Denver Nuggets 108.95


Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Bucks36%62%
Nuggets64%38%

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+11.5/-105
54% MIL
-11.5/-115
46% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+443
18% MIL
-601
82% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

227.0/-112
23% UN
227.0/-108
77% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
72
Games
74
41.6
FG
43.4
86.6
FGA
92.7
.481
FG%
.468
14.1
3Pt-FG
14.1
36.9
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.382
3Pt%
.366
27.6
2Pt-FG
29.3
49.7
2Pt-FGA
54.4
.554
2Pt%
.539
17.1
FT
16.2
22.7
FTA
20.9
.751
FT%
.777
8.5
ORB
11.7
35.3
DRB
30.6
43.8
TRB
42.3
25.1
AST
29.1
7.4
STL
8.9
4.7
BLK
5.3
13.4
TOV
13.1
18.0
PF
18.8
114.4
PTS
117.0

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
72
Games
74
41.2
FG
45.5
90.6
FGA
90.0
.455
FG%
.506
13.7
3Pt-FG
12.2
38.9
3Pt-FGA
31.9
.352
3Pt%
.381
27.5
2Pt-FG
33.4
51.7
2Pt-FGA
58.1
.533
2Pt%
.574
16.2
FT
17.6
20.6
FTA
22.8
.786
FT%
.770
10.8
ORB
11.3
34.6
DRB
34.3
45.4
TRB
45.6
26.0
AST
31.0
7.4
STL
8.1
4.0
BLK
4.8
12.9
TOV
14.2
18.9
PF
17.7
112.3
PTS
120.8

Offense/Defense

MIL
Four Factors
DEN
.562
eFG%
.543
12.2
TOV%
11.4
19.6
RB%
74.5
.197
FT/FGA
.175

Defense/Offense

MIL
Four Factors
DEN
.530
eFG%
.573
11.5
TOV%
12.4
76.6
RB%
27.0
.178
FT/FGA
.195

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
72
Games
74
41.8
FG
43.1
87.0
FGA
92.2
.481
FG%
.468
14.1
3Pt-FG
14.0
37.0
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.382
3Pt%
.366
27.7
2Pt-FG
29.1
50.0
2Pt-FGA
54.0
.554
2Pt%
.539
17.1
FT
16.1
22.8
FTA
20.8
.751
FT%
.777
8.5
ORB
11.7
35.5
DRB
30.4
44.0
TRB
42.1
25.2
AST
28.9
7.4
STL
8.8
4.7
BLK
5.2
13.5
TOV
13.0
18.1
PF
18.7
114.9
PTS
116.3

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
72
Games
74
41.4
FG
45.2
91.0
FGA
89.5
.455
FG%
.506
13.8
3Pt-FG
12.1
39.1
3Pt-FGA
31.7
.352
3Pt%
.381
27.6
2Pt-FG
33.2
51.9
2Pt-FGA
57.8
.533
2Pt%
.574
16.2
FT
17.4
20.6
FTA
22.7
.786
FT%
.770
10.8
ORB
11.3
34.8
DRB
34.1
45.6
TRB
45.3
26.1
AST
30.8
7.5
STL
8.0
4.0
BLK
4.8
13.0
TOV
14.1
18.9
PF
17.6
112.8
PTS
120.0

MIL
Analytics
DEN
41
Pythag Wins
45
31
Pythag Losses
29
2.15
Margin Of Victory
3.77
114.9
O Rtg
120.0
112.8
D Rtg
116.3
99.4
Pace
99.9
.262
FTr
.253
.426
3PAr
.355
.592
TS%
.603

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIL DEN
MIL DEN
Consensus
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-110)
+11.5 (-108)
-11.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-110)
+11.5 (-105)
-11.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-112)
-2.5 (-114)
+12.0 (-112)
-12.0 (-108)
+4.0 (-108)
-4.0 (-110)
+11.5 (-108)
-11.5 (-113)
+6.0 (-105)
-6.0 (-115)
+11.5 (-105)
-11.5 (-115)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-115)
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIL DEN
MIL DEN
Consensus
+115
-140
+443
-601
+114
-135
+455
-625
+124
-146
+460
-620
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
227.0 (-111)
227.0 (-108)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
227.5 (-108)
227.5 (-112)
226.0 (-110)
226.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
226.0 (-109)
226.0 (-112)
227.0 (-110)
227.0 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
225.0 (-110)
227.0 (-115)
227.0 (-105)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)
227.5 (-110)

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