Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks

Mar 4, 2025

Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Pick – 3/4/2025


On March 4, 2025, the Milwaukee Bucks will face off against the Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena in Atlanta. The game is set to tip off at 7:30 PM ET, and the Bucks enter as significant favorites with a spread of -7.0.

Milwaukee, boasting a record of 35-25, comes into this matchup with a well-rested squad, having last played three days ago. This extra time off could be crucial as the Bucks aim to build on their recent success, winning 33 of their last 50 games. In their previous outing, they secured a convincing 132-117 victory over the Dallas Mavericks.

Conversely, the Atlanta Hawks, sitting at 28-33, are struggling to find their rhythm. They are currently on a back-to-back, having played just yesterday, which could hinder their performance. Despite this disadvantage, the Hawks managed to pull off an upset against the Memphis Grizzlies, winning 132-130 as 8.0-point underdogs.

The betting odds reflect a strong belief in Milwaukee's chances, with an implied win probability of 70% compared to Atlanta's 30%. For those considering player props, Onyeka Okongwu's Points and Rebounds market has garnered attention, with the total moving from 24.5 to 23.5 as sharp bettors lean towards the Under.


Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Milwaukee Bucks 124.9 vs Atlanta Hawks 113.87


Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Bucks69%81%
Hawks31%19%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-7.0/-108
57% MIL
DraftKings
+7.0/-112
43% ATL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-285
77% MIL
BetMGM
+230
23% ATL

Total Pick Consensus

242.0/-112
39% UN
Fanatics
242.0/-108
61% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
ATL
59
Games
61
41.7
FG
43.7
87.0
FGA
90.7
.479
FG%
.482
14.3
3Pt-FG
14.3
37.3
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.383
3Pt%
.373
27.4
2Pt-FG
29.5
49.7
2Pt-FGA
52.4
.551
2Pt%
.562
16.7
FT
17.9
22.4
FTA
22.2
.747
FT%
.806
8.5
ORB
10.4
35.5
DRB
34.0
44.0
TRB
44.5
25.2
AST
28.6
7.3
STL
9.3
4.9
BLK
5.0
13.6
TOV
16.5
18.4
PF
19.8
114.4
PTS
119.6

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per Game
ATL
59
Games
61
41.1
FG
42.7
91.1
FGA
91.8
.452
FG%
.465
13.6
3Pt-FG
13.1
39.1
3Pt-FGA
37.2
.349
3Pt%
.352
27.5
2Pt-FG
29.6
52.0
2Pt-FGA
54.6
.529
2Pt%
.542
16.6
FT
18.4
21.0
FTA
24.0
.792
FT%
.766
11.1
ORB
11.9
34.9
DRB
32.8
46.0
TRB
44.7
25.9
AST
29.3
7.6
STL
10.0
4.0
BLK
5.2
12.9
TOV
15.9
18.8
PF
18.9
112.5
PTS
116.9

Offense/Defense

MIL
Four Factors
ATL
.561
eFG%
.561
12.3
TOV%
14.1
19.6
RB%
75.9
.192
FT/FGA
.197

Defense/Offense

MIL
Four Factors
ATL
.526
eFG%
.536
11.4
TOV%
13.4
76.1
RB%
25.8
.182
FT/FGA
.200

Offense/Defense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ATL
59
Games
61
41.7
FG
42.1
87.1
FGA
87.3
.479
FG%
.482
14.3
3Pt-FG
13.8
37.4
3Pt-FGA
36.9
.383
3Pt%
.373
27.4
2Pt-FG
28.4
49.8
2Pt-FGA
50.4
.551
2Pt%
.562
16.7
FT
17.2
22.4
FTA
21.4
.747
FT%
.806
8.5
ORB
10.0
35.5
DRB
32.8
44.1
TRB
42.8
25.3
AST
27.6
7.3
STL
9.0
4.9
BLK
4.8
13.7
TOV
15.9
18.5
PF
19.0
114.5
PTS
115.2

Defense/Offense

MIL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
ATL
59
Games
61
41.2
FG
41.1
91.2
FGA
88.4
.452
FG%
.465
13.6
3Pt-FG
12.6
39.1
3Pt-FGA
35.8
.349
3Pt%
.352
27.5
2Pt-FG
28.5
52.1
2Pt-FGA
52.6
.529
2Pt%
.542
16.6
FT
17.7
21.0
FTA
23.1
.792
FT%
.766
11.1
ORB
11.4
34.9
DRB
31.6
46.0
TRB
43.0
25.9
AST
28.2
7.6
STL
9.6
4.0
BLK
5.0
13.0
TOV
15.3
18.8
PF
18.2
112.6
PTS
112.6

MIL
Analytics
ATL
33
Pythag Wins
26
26
Pythag Losses
35
1.88
Margin Of Victory
-2.75
114.5
O Rtg
112.6
112.6
D Rtg
115.2
99.7
Pace
103.1
.257
FTr
.261
.429
3PAr
.405
.590
TS%
.571

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIL ATL
MIL ATL
Consensus
-5.0 (-111)
+5.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-111)
+7.0 (-111)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-4.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-110)
-7.0 (-108)
+7.0 (-112)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
-5.0 (-108)
+5.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-108)
+7.0 (-112)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-112)
-7.0 (-112)
+7.0 (-109)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-5.0 (-115)
+5.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-115)
+7.0 (-105)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-5.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIL ATL
MIL ATL
Consensus
-192
+160
-270
+221
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
-192
+160
-285
+230
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
-200
+168
-255
+210
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
-205
+170
-275
+220
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
-190
+158
-285
+228
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
-210
+170
-285
+225
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
245.0 (-110)
245.0 (-110)
241.0 (-110)
241.0 (-111)
DraftKings
DraftKings $150 Bonus
244.5 (-110)
244.5 (-110)
242.0 (-108)
242.0 (-112)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
243.0 (-110)
243.0 (-110)
241.0 (-110)
241.0 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
244.5 (-110)
244.5 (-110)
241.0 (-110)
241.0 (-110)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
245.0 (-110)
245.0 (-110)
241.0 (-115)
241.0 (-105)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
244.5 (-110)
244.5 (-110)
240.5 (-115)
240.5 (-105)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
MIL
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
ATL
2-1-0
Win/Loss/Tie
1-2-0
2-1-0
ATS W/L/P
1-2-0
116.67
Avg Score
120
109.67
Avg Opp Score
132
4-1-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-3-0
3-2-0
ATS W/L/P
2-3-0
114.8
Avg Score
120.2
108.6
Avg Opp Score
126
7-3-0
Win/Loss/Tie
5-5-0
6-4-0
ATS W/L/P
6-4-0
114.9
Avg Score
120.9
112.1
Avg Opp Score
122
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
02/07/25
MIL
238.0
-137
26
ATL
2.5
+116
36
12/14/24
ATL
233.0
+140
28
MIL
-3.5
-165
26
12/04/24
ATL
236.5
+156
38
MIL
-4.5
-184
35
03/30/24
MIL
222.5
-201
33
ATL
4.5
+166
28
12/02/23
ATL
252.5
+201
37
MIL
-6.0
-247
42
10/29/23
ATL
239.5
+210
31
MIL
-6.5
-261
25
01/11/23
MIL
228.5
-178
39
ATL
4.0
+147
19
11/14/22
ATL
225.0
+140
29
MIL
-4.0
-168
24
11/07/22
MIL
220.0
-212
36
ATL
5.5
+173
25
10/29/22
ATL
228.5
+182
30
MIL
-6.5
-221
32

Milwaukee Bucks

03/01/25
MIL
94.8
-61
13
DAL
0.5
+52
15
02/27/25
DEN
64.2
-41
2
MIL
0.2
+35
2
02/25/25
MIL
387.1
+209
42
HOU
-4.2
-246
51
02/23/25
MIA
88.4
+60
15
MIL
-1.8
-72
4
02/21/25
MIL
76.8
-69
2
WAS
0.6
+58
11
02/20/25
LAC
238.1
-128
30
MIL
1.7
+109
29
02/12/25
MIL
333.9
+486
55
MIN
-13.8
-616
37
02/10/25
GS
336.0
-381
42
MIL
10.2
+316
39
02/09/25
PHI
206.3
-147
35
MIL
2.8
+125
36
02/07/25
MIL
133.8
-77
15
ATL
0.8
+65
20

Atlanta Hawks

03/03/25
ATL
86.5
+86
3
MEM
-2.8
-106
12
02/28/25
OKC
324.9
-695
53
ATL
14.5
+523
30
02/26/25
ATL
225.4
+123
27
MIA
-2.9
-146
28
02/24/25
MIA
211.8
+102
20
ATL
-1.8
-121
21
02/23/25
DET
95.6
-52
13
ATL
0.3
+44
12
02/20/25
ORL
233.4
-125
22
ATL
1.1
+105
35
02/10/25
ATL
322.9
+282
37
ORL
-8.8
-339
32
02/08/25
ATL
385.2
-431
42
WAS
11.3
+359
48
02/07/25
MIL
133.8
-77
15
ATL
0.8
+65
20
02/05/25
SA
120.5
-89
17
ATL
1.1
+75
12

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