Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Dec 1, 2024

Toronto Raptors

Toronto Raptors
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds & Picks – 12/1/2024

  • Date: December 1, 2024
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat -4.5 (-110), Toronto Raptors 4.5 (-110)
Over/Under:221.5
Moneyline:Miami Heat -190, Toronto Raptors 165


Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 63%Miami Heat - 78%
Toronto Raptors - 37%Toronto Raptors - 22%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Betting Preview

The Miami Heat, boasting a 9-8 record, are set to face the Toronto Raptors, who are struggling at 5-15, in a Sunday night showdown at Scotiabank Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:00 PM ET. Despite being on the road, Miami enters this matchup as the favorite with a spread of -4.5. This reflects their recent form, having won 4 of their last 5 games, including a 121-111 victory over the Raptors.

Toronto, on the other hand, has been in a slump, losing 15 of their last 20 games. The Raptors will need to turn things around quickly if they hope to upset the odds, which currently give them a 37% implied win probability. The Heat carry a 63% implied chance of victory, with a moneyline of -190, while Toronto's moneyline stands at +165.

For those eyeing player prop markets, Bam Adebayo's Points and Rebounds is a standout option. This market has attracted significant attention, with the Over set at 27.5 Points and Rebounds at -110. Sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Over, viewing it as a potential value play.

The Heat's recent performance against Toronto and their overall form make them a compelling option for bettors. However, with the Raptors playing at home, they could capitalize on familiar surroundings to spring a surprise. As both teams take to the court, Miami's momentum versus Toronto's need for a turnaround will be the narrative to watch in this clash. Whether Miami can maintain their upward trajectory or Toronto can defy expectations adds intrigue to this Sunday night battle.


Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 118.3 vs Toronto Raptors 108.55

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-5.0/-105
64% MIA
+5.0/-115
36% TOR

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-191
82% MIA
+160
18% TOR

Total Pick Consensus

221.5/-110
14% UN
221.5/-110
86% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
TOR
18
Games
21
39.3
FG
41.1
88.4
FGA
89.2
.444
FG%
.461
14.9
3Pt-FG
13.1
39.5
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.378
3Pt%
.345
24.3
2Pt-FG
28.0
48.9
2Pt-FGA
51.2
.498
2Pt%
.546
17.8
FT
21.4
22.9
FTA
27.3
.775
FT%
.785
10.1
ORB
11.4
32.9
DRB
30.9
43.0
TRB
42.2
25.5
AST
26.1
9.3
STL
9.6
3.7
BLK
5.9
12.8
TOV
13.6
16.6
PF
19.6
111.3
PTS
116.8

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
TOR
18
Games
21
40.9
FG
42.5
87.9
FGA
91.2
.466
FG%
.466
13.7
3Pt-FG
10.9
38.1
3Pt-FGA
32.0
.361
3Pt%
.341
27.2
2Pt-FG
31.6
49.9
2Pt-FGA
59.2
.546
2Pt%
.534
14.3
FT
16.8
18.0
FTA
23.0
.796
FT%
.732
11.4
ORB
13.9
34.8
DRB
32.5
46.2
TRB
46.4
26.6
AST
28.7
6.9
STL
7.7
5.5
BLK
4.8
15.7
TOV
16.3
19.2
PF
22.7
109.9
PTS
112.8

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
TOR
.529
eFG%
.534
11.5
TOV%
11.8
22.5
RB%
74.1
.201
FT/FGA
.240

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
TOR
.544
eFG%
.526
14.0
TOV%
13.8
74.3
RB%
31.0
.163
FT/FGA
.184

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
TOR
18
Games
21
40.0
FG
40.9
90.0
FGA
88.8
.444
FG%
.461
15.2
3Pt-FG
13.1
40.2
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.378
3Pt%
.345
24.8
2Pt-FG
27.8
49.8
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.498
2Pt%
.546
18.1
FT
21.3
23.4
FTA
27.2
.775
FT%
.785
10.3
ORB
11.3
33.5
DRB
30.7
43.8
TRB
42.0
26.0
AST
26.0
9.5
STL
9.5
3.7
BLK
5.8
13.0
TOV
13.5
16.9
PF
19.5
113.3
PTS
116.2

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
TOR
18
Games
21
41.7
FG
42.3
89.6
FGA
90.8
.466
FG%
.466
14.0
3Pt-FG
10.9
38.8
3Pt-FGA
31.9
.361
3Pt%
.341
27.7
2Pt-FG
31.5
50.8
2Pt-FGA
59.0
.546
2Pt%
.534
14.6
FT
16.7
18.3
FTA
22.8
.796
FT%
.732
11.6
ORB
13.8
35.5
DRB
32.4
47.1
TRB
46.2
27.1
AST
28.5
7.1
STL
7.7
5.6
BLK
4.8
16.0
TOV
16.2
19.6
PF
22.6
112.0
PTS
112.2

MIA
Analytics
TOR
10
Pythag Wins
8
8
Pythag Losses
13
1.33
Margin Of Victory
-4.00
113.3
O Rtg
112.2
112.0
D Rtg
116.2
97.1
Pace
99.0
.260
FTr
.252
.447
3PAr
.351
.565
TS%
.556

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA TOR
MIA TOR
Consensus
-4.0 (-107)
+4.0 (-105)
-5.0 (-107)
+5.0 (-112)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-108)
-5.0 (-105)
+5.0 (-115)
-5.0 (-108)
+5.0 (-110)
-5.0 (-108)
+5.0 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
+4.5 (-113)
-4.0 (-114)
+4.0 (-107)
-4.0 (-115)
+4.0 (-105)
-5.0 (-115)
+5.0 (-105)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA TOR
MIA TOR
Consensus
-210
+175
-191
+160
-192
+160
-198
+164
-210
+176
-198
+166
-195
+160
-182
+150
-210
+175
-195
+162
-190
+155
-200
+165
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.0 (-110)
221.0 (-110)
223.0 (-109)
223.0 (-112)
221.0 (-113)
221.0 (-108)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)