Heat +5 (-110) over Mavericks
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- The Mavericks have lost three straight games, as it clearly takes more than a big game from Luka Doncic to win games.
- Duncan Robinson’s insertion into the starting lineup has helped the Heat be more dangerous offensively of late.
The Miami Heat will be facing off against the Dallas Mavericks on March 7, 2024, at 7:30 pm EST. Draftkings sportsbook has the Miami Heat as 4.5 point underdogs and the Dallas Mavericks as 4.5 point favorites. Currently, the Miami Heat are receiving 62% of the spread bets, while the Dallas Mavericks have 38%. The total opening at (231.5 -112) is showing a strong lean towards the over, with 83% of bets going in that direction. This matchup between the Miami Heat and the Dallas Mavericks is sure to be a thrilling and competitive game to watch.
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This Heat vs Mavericks matchup should go the way of the Miami Heat, who we like the cover the spread on the road. Miami’s defense is much better than that of the Mavs, who have been getting crushed by even the bad teams on their schedule of late. Dallas has lost three games in a row and they could very well lose this game outright as a home favorite, as they have in their last couple of contests against the 76ers and Pacers.
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NBA
Miami Heat
Dallas Mavericks
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
13 Games 15 40.1 FG 39.9 90.5 FGA 89.2 .444 FG% .447 15.3 3Pt-FG 12.8 40.1 3Pt-FGA 37.7 .382 3Pt% .339 24.8 2Pt-FG 27.1 50.4 2Pt-FGA 51.5 .492 2Pt% .526 17.7 FT 18.8 22.7 FTA 25.3 .779 FT% .743 10.7 ORB 12.4 33.1 DRB 32.7 43.7 TRB 45.1 25.8 AST 26.6 10.1 STL 7.6 3.8 BLK 4.3 13.1 TOV 14.7 17.0 PF 19.2 113.2 PTS 111.3
MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
13 Games 15 41.6 FG 44.0 89.1 FGA 91.4 .467 FG% .481 14.1 3Pt-FG 12.4 38.8 3Pt-FGA 35.8 .362 3Pt% .347 27.6 2Pt-FG 31.6 50.3 2Pt-FGA 55.6 .548 2Pt% .568 15.1 FT 17.3 18.6 FTA 22.3 .810 FT% .775 11.4 ORB 11.7 35.4 DRB 33.5 46.8 TRB 45.2 26.8 AST 25.6 7.5 STL 8.1 5.5 BLK 5.2 16.3 TOV 13.2 19.2 PF 21.2 112.4 PTS 117.7 Four Factors
MIA
Four Factors
DAL
.528 eFG% .519 11.5 TOV% 12.8 23.2 RB% 73.1 .195 FT/FGA .211
MIA
Four Factors
DAL
.546 eFG% .549 14.3 TOV% 11.6 74.4 RB% 26.3 .169 FT/FGA .189 Analytics
MIA
Analytics
DAL
7 Pythag Wins 10 6 Pythag Losses 5 0.85 Margin Of Victory 6.33 113.2 O Rtg 117.7 112.4 D Rtg 111.3 97.2 Pace 98.2 .251 FTr .244 .443 3PAr .392 .564 TS% .582 Betting Trends
MIA
Betting Trends
DAL
OVERALL OVERALL 2-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 0-3-0 1-2-0 ATS W/L/P 0-3-0 113.67 Avg Score 115.33 111 Avg Opp Score 131.67 AWAY HOME 2-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 1-2-0 3-0-0 ATS W/L/P 1-2-0 108 Avg Score 119.67 103 Avg Opp Score 123.33
MIA
Betting Trends
DAL
OVERALL OVERALL 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 1-4-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 113.6 Avg Score 120.2 107.8 Avg Opp Score 128.2 AWAY HOME 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 3-2-0 5-0-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 107.8 Avg Score 117.4 101.6 Avg Opp Score 113.4
MIA
Betting Trends
DAL
OVERALL OVERALL 8-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 8-2-0 ATS W/L/P 5-5-0 112.8 Avg Score 120.9 104.9 Avg Opp Score 119.5 AWAY HOME 6-4-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 6-3-1 ATS W/L/P 3-7-0 106.5 Avg Score 120.5 105.8 Avg Opp Score 118.8 Head to Head
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