Heat +5 (-110) over Mavericks
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- The Mavericks have lost three straight games, as it clearly takes more than a big game from Luka Doncic to win games.
- Duncan Robinson’s insertion into the starting lineup has helped the Heat be more dangerous offensively of late.
The Miami Heat will be facing off against the Dallas Mavericks on March 7, 2024, at 7:30 pm EST. Draftkings sportsbook has the Miami Heat as 4.5 point underdogs and the Dallas Mavericks as 4.5 point favorites. Currently, the Miami Heat are receiving 62% of the spread bets, while the Dallas Mavericks have 38%. The total opening at (231.5 -112) is showing a strong lean towards the over, with 83% of bets going in that direction. This matchup between the Miami Heat and the Dallas Mavericks is sure to be a thrilling and competitive game to watch.
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This Heat vs Mavericks matchup should go the way of the Miami Heat, who we like the cover the spread on the road. Miami’s defense is much better than that of the Mavs, who have been getting crushed by even the bad teams on their schedule of late. Dallas has lost three games in a row and they could very well lose this game outright as a home favorite, as they have in their last couple of contests against the 76ers and Pacers.
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NBA
Miami Heat
Dallas Mavericks
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
54 Games 57 40.4 FG 42.2 88.9 FGA 92.1 .455 FG% .458 14.3 3Pt-FG 13.1 39.6 3Pt-FGA 36.1 .360 3Pt% .361 26.2 2Pt-FG 29.1 49.3 2Pt-FGA 55.9 .531 2Pt% .521 17.1 FT 16.7 21.7 FTA 21.6 .789 FT% .771 9.9 ORB 12.4 35.0 DRB 32.6 44.9 TRB 45.0 26.6 AST 26.8 8.1 STL 8.2 3.9 BLK 4.7 14.0 TOV 13.6 16.2 PF 19.1 112.2 PTS 114.1
MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
54 Games 57 42.2 FG 42.5 91.4 FGA 88.9 .461 FG% .478 14.1 3Pt-FG 13.2 39.3 3Pt-FGA 35.6 .358 3Pt% .372 28.1 2Pt-FG 29.3 52.2 2Pt-FGA 53.3 .539 2Pt% .550 14.5 FT 18.2 18.6 FTA 23.5 .784 FT% .773 11.4 ORB 11.0 35.3 DRB 33.6 46.6 TRB 44.6 27.4 AST 25.5 7.6 STL 8.0 5.1 BLK 6.0 13.9 TOV 14.3 17.9 PF 18.8 112.9 PTS 116.4 Four Factors
MIA
Four Factors
DAL
.535 eFG% .529 12.4 TOV% 11.8 21.9 RB% 73.1 .193 FT/FGA .181
MIA
Four Factors
DAL
.538 eFG% .553 12.2 TOV% 12.6 75.5 RB% 25.2 .159 FT/FGA .204 Analytics
MIA
Analytics
DAL
26 Pythag Wins 33 28 Pythag Losses 24 -0.69 Margin Of Victory 2.32 112.2 O Rtg 116.4 112.9 D Rtg 114.1 96.5 Pace 99.0 .244 FTr .264 .445 3PAr .400 .570 TS% .587 Betting Trends
MIA
Betting Trends
DAL
OVERALL OVERALL 2-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 0-3-0 1-2-0 ATS W/L/P 0-3-0 113.67 Avg Score 115.33 111 Avg Opp Score 131.67 AWAY HOME 2-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 1-2-0 3-0-0 ATS W/L/P 1-2-0 108 Avg Score 119.67 103 Avg Opp Score 123.33
MIA
Betting Trends
DAL
OVERALL OVERALL 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 1-4-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 113.6 Avg Score 120.2 107.8 Avg Opp Score 128.2 AWAY HOME 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 3-2-0 5-0-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 107.8 Avg Score 117.4 101.6 Avg Opp Score 113.4
MIA
Betting Trends
DAL
OVERALL OVERALL 8-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 8-2-0 ATS W/L/P 5-5-0 112.8 Avg Score 120.9 104.9 Avg Opp Score 119.5 AWAY HOME 6-4-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 6-3-1 ATS W/L/P 3-7-0 106.5 Avg Score 120.5 105.8 Avg Opp Score 118.8 Head to Head
Teams Last 10
