Heat +5 (-110) over Mavericks
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- The Mavericks have lost three straight games, as it clearly takes more than a big game from Luka Doncic to win games.
- Duncan Robinson’s insertion into the starting lineup has helped the Heat be more dangerous offensively of late.
The Miami Heat will be facing off against the Dallas Mavericks on March 7, 2024, at 7:30 pm EST. Draftkings sportsbook has the Miami Heat as 4.5 point underdogs and the Dallas Mavericks as 4.5 point favorites. Currently, the Miami Heat are receiving 62% of the spread bets, while the Dallas Mavericks have 38%. The total opening at (231.5 -112) is showing a strong lean towards the over, with 83% of bets going in that direction. This matchup between the Miami Heat and the Dallas Mavericks is sure to be a thrilling and competitive game to watch.
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This Heat vs Mavericks matchup should go the way of the Miami Heat, who we like the cover the spread on the road. Miami’s defense is much better than that of the Mavs, who have been getting crushed by even the bad teams on their schedule of late. Dallas has lost three games in a row and they could very well lose this game outright as a home favorite, as they have in their last couple of contests against the 76ers and Pacers.
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NBA
Miami Heat
Dallas Mavericks
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
24 Games 27 40.7 FG 41.2 89.9 FGA 90.8 .453 FG% .454 15.0 3Pt-FG 13.4 39.7 3Pt-FGA 37.4 .379 3Pt% .358 25.7 2Pt-FG 27.8 50.2 2Pt-FGA 53.4 .511 2Pt% .520 18.2 FT 16.9 23.3 FTA 22.1 .782 FT% .765 10.5 ORB 12.1 34.2 DRB 31.6 44.7 TRB 43.7 26.8 AST 27.4 9.2 STL 8.4 3.6 BLK 4.1 13.1 TOV 14.1 16.5 PF 19.3 114.7 PTS 112.7
MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
24 Games 27 41.3 FG 43.3 89.4 FGA 88.9 .462 FG% .488 14.1 3Pt-FG 13.4 38.5 3Pt-FGA 35.5 .366 3Pt% .377 27.2 2Pt-FG 29.9 50.9 2Pt-FGA 53.4 .535 2Pt% .561 14.9 FT 18.4 18.5 FTA 24.0 .803 FT% .767 11.2 ORB 11.3 35.1 DRB 34.4 46.3 TRB 45.7 27.5 AST 25.8 7.1 STL 8.4 5.3 BLK 5.5 15.6 TOV 14.4 19.5 PF 19.4 111.6 PTS 118.5 Four Factors
MIA
Four Factors
DAL
.537 eFG% .527 11.6 TOV% 12.3 23.0 RB% 74.0 .203 FT/FGA .186
MIA
Four Factors
DAL
.541 eFG% .563 13.8 TOV% 12.6 75.3 RB% 26.3 .166 FT/FGA .207 Analytics
MIA
Analytics
DAL
14 Pythag Wins 18 10 Pythag Losses 9 3.08 Margin Of Victory 5.81 114.7 O Rtg 118.5 111.6 D Rtg 112.7 97.1 Pace 99.7 .259 FTr .270 .442 3PAr .399 .573 TS% .596 Betting Trends
MIA
Betting Trends
DAL
OVERALL OVERALL 2-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 0-3-0 1-2-0 ATS W/L/P 0-3-0 113.67 Avg Score 115.33 111 Avg Opp Score 131.67 AWAY HOME 2-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 1-2-0 3-0-0 ATS W/L/P 1-2-0 108 Avg Score 119.67 103 Avg Opp Score 123.33
MIA
Betting Trends
DAL
OVERALL OVERALL 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 1-4-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 113.6 Avg Score 120.2 107.8 Avg Opp Score 128.2 AWAY HOME 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 3-2-0 5-0-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 107.8 Avg Score 117.4 101.6 Avg Opp Score 113.4
MIA
Betting Trends
DAL
OVERALL OVERALL 8-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 8-2-0 ATS W/L/P 5-5-0 112.8 Avg Score 120.9 104.9 Avg Opp Score 119.5 AWAY HOME 6-4-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 6-3-1 ATS W/L/P 3-7-0 106.5 Avg Score 120.5 105.8 Avg Opp Score 118.8 Head to Head
Teams Last 10
