Heat +5 (-110) over Mavericks
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- The Mavericks have lost three straight games, as it clearly takes more than a big game from Luka Doncic to win games.
- Duncan Robinson’s insertion into the starting lineup has helped the Heat be more dangerous offensively of late.
The Miami Heat will be facing off against the Dallas Mavericks on March 7, 2024, at 7:30 pm EST. Draftkings sportsbook has the Miami Heat as 4.5 point underdogs and the Dallas Mavericks as 4.5 point favorites. Currently, the Miami Heat are receiving 62% of the spread bets, while the Dallas Mavericks have 38%. The total opening at (231.5 -112) is showing a strong lean towards the over, with 83% of bets going in that direction. This matchup between the Miami Heat and the Dallas Mavericks is sure to be a thrilling and competitive game to watch.
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This Heat vs Mavericks matchup should go the way of the Miami Heat, who we like the cover the spread on the road. Miami’s defense is much better than that of the Mavs, who have been getting crushed by even the bad teams on their schedule of late. Dallas has lost three games in a row and they could very well lose this game outright as a home favorite, as they have in their last couple of contests against the 76ers and Pacers.
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Miami Heat
Dallas Mavericks
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA Team Stats Per 100 Poss DAL 75 Games 76 41.0 FG 43.1 88.7 FGA 91.8 .463 FG% .469 14.0 3Pt-FG 12.9 38.4 3Pt-FGA 35.6 .365 3Pt% .363 27.0 2Pt-FG 30.2 50.2 2Pt-FGA 56.2 .538 2Pt% .536 16.5 FT 16.6 20.9 FTA 21.4 .790 FT% .779 9.8 ORB 12.1 34.5 DRB 33.5 44.3 TRB 45.5 27.0 AST 27.3 8.3 STL 7.9 3.9 BLK 4.7 14.3 TOV 13.5 16.0 PF 18.8 112.6 PTS 115.7 MIA Team Stats Per 100 Poss DAL 75 Games 76 42.3 FG 42.4 90.9 FGA 88.7 .465 FG% .478 14.0 3Pt-FG 12.8 39.1 3Pt-FGA 34.8 .359 3Pt% .367 28.3 2Pt-FG 29.6 51.8 2Pt-FGA 53.9 .545 2Pt% .550 14.2 FT 17.9 18.2 FTA 23.1 .777 FT% .774 11.0 ORB 10.3 34.8 DRB 33.0 45.8 TRB 43.3 27.2 AST 25.4 7.9 STL 7.9 4.8 BLK 5.4 14.2 TOV 13.8 17.5 PF 18.1 112.8 PTS 115.4 Four Factors
MIA Four Factors DAL .542 eFG% .539 12.8 TOV% 11.8 21.9 RB% 73.2 .186 FT/FGA .181 MIA Four Factors DAL .543 eFG% .550 12.6 TOV% 12.3 75.8 RB% 23.5 .156 FT/FGA .202 Analytics
MIA Analytics DAL 37 Pythag Wins 37 38 Pythag Losses 39 -0.25 Margin Of Victory -0.24 112.6 O Rtg 115.4 112.8 D Rtg 115.7 96.2 Pace 99.2 .236 FTr .260 .433 3PAr .393 .575 TS% .584 Betting Trends
MIA Betting Trends DAL OVERALL OVERALL 2-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 0-3-0 1-2-0 ATS W/L/P 0-3-0 113.67 Avg Score 115.33 111 Avg Opp Score 131.67 AWAY HOME 2-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 1-2-0 3-0-0 ATS W/L/P 1-2-0 108 Avg Score 119.67 103 Avg Opp Score 123.33 MIA Betting Trends DAL OVERALL OVERALL 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 1-4-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 113.6 Avg Score 120.2 107.8 Avg Opp Score 128.2 AWAY HOME 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 3-2-0 5-0-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 107.8 Avg Score 117.4 101.6 Avg Opp Score 113.4 MIA Betting Trends DAL OVERALL OVERALL 8-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 8-2-0 ATS W/L/P 5-5-0 112.8 Avg Score 120.9 104.9 Avg Opp Score 119.5 AWAY HOME 6-4-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 6-3-1 ATS W/L/P 3-7-0 106.5 Avg Score 120.5 105.8 Avg Opp Score 118.8 Head to Head
Teams Last 10
