Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Jan 23, 2025

Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks Pick & Prediction – 1/23/2025

  • Date: January 23, 2025
  • Venue: Fiserv Forum


Betting Odds

Spread:Miami Heat 7 (-110), Milwaukee Bucks -7 (-110)
Over/Under:223.5
Moneyline:Miami Heat 225, Milwaukee Bucks -265


Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Miami Heat - 30%Miami Heat - 39%
Milwaukee Bucks - 70%Milwaukee Bucks - 61%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

The Miami Heat (21-21) face off against the Milwaukee Bucks (25-17) in what promises to be an intriguing matchup on Thursday night. Scheduled to tip off at 7:30 PM ET at Fiserv Forum, this game carries significant implications for both teams as they navigate the midway point of the season.

Milwaukee enters this contest riding high, having secured four consecutive victories. However, the Bucks are in a back-to-back situation, which could pose challenges given the limited rest for their players. The fatigue factor may play a role, especially against a Miami squad that has struggled on the road, losing 12 of their last 20 away games. The Heat are coming off a disappointing 116-107 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers, and they will be looking to bounce back.

From a betting perspective, the Bucks are favored by 7.0 points, with a moneyline of -275. This gives Milwaukee an implied win probability of 71%, while the Heat sit at 29% with a moneyline of +230. Bettors should keep an eye on the player prop market, particularly Kel'el Ware's Points, Rebounds, and Assists, which has gained traction as the most popular betting option for this game. The current line for this prop is set at Over 26.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-120), with sharp bettors leaning towards the Over, suggesting they see value in this line.


Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

Final Score: Miami Heat 109.46 vs Milwaukee Bucks 113.37

Get daily NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.0/-112
34% MIA
-6.0/-108
66% MIL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+196
9% MIA
-240
91% MIL

Total Pick Consensus

225.0/-108
16% UN
225.0/-112
84% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
41.6
87.0
FGA
91.1
.465
FG%
.457
13.7
3Pt-FG
13.9
37.3
3Pt-FGA
39.4
.367
3Pt%
.353
26.8
2Pt-FG
27.7
49.7
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.538
2Pt%
.536
16.0
FT
15.9
20.2
FTA
20.3
.791
FT%
.783
9.7
ORB
11.0
33.7
DRB
34.3
43.4
TRB
45.3
26.4
AST
26.4
8.1
STL
7.3
3.8
BLK
3.8
13.6
TOV
12.9
15.5
PF
18.9
110.6
PTS
113.0

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
82
Games
82
41.3
FG
42.0
88.6
FGA
86.4
.466
FG%
.486
13.6
3Pt-FG
14.2
37.9
3Pt-FGA
36.6
.360
3Pt%
.387
27.6
2Pt-FG
27.9
50.6
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.545
2Pt%
.560
13.9
FT
17.3
17.9
FTA
23.1
.776
FT%
.750
10.7
ORB
8.2
33.9
DRB
35.1
44.7
TRB
43.4
26.5
AST
25.5
7.5
STL
7.3
4.7
BLK
4.7
13.8
TOV
13.4
17.0
PF
17.9
110.0
PTS
115.5

Offense/Defense

MIA
Four Factors
MIL
.544
eFG%
.533
12.4
TOV%
11.4
22.3
RB%
76.2
.183
FT/FGA
.174

Defense/Offense

MIA
Four Factors
MIL
.543
eFG%
.568
12.5
TOV%
12.2
75.8
RB%
19.3
.157
FT/FGA
.201

Offense/Defense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
82
Games
82
41.5
FG
41.8
89.3
FGA
91.4
.465
FG%
.457
14.1
3Pt-FG
14.0
38.3
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.367
3Pt%
.353
27.5
2Pt-FG
27.8
51.0
2Pt-FGA
51.9
.538
2Pt%
.536
16.4
FT
15.9
20.7
FTA
20.3
.791
FT%
.783
10.0
ORB
11.0
34.5
DRB
34.4
44.5
TRB
45.4
27.1
AST
26.5
8.4
STL
7.4
3.9
BLK
3.9
13.9
TOV
12.9
16.0
PF
19.0
113.5
PTS
113.4

Defense/Offense

MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
82
Games
82
42.3
FG
42.2
90.9
FGA
86.7
.466
FG%
.486
14.0
3Pt-FG
14.2
38.9
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.360
3Pt%
.387
28.3
2Pt-FG
28.0
52.0
2Pt-FGA
49.9
.545
2Pt%
.560
14.3
FT
17.4
18.4
FTA
23.2
.776
FT%
.750
11.0
ORB
8.2
34.8
DRB
35.3
45.8
TRB
43.5
27.2
AST
25.6
7.7
STL
7.4
4.8
BLK
4.7
14.2
TOV
13.4
17.4
PF
18.0
112.9
PTS
115.9

MIA
Analytics
MIL
42
Pythag Wins
47
40
Pythag Losses
35
0.56
Margin Of Victory
2.48
113.5
O Rtg
115.9
112.9
D Rtg
113.4
96.2
Pace
99.3
.232
FTr
.268
.429
3PAr
.424
.576
TS%
.598

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIA MIL
MIA MIL
Consensus
+6.5 (-113)
-6.5 (-111)
+6.5 (-113)
-6.5 (-107)
+6.5 (-112)
-6.5 (-115)
+6.0 (-112)
-6.0 (-108)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-113)
-6.5 (-112)
+6.5 (-113)
-6.5 (-107)
+7.0 (-110)
-7.0 (-115)
+6.0 (-110)
-6.0 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
MIA MIL
MIA MIL
Consensus
+211
-258
+196
-240
+215
-265
+195
-238
+215
-260
+194
-235
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
225.5 (-111)
225.5 (-109)
225.0 (-108)
225.0 (-113)
225.5 (-108)
225.5 (-112)
224.0 (-112)
224.0 (-108)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
226.0 (-108)
226.0 (-113)
225.0 (-108)
225.0 (-113)
225.5 (-110)
225.5 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
224.0 (-110)
226.5 (-105)
226.5 (-115)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)

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